HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-01

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R1 NANNING HANDICAP

13:00 · 1200m · Class 5 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 11

    SUNNY Q

    Draw 4 · 6.2

    8.4%
  • 25

    GOOD FORTUNE

    Draw 5 · 3.6

    8.2%
  • 310

    VIVA CHALEUR

    Draw 11 · 7.7

    8.1%
  • 412

    YEE CHEONG RAIDER

    Draw 7 · 9.7

    7.9%
  • 56

    NOBLE FANS

    Draw 13 · 10.0

    7.6%
  • 62

    FALCON HUNTER

    Draw 2 · 7.0

    7.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

1

SUNNY Q

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 135lb · A Atzeni · W Y So · R40 · 6.2

8.4%

Win

24.9%

Place

Recent: 6-2-7-3-9-8 · 6/14(12 14 6) · 2/14(14 12 2) · 7/14(8 9 7) · 3/14(5 4 3) · 9/14(14 14 9) · 8/14(10 11 8) · 25d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 12 14 6 · Odds move: 7.1→6.2

Form74
Pace80
Draw93
J/T72
Weight0
Odds47
Move57

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
5

GOOD FORTUNE

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 132lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R37 · 3.6

8.2%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 1-12-14-10-5-5 · 1/14(7 7 1) · 12/14(11 14 12) · 14/14(12 13 14) · 10/14(6 7 8 10) · 5/14(6 7 5) · 5/14(8 10 5) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 7 7 1 · Odds move: 3.6→3.6

Form50
Pace61
Draw89
J/T73
Weight17
Odds65
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

VIVA CHALEUR

Rank #3

Draw 11 · 128lb · B Avdulla · A S Cruz · R33 · 7.7

8.1%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: 3-5-2-2-1-13 · 3/14(5 4 3) · 5/14(1 1 5) · 2/14(6 5 2) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 1/14(3 2 1) · 13/14(3 4 13) · 89d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 5 4 3 · Odds move: 6.9→7.7

Form89
Pace55
Draw63
J/T79
Weight39
Odds41
Move44

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / A S Cruz)

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
12

YEE CHEONG RAIDER

Rank #4

Draw 7 · 124lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R29 · 9.7

7.9%

Win

23.5%

Place

Recent: 5-11-6-2-2-4 · 5/14(14 10 5) · 11/14(11 12 13 11) · 6/14(6 6 6 6) · 2/14(2 2 2 2) · 2/14(6 5 2) · 4/14(12 12 4) · 25d since last · Gear CP

Running: 14 10 5 · Odds move: 10.0→9.7

Form64
Pace71
Draw80
J/T82
Weight61
Odds36
Move52

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

NOBLE FANS

Rank #5

Draw 13 · 130lb · Z Purton · J Size · R35 · 10.0

7.6%

Win

22.7%

Place

Recent: 7-1-8-11-5-11 · 7/14(8 8 7) · 1/14(7 6 1) · 8/14(9 9 10 8) · 11/14(1 3 4 11) · 5/14(10 10 10 5) · 11/14(4 3 11) · 22d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 8 8 7 · Odds move: 11.0→10.0

Form64
Pace60
Draw55
J/T94
Weight28
Odds35
Move55

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / J Size)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
2

FALCON HUNTER

Rank #6

Draw 2 · 133lb · J Orman · J Cummings · R38 · 7.0

7.2%

Win

21.6%

Place

Recent: 9-12-10-3-11-7 · 9/14(10 11 9) · 12/14(7 7 12) · 10/14(11 12 10) · 3/14(11 11 3) · 11/14(12 12 11) · 7/14(2 6 5 7) · 96d since last · Gear TT

Running: 10 11 9 · Odds move: 6.7→7.0

Form41
Pace55
Draw100
J/T60
Weight11
Odds44
Move48

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

CIRRUS SPEED

Rank #7

Draw 3 · 129lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R34 · 13.0

7.1%

Win

21.2%

Place

Recent: 7-12-6-8-5-5 · 7/14(10 7 7) · 12/14(5 6 12) · 6/14(3 3 6) · 8/14(10 10 8) · 5/14(10 9 5) · 5/14(6 6 5) · 89d since last

Running: 10 7 7 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form49
Pace49
Draw97
J/T64
Weight33
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
14

EXCEED THE WISH

Rank #8

Draw 10 · 117lb · L Hewitson · M Newnham · R22 · 44.0

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 13-4-6-9-3-11 · 13/14(9 9 11 13) · 4/14(8 8 6 4) · 6/14(13 9 6) · 9/14(9 10 9) · 3/14(6 6 3) · 11/14(3 5 5 11) · 18d since last · Gear B1

Running: 9 9 11 13 · Odds move: 42.0→44.0

Form50
Pace61
Draw68
J/T77
Weight100
Odds14
Move47

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / M Newnham)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
4

POWER PATCH

Rank #9

Draw 8 · 133lb · C Y Ho · K L Man · R38 · 22.0

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 7-7-5-10-13-14 · 7/14(5 5 7) · 7/14(4 4 3 7) · 5/14(10 11 5) · 10/14(11 12 10) · 13/14(9 10 13) · 14/14(4 4 5 14) · 25d since last · Gear B

Running: 5 5 7 · Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form54
Pace51
Draw76
J/T74
Weight11
Odds22
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
13

WINNING DIAMOND

Rank #10

Draw 12 · 121lb · R Kingscote · D Eustace · R26 · 43.0

6.6%

Win

20.0%

Place

Recent: 11-9-4-10-4-10 · 11/14(12 12 11) · 9/14(8 8 9) · 4/14(7 7 4) · 10/14(12 11 12 10) · 4/14(8 8 7 4) · 10/14(2 4 4 10) · 22d since last · Gear B1

Running: 12 12 11 · Odds move: 50.0→43.0

Form47
Pace59
Draw59
J/T69
Weight78
Odds15
Move58

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
8

GROOVY FEELING

Rank #11

Draw 1 · 128lb · P N Wong · J Richards · R33 · 23.0

6.5%

Win

19.7%

Place

Recent: 8-10-6-14-12-12 · 8/14(6 8 8) · 10/14(6 7 10) · 6/14(7 5 6) · 14/14(13 14 14) · 12/14(8 10 12) · 12/14(14 14 12) · 25d since last · Gear CP-/TT

Running: 6 8 8 · Odds move: 19.0→23.0

Form41
Pace44
Draw100
J/T61
Weight39
Odds21
Move38

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

FLASH STAR

Rank #12

Draw 6 · 133lb · C L Chau · C S Shum · R38 · 24.0

6.5%

Win

19.6%

Place

Recent: 12-6-9-9-11-5 · 12/14(3 4 12) · 6/14(14 12 6) · 9/14(12 10 9) · 9/14(7 9 9) · 11/14(8 8 11) · 5/14(10 9 5) · 22d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 4 12 · Odds move: 23.0→24.0

Form40
Pace47
Draw85
J/T73
Weight11
Odds21
Move48

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
11

QUICK MONEY

Rank #13

Draw 14 · 124lb · K C Leung · C H Yip · R29 · 26.0

6.2%

Win

18.7%

Place

Recent: 6-14-9-11-13-13 · 6/14(4 3 6) · 14/14(4 4 4 14) · 9/14(6 9 9) · 11/14(9 10 11) · 13/14(5 4 8 13) · 13/14(12 13 13) · 89d since last

Running: 4 3 6 · Odds move: 27.0→26.0

Form37
Pace30
Draw51
J/T67
Weight61
Odds20
Move52

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
9

LEGENDARY IMPACT

Rank #14

Draw 9 · 128lb · A Badel · Y S Tsui · R33 · 46.0

6.1%

Win

18.6%

Place

Recent: 11-11-7-6-11-6 · 11/14(1 1 1 11) · 11/14(7 6 11) · 7/14(3 3 3 7) · 6/14(3 2 6) · 11/14(11 11 11) · 6/14(5 4 6) · 18d since last · Gear V/TT

Running: 1 1 1 11 · Odds move: 45.0→46.0

Form39
Pace21
Draw72
J/T75
Weight39
Odds14
Move49

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement