Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R10 TIANJIN HANDICAP

17:45 · 1400m · Class 3 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	7	SUPERB SPIRIT	4	8.8%	6.4
2	14	MASTER LUCKY	5	8.7%	5.2
3	9	PAPAYA BROSE	3	8.1%	12.0
4	8	MONEY GAMES	9	7.9%	6.2
5	1	CHILL BUDDY	8	7.8%	7.5
6	3	AEROVOLANIC	1	7.7%	6.2

17
SUPERB SPIRIT
Draw 4 · 6.4
8.8%
214
MASTER LUCKY
Draw 5 · 5.2
8.7%
39
PAPAYA BROSE
Draw 3 · 12.0
8.1%
48
MONEY GAMES
Draw 9 · 6.2
7.9%
51
CHILL BUDDY
Draw 8 · 7.5
7.8%
63
AEROVOLANIC
Draw 1 · 6.2
7.7%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

SUPERB SPIRIT

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 124lb · Z Purton · K W Lui · R67 · 6.4

8.8%

Win

25.9%

Place

Recent: 2-1-1-4 · 2/14(5 5 2) · 1/14(6 6 1) · 1/14(4 4 1) · 4/14(8 8 4) · 89d since last · Gear XB

Running: 5 5 2 · Odds move: 6.5→6.4

Form97

Pace80

Draw87

J/T88

Weight65

Odds46

Move51

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / K W Lui)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

MASTER LUCKY

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 118lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R61 · 5.2

8.7%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 2-1-2-3-5-7 · 2/14(2 1 1 2) · 1/14(2 2 2 1) · 2/14(2 2 2 2) · 3/14(2 2 2 3) · 5/14(4 4 5) · 7/14(5 7 7) · 25d since last

Running: 2 1 1 2 · Odds move: 4.8→5.2

Form96

Pace54

Draw84

J/T81

Weight100

Odds52

Move45

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

PAPAYA BROSE

Rank #3

Draw 3 · 123lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R66 · 12.0

8.1%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: 1-4-3-1 · 1/14(4 5 1) · 4/14(10 9 4) · 3/14(11 11 9 3) · 1/14(9 9 1) · 123d since last · Gear TT

Running: 4 5 1 · Odds move: 10.0→12.0

Form92

Pace86

Draw90

J/T86

Weight71

Odds32

Move39

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Comes off a win

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

MONEY GAMES

Rank #4

Draw 9 · 123lb · J Orman · M Newnham · R66 · 6.2

7.9%

Win

23.5%

Place

Recent: 6 · 6/14(13 12 10 6) · 18d since last

Running: 13 12 10 6 · Odds move: 8.8→6.2

Form64

Pace89

Draw71

J/T62

Weight71

Odds47

Move66

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

CHILL BUDDY

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 135lb · C L Chau · P F Yiu · R78 · 7.5

7.8%

Win

23.2%

Place

Recent: 2-1-9-4-1-6 · 2/14(3 3 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 9/14(7 7 9) · 4/14(3 3 4) · 1/14(3 2 1) · 6/14(1 1 6) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 3 2 · Odds move: 10.0→7.5

Form85

Pace54

Draw74

J/T75

Weight0

Odds42

Move64

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

AEROVOLANIC

Rank #6

Draw 1 · 129lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R72 · 6.2

7.7%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 2-10-5-3-6-1 · 2/14(2 3 3 2) · 10/14(1 1 1 10) · 5/14(6 5 6 5) · 3/14(7 4 5 3) · 6/14(7 8 7 6) · 1/14(4 4 3 1) · 18d since last · Gear CP

Running: 2 3 3 2 · Odds move: 6.2→6.2

Form73

Pace45

Draw96

J/T73

Weight35

Odds47

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Led / pressed and may not finish off

FLYING FORTRESS

Rank #7

Draw 7 · 126lb · H Bentley · W K Mo · R69 · 8.0

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 2-6-5-6-6-10 · 2/14(7 5 4 2) · 6/14(9 9 6) · 5/14(10 11 5) · 6/14(12 4 6) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 10/14(5 7 5 10) · 25d since last · Gear CP/XB/TT

Running: 7 5 4 2 · Odds move: 6.7→8.0

Form77

Pace80

Draw78

J/T66

Weight53

Odds40

Move39

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

KING OF FIGHTERS

Rank #8

Draw 13 · 119lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R62 · 28.0

6.8%

Win

20.6%

Place

Recent: 7-1-5-6-9-9 · 7/14(10 10 7) · 1/14(9 10 10 1) · 5/14(12 13 14 5) · 6/14(11 9 7 6) · 9/14(8 8 9 9) · 9/14(11 10 9) · 78d since last

Running: 10 10 7 · Odds move: 21.0→28.0

Form71

Pace81

Draw59

J/T82

Weight94

Odds19

Move32

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Drifting in the market
–Freshness query after a break

FORTUNE BOY

Rank #9

Draw 12 · 124lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R67 · 42.0

6.3%

Win

19.2%

Place

Recent: 13-6-7-4-2-4 · 13/14(11 10 7 13) · 6/14(5 5 5 5 7 6) · 7/14(7 7 7 8 7) · 4/14(9 9 8 7 4) · 2/14(11 11 11 10 2) · 4/14(14 14 14 14 4) · 81d since last · Gear B/BK

Running: 11 10 7 13 · Odds move: 46.0→42.0

Form50

Pace55

Draw62

J/T79

Weight65

Odds15

Move55

Strengths

+Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

JOYFIELD

Rank #10

Draw 2 · 131lb · K C Leung · C S Shum · R74 · 21.0

6.3%

Win

19.0%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT1

Odds move: 18.0→21.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw93

J/T70

Weight24

Odds23

Move41

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

SAMARKAND

Rank #11

Draw 14 · 122lb · L Hewitson · J Richards · R65 · 47.0

6.1%

Win

18.7%

Place

Recent: 12-4-2-7-6-8 · 12/14(2 2 3 12) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 2/14(4 3 3 2) · 7/14(2 2 2 7) · 6/14(3 3 4 6) · 8/14(1 1 1 8) · 22d since last

Running: 2 2 3 12 · Odds move: 44.0→47.0

Form60

Pace25

Draw56

J/T75

Weight76

Odds14

Move46

Strengths

+Solid connections (L Hewitson / J Richards)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

LEATHER HERO

Rank #12

Draw 11 · 121lb · M F Poon · C H Yip · R64 · 28.0

6.1%

Win

18.5%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT1

Odds move: 23.0→28.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw65

J/T66

Weight82

Odds19

Move38

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

SONIC LINER

Rank #13

Draw 6 · 125lb · P N Wong · J Richards · R68 · 52.0

6.0%

Win

18.3%

Place

Recent: 9 · 9/14(9 10 8 9) · 89d since last

Running: 9 10 8 9 · Odds move: 47.0→52.0

Form43

Pace54

Draw81

J/T61

Weight59

Odds13

Move44

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

NATURAL NUMBERS

Rank #14

Draw 10 · 120lb · M Chadwick · Y S Tsui · R63 · 38.0

5.9%

Win

18.0%

Place

Recent: 13-7-10-11-5-3 · 13/14(5 3 3 13) · 7/14(6 5 4 7) · 10/14(12 11 10 10) · 11/14(13 12 9 11) · 5/14(4 6 6 5) · 3/14(10 10 7 3) · 137d since last · Gear B

Running: 5 3 3 13 · Odds move: 32.0→38.0

Form36

Pace42

Draw68

J/T72

Weight88

Odds16

Move40

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break