Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R1 CHAI WAN KOK HANDICAP

12:30 · 1650m · Class 5 · AWT · Course AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	12	ORIENTAL SURPRISE	8	9.0%	4.9
2	14	HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER	1	8.6%	3.4
3	2	HAILTOTHEVICTORS	5	7.5%	7.0
4	1	DOUBLE BINGO	3	7.5%	8.5
5	13	GO GO GO	11	7.2%	18.0
6	4	SOARING BRONCO	7	7.2%	20.0

112
ORIENTAL SURPRISE
Draw 8 · 4.9
9.0%
214
HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER
Draw 1 · 3.4
8.6%
32
HAILTOTHEVICTORS
Draw 5 · 7.0
7.5%
41
DOUBLE BINGO
Draw 3 · 8.5
7.5%
513
GO GO GO
Draw 11 · 18.0
7.2%
64
SOARING BRONCO
Draw 7 · 20.0
7.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

ORIENTAL SURPRISE

Rank #1

Draw 8 · 123lb · Z Purton · D A Hayes · R26 · 4.9

9.0%

Win

26.4%

Place

Recent: 2-3-2-2-12-2 · 2/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · 12/14 · 2/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 4.9→4.9

Form92

Pace50

Draw73

J/T90

Weight80

Odds54

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / D A Hayes)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 120lb · P N Wong · A S Cruz · R23 · 3.4

8.6%

Win

25.5%

Place

Recent: 5-5-5-13-11-9 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 13/14 · 11/14 · 9/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 3.4→3.4

Form61

Pace50

Draw86

J/T67

Weight100

Odds67

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

HAILTOTHEVICTORS

Rank #3

Draw 5 · 134lb · L Ferraris · D Eustace · R37 · 7.0

7.5%

Win

22.4%

Place

Recent: 9-3-8-2-10-4 · 9/14 · 3/14 · 8/14 · 2/14 · 10/14 · 4/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 7.0→7.0

Form64

Pace50

Draw79

J/T69

Weight7

Odds44

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

DOUBLE BINGO

Rank #4

Draw 3 · 135lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R38 · 8.5

7.5%

Win

22.4%

Place

Recent: 10-5-1-2-3-2 · 10/14 · 5/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 3/14 · 2/14

Odds move: 8.5→8.5

Form70

Pace50

Draw82

J/T69

Weight0

Odds39

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

GO GO GO

Rank #5

Draw 11 · 122lb · K Teetan · W Y So · R25 · 18.0

7.2%

Win

21.6%

Place

Recent: 12-3-5-1-10-4 · 12/14 · 3/14 · 5/14 · 1/14 · 10/14 · 4/14 · Gear PC-/B1/TT

Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form62

Pace50

Draw67

J/T81

Weight87

Odds25

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (K Teetan / W Y So)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SOARING BRONCO

Rank #6

Draw 7 · 132lb · J Orman · M Newnham · R35 · 20.0

7.2%

Win

21.5%

Place

Recent: 5-5-3-3-2-1 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 1/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 20.0→20.0

Form80

Pace50

Draw75

J/T62

Weight20

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

MAZING GRACE

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 123lb · R Kingscote · C W Chang · R26 · 10.0

7.0%

Win

21.1%

Place

Recent: 10-5-14-5-6-14 · 10/14 · 5/14 · 14/14 · 5/14 · 6/14 · 14/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form46

Pace50

Draw71

J/T63

Weight80

Odds35

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

CELESTIAL HARMONY

Rank #8

Draw 13 · 129lb · L Hewitson · B Crawford · R32 · 21.0

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 8-7-8-4-6-1 · 8/14 · 7/14 · 8/14 · 4/14 · 6/14 · 1/14 · Gear XB

Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form57

Pace50

Draw63

J/T76

Weight40

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (L Hewitson / B Crawford)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

BLUE BARON

Rank #9

Draw 12 · 124lb · A Badel · Y S Tsui · R27 · 33.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 7-8-7-5-9-8 · 7/14 · 8/14 · 7/14 · 5/14 · 9/14 · 8/14

Odds move: 33.0→33.0

Form56

Pace50

Draw65

J/T75

Weight73

Odds17

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

VIVA TASTE

Rank #10

Draw 6 · 126lb · M Chadwick · K H Ting · R29 · 16.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 12-7-9-6-10-5 · 12/14 · 7/14 · 9/14 · 6/14 · 10/14 · 5/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form42

Pace50

Draw77

J/T64

Weight60

Odds27

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SWAGGER BRO

Rank #11

Draw 4 · 131lb · C L Chau · J Richards · R34 · 27.0

6.6%

Win

20.0%

Place

Recent: 14-5-5-6-3-6 · 14/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 6/14 · 3/14 · 6/14 · Gear CP1

Odds move: 27.0→27.0

Form50

Pace50

Draw80

J/T71

Weight27

Odds19

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

FORTUNE SUPERNOVA

Rank #12

Draw 2 · 132lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R35 · 27.0

6.6%

Win

19.9%

Place

Recent: 8-9-6-7-12-11 · 8/14 · 9/14 · 6/14 · 7/14 · 12/14 · 11/14 · Gear CP/TT

Odds move: 27.0→27.0

Form50

Pace50

Draw84

J/T64

Weight20

Odds19

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

RISING ELITE

Rank #13

Draw 10 · 131lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R34 · 36.0

6.4%

Win

19.3%

Place

Recent: 9-12-5-5-5-14 · 9/14 · 12/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 14/14 · Gear B-/V1/TT

Odds move: 36.0→36.0

Form49

Pace50

Draw69

J/T64

Weight27

Odds16

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

KOLACHI

Rank #14

Draw 14 · 123lb · M L Yeung · D J Whyte · R26 · 66.0

6.2%

Win

18.9%

Place

Recent: 10-9-10-11-9-10 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 10/14 · 11/14 · 9/14 · 10/14 · Gear SR-/H1/P1/TT

Odds move: 66.0→66.0

Form37

Pace50

Draw61

J/T73

Weight80

Odds11

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement