HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Happy Valley Meeting - 2026-10-07

Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Happy Valley · Good to Firm

R2 CHEUNG FAT HANDICAP

19:05 · 1200m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 110

    LOVING VIBES

    Draw 1 · 2.3

    11.9%
  • 25

    WORLD HERO

    Draw 3 · 8.0

    8.8%
  • 36

    HAYDAY

    Draw 4 · 7.0

    8.6%
  • 47

    NEW POWER

    Draw 5 · 14.0

    8.6%
  • 52

    LUCKY MCQUEEN

    Draw 10 · 8.0

    8.6%
  • 64

    WINNING MONEY

    Draw 12 · 12.0

    8.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

10

LOVING VIBES

Rank #1

Draw 1 · 119lb · A Atzeni · M Newnham · R43 · 2.3

11.9%

Win

34.2%

Place

Recent: 4-2-2-2-8-3 · 4/14(2 1 4) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 2/14(2 1 2) · 8/14(12 12 8) · 3/14(11 10 3) · 21d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 2 1 4 · Odds move: 2.3→2.3

Form89
Pace52
Draw100
J/T73
Weight84
Odds85
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
5

WORLD HERO

Rank #2

Draw 3 · 130lb · H Bentley · D A Hayes · R54 · 8.0

8.8%

Win

26.3%

Place

Recent: 6-12-6-3-1-1 · 6/14(6 6 6) · 12/14(6 5 12) · 6/14(4 5 6) · 3/14(2 2 3) · 1/14(2 1 1) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 24d since last

Running: 6 6 6 · Odds move: 8.0→8.0

Form59
Pace43
Draw86
J/T76
Weight26
Odds40
Move50

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Solid connections (H Bentley / D A Hayes)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
6

HAYDAY

Rank #3

Draw 4 · 129lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R53 · 7.0

8.6%

Win

25.8%

Place

Recent: 11-2-9-5-6-5 · 11/14(5 9 11) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 9/14(3 4 9) · 5/14(6 7 5) · 6/14(2 2 6) · 5/14(5 4 5) · 87d since last

Running: 5 9 11 · Odds move: 7.0→7.0

Form58
Pace31
Draw80
J/T69
Weight32
Odds44
Move50

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

NEW POWER

Rank #4

Draw 5 · 126lb · M L Yeung · C W Chang · R50 · 14.0

8.6%

Win

25.7%

Place

Recent: 5-3-8-6-6-8 · 5/14(5 5 5) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 8/14(7 9 8) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 6/14(2 1 6) · 8/14(6 6 8) · 119d since last

Running: 5 5 5 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form71
Pace55
Draw73
J/T62
Weight47
Odds29
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
2

LUCKY MCQUEEN

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 134lb · M F Poon · W K Mo · R58 · 8.0

8.6%

Win

25.7%

Place

Recent: 2-1-9-5-4-1 · 2/14(5 6 2) · 1/14(6 5 1) · 9/14(8 9 9) · 5/14(9 9 5) · 4/14(3 4 4) · 1/14(5 4 1) · 21d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 5 6 2 · Odds move: 8.0→8.0

Form83
Pace72
Draw39
J/T62
Weight5
Odds40
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
4

WINNING MONEY

Rank #6

Draw 12 · 131lb · L Ferraris · K W Lui · R55 · 12.0

8.2%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 3-4-4-3-6-7 · 3/14(1 1 3) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 4/14(5 2 4) · 3/14(6 1 3) · 6/14(6 5 6) · 7/14(4 4 7) · 21d since last · Gear B/XB

Running: 1 1 3 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form84
Pace51
Draw25
J/T73
Weight21
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
12

TACTICAL COMMAND

Rank #7

Draw 7 · 116lb · A Badel · J Richards · R40 · 23.0

8.0%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 7-10-7-10-5-6 · 7/14(7 9 7) · 10/14(11 10 12 10) · 7/14(9 9 7) · 10/14(7 8 10) · 5/14(12 11 5) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 21d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 7 9 7 · Odds move: 23.0→23.0

Form50
Pace57
Draw59
J/T76
Weight100
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

I AM BACK

Rank #8

Draw 6 · 122lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R46 · 24.0

7.9%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: 7-12-8 · 7/14(9 9 7) · 12/14(6 7 12) · 8/14(10 10 8) · 84d since last · Gear TT

Running: 9 9 7 · Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form44
Pace50
Draw66
J/T86
Weight68
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
1

GLORIOUS DYNASTY

Rank #9

Draw 8 · 135lb · L Hewitson · B Crawford · R59 · 15.0

7.7%

Win

23.3%

Place

Recent: 6-12-6 · 6/14(11 12 6) · 12/14(5 4 5 12) · 6/14(7 11 6) · 21d since last · Gear V

Running: 11 12 6 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form50
Pace55
Draw52
J/T76
Weight0
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / B Crawford)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
9

LIGHTNESS OF BEING

Rank #10

Draw 9 · 119lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R43 · 22.0

7.4%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 7-9-7-12-12-11 · 7/14(4 4 7) · 9/14(2 2 9) · 7/14(10 10 7) · 12/14(1 2 3 12) · 12/14(8 6 12) · 11/14(8 10 11) · 21d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 4 4 7 · Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form46
Pace30
Draw45
J/T71
Weight84
Odds22
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
11

SMILING CHAMPION

Rank #11

Draw 11 · 118lb · K Teetan · D J Whyte · R42 · 44.0

7.2%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 8-13-9-10-12 · 8/14(12 12 8) · 13/14(10 10 11 13) · 9/14(13 14 9) · 10/14(4 6 10) · 12/14(11 12 12) · 84d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 12 12 8 · Odds move: 44.0→44.0

Form35
Pace55
Draw32
J/T85
Weight89
Odds14
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / D J Whyte)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
3

VIGOR HAPPINESS

Rank #12

Draw 2 · 132lb · E C W Wong · Y S Tsui · R56 · 38.0

7.1%

Win

21.7%

Place

Recent: 9-14-10-14 · 9/14(5 5 9) · 14/14(1 1 14) · 10/14(7 8 10) · 14/14(1 2 14) · 14d since last · Gear H

Running: 5 5 9 · Odds move: 38.0→38.0

Form27
Pace21
Draw93
J/T61
Weight16
Odds16
Move50

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement