Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Happy Valley · Good to Firm

R4 FAT TSEUNG HANDICAP

20:10 · 1650m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	10	PRECISION HOPE	2	10.5%	4.2
2	2	SKY DEEP	1	9.8%	4.7
3	12	PRESTIGE RICKY	4	9.5%	7.6
4	4	TAKE ACTION	5	9.2%	11.0
5	8	ABSOLUTE HONOUR	10	8.6%	9.9
6	11	PODIUM	3	8.6%	19.0

110
PRECISION HOPE
Draw 2 · 4.2
10.5%
22
SKY DEEP
Draw 1 · 4.7
9.8%
312
PRESTIGE RICKY
Draw 4 · 7.6
9.5%
44
TAKE ACTION
Draw 5 · 11.0
9.2%
58
ABSOLUTE HONOUR
Draw 10 · 9.9
8.6%
611
PODIUM
Draw 3 · 19.0
8.6%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

PRECISION HOPE

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 120lb · A Badel · D A Hayes · R45 · 4.2

10.5%

Win

30.7%

Place

Recent: 4-3-2-4-9-8 · 4/14(4 5 6 4) · 3/14(4 4 4 3) · 2/14(6 6 5 2) · 4/14(8 8 8 4) · 9/14(12 11 12 9) · 8/14(11 9 11 8) · 28d since last · Gear B1/TT1

Running: 4 5 6 4 · Odds move: 4.2→4.2

Form84

Pace65

Draw93

J/T82

Weight88

Odds59

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Solid connections (A Badel / D A Hayes)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SKY DEEP

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 132lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R57 · 4.7

9.8%

Win

28.9%

Place

Recent: 4-2-5-2-6-1 · 4/14(5 5 5 4) · 2/14(2 2 4 2) · 5/14(2 1 1 5) · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 6/14(5 5 6) · 1/14(2 2 2 1) · 28d since last · Gear PC-/XB/B2

Running: 5 5 5 4 · Odds move: 4.7→4.7

Form84

Pace50

Draw100

J/T71

Weight18

Odds55

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

PRESTIGE RICKY

Rank #3

Draw 4 · 118lb · K Teetan · P F Yiu · R43 · 7.6

9.5%

Win

28.3%

Place

Recent: 3-7-6-6-3-11 · 3/14(12 12 10 3) · 7/14(9 9 9 9 7) · 6/14(8 8 8 6) · 6/14(9 9 8 6) · 3/14(7 6 7 3) · 11/14(7 7 8 11) · 84d since last · Gear E/TT

Running: 12 12 10 3 · Odds move: 7.6→7.6

Form73

Pace77

Draw80

J/T84

Weight100

Odds41

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Solid connections (K Teetan / P F Yiu)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

TAKE ACTION

Rank #4

Draw 5 · 129lb · B Avdulla · J Size · R54 · 11.0

9.2%

Win

27.4%

Place

Recent: 4-4-1-2-6-2 · 4/14(9 9 11 4) · 4/14(12 11 10 4) · 1/14(11 11 10 1) · 2/14(6 6 7 2) · 6/14(7 7 6 6) · 2/14(6 7 7 2) · 84d since last · Gear B

Running: 9 9 11 4 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form85

Pace86

Draw73

J/T82

Weight35

Odds33

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Solid connections (B Avdulla / J Size)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

ABSOLUTE HONOUR

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 126lb · Z Purton · F C Lor · R51 · 9.9

8.6%

Win

25.9%

Place

Recent: 3-4-3-1-4-7 · 3/14(4 4 4 3) · 4/14(4 4 3 3 4) · 3/14(3 6 5 4 3) · 1/14(5 3 4 1) · 4/14(4 5 6 4) · 7/14(5 5 5 7) · 87d since last

Running: 4 4 4 3 · Odds move: 9.9→9.9

Form88

Pace57

Draw39

J/T87

Weight53

Odds35

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Solid connections (Z Purton / F C Lor)

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

PODIUM

Rank #6

Draw 3 · 118lb · A Atzeni · D Eustace · R43 · 19.0

8.6%

Win

25.9%

Place

Recent: 7-9-2-4-1-1 · 7/14(7 8 7) · 9/14(11 11 9) · 2/14(3 3 2 2) · 4/14(6 6 4) · 1/14(5 4 3 1) · 1/14(9 9 9 1) · 14d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 7 8 7 · Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form67

Pace59

Draw86

J/T72

Weight100

Odds24

Move50

Strengths

+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Carries a competitive weight
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Distance change from last start

AMAZING AWARD

Rank #7

Draw 6 · 121lb · R Kingscote · D Eustace · R46 · 21.0

8.3%

Win

24.9%

Place

Recent: 5-4-4-2-7-7 · 5/14(3 2 2 5) · 4/14(1 2 2 4) · 4/14(3 4 3 4) · 2/14(3 3 3 2) · 7/14(5 5 7 7) · 7/14(3 2 2 7) · 164d since last · Gear B-/CP2/TT

Running: 3 2 2 5 · Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form77

Pace45

Draw66

J/T69

Weight82

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

STURDY RUBY

Rank #8

Draw 8 · 130lb · L Ferraris · K L Man · R55 · 18.0

7.7%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 8-5-2-8-10-9 · 8/14(9 9 8 8) · 5/14(7 7 6 5) · 2/14(5 5 6 2) · 8/14(11 11 10 8) · 10/14(9 10 10 10) · 9/14(8 7 8 9) · 28d since last · Gear B

Running: 9 9 8 8 · Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form65

Pace64

Draw52

J/T67

Weight29

Odds25

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

VIVA GRACIOUSNESS

Rank #9

Draw 12 · 135lb · P N Wong · A S Cruz · R60 · 6.5

7.4%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 5-6-8-9-9-2 · 5/14(5 6 9 5) · 6/14(2 2 4 6) · 8/14(9 10 9 8) · 9/14(8 8 8 9) · 9/14(6 6 6 9) · 2/14(4 4 4 2) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 5 6 9 5 · Odds move: 6.5→6.5

Form60

Pace45

Draw25

J/T67

Weight0

Odds46

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
–Top weight or heavy relative impost

JUMBO STEPS

Rank #10

Draw 11 · 128lb · C Y Ho · P C Ng · R53 · 14.0

7.2%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 6-11-11-7-5-9 · 6/14(2 2 3 4 6) · 11/14(11 13 13 11) · 11/14(7 6 5 6 11) · 7/14(10 10 9 7) · 5/14(14 14 14 5) · 9/14(6 7 9) · 21d since last · Gear B

Running: 2 2 3 4 6 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form47

Pace42

Draw32

J/T85

Weight41

Odds29

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (C Y Ho / P C Ng)

Risks

–Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley

MISSION GIANT

Rank #11

Draw 9 · 127lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R52 · 47.0

6.6%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 7-14-12-10-4-12 · 7/14(2 2 1 7) · 14/14(8 7 7 11 14) · 12/14(9 12 12 12 12) · 10/14(6 9 9 10 10) · 4/14(8 7 7 7 4) · 12/14(6 8 11 12) · 28d since last · Gear V-

Running: 2 2 1 7 · Odds move: 47.0→47.0

Form35

Pace28

Draw45

J/T68

Weight47

Odds14

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

BLAZING METEOR

Rank #12

Draw 7 · 127lb · M F Poon · C H Yip · R52 · 19.0

6.5%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 14 · 14/14(14 14 14) · 31d since last

Running: 14 14 14 · Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form7

Pace50

Draw59

J/T66

Weight47

Odds24

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Distance change from last start