HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Happy Valley Meeting - 2026-10-07

Wednesday, 7 October 2026 · Happy Valley · Good to Firm

R8 HING FAT HANDICAP

22:15 · 1650m · Class 3 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 12

    POPE CODY

    Draw 2 · 6.5

    9.9%
  • 210

    FLYING FORTUNE

    Draw 1 · 13.0

    9.1%
  • 34

    DO YOU JUST

    Draw 4 · 5.6

    9.0%
  • 41

    DAZZLING FIT

    Draw 7 · 4.4

    9.0%
  • 512

    REFUSETOBEENGLISH

    Draw 9 · 6.2

    8.6%
  • 611

    URANUS STAR

    Draw 3 · 11.0

    8.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

2

POPE CODY

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 132lb · A Badel · Y S Tsui · R77 · 6.5

9.9%

Win

29.0%

Place

Recent: 1-2-6-3-9-6 · 1/14(9 9 6 1) · 2/14(8 9 9 8 2) · 6/14(8 8 8 6) · 3/14(5 4 4 4 3) · 9/14(8 10 11 9 9) · 6/14(14 14 14 12 6) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 9 9 6 1 · Odds move: 6.5→6.5

Form88
Pace82
Draw93
J/T75
Weight16
Odds46
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

FLYING FORTUNE

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 117lb · H Bentley · W K Mo · R62 · 13.0

9.1%

Win

26.9%

Place

Recent: 7-1-4-3-12-6 · 7/14(2 4 5 6 7) · 1/14(4 3 4 1) · 4/14(2 2 1 4) · 3/14(4 5 8 3) · 12/14(6 6 12 12) · 6/14(7 6 7 6) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 4 5 6 7 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form75
Pace44
Draw100
J/T66
Weight95
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

DO YOU JUST

Rank #3

Draw 4 · 127lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R72 · 5.6

9.0%

Win

26.9%

Place

Recent: 3-9-7-1-6-5 · 3/14(7 7 3) · 9/14(3 4 9) · 7/14(8 7 7) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 6/14(3 3 3 6) · 5/14(2 3 4 5) · 91d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 7 7 3 · Odds move: 5.6→5.6

Form71
Pace50
Draw80
J/T71
Weight42
Odds50
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break
1

DAZZLING FIT

Rank #4

Draw 7 · 135lb · Z Purton · D Eustace · R80 · 4.4

9.0%

Win

26.8%

Place

Recent: 2-10-5-3-6-5 · 2/14(4 5 5 2) · 10/14(12 12 11 9 10) · 5/14(3 5 4 4 5) · 3/14(4 4 6 6 3) · 6/14(10 10 11 6) · 5/14(10 10 8 5) · 21d since last

Running: 4 5 5 2 · Odds move: 4.4→4.4

Form73
Pace58
Draw59
J/T84
Weight0
Odds58
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / D Eustace)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
12

REFUSETOBEENGLISH

Rank #5

Draw 9 · 116lb · K C Leung · P C Ng · R61 · 6.2

8.6%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 12-4-2-8-5-9 · 12/14(7 7 7 12) · 4/14(14 13 12 4) · 2/14(11 9 2) · 8/14(11 10 10 8) · 5/14(8 8 5) · 9/14(6 5 9) · 21d since last · Gear B

Running: 7 7 7 12 · Odds move: 6.2→6.2

Form59
Pace69
Draw45
J/T75
Weight100
Odds47
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (K C Leung / P C Ng)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

URANUS STAR

Rank #6

Draw 3 · 117lb · M Chadwick · K W Lui · R62 · 11.0

8.3%

Win

24.9%

Place

Recent: 9-7-7-12-2-8 · 9/14(8 9 9) · 7/14(2 2 2 7) · 7/14(2 2 1 7) · 12/14(9 7 8 12) · 2/14(2 2 2 2) · 8/14(3 2 2 8) · 108d since last

Running: 8 9 9 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form50
Pace29
Draw86
J/T78
Weight95
Odds33
Move50

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Solid connections (M Chadwick / K W Lui)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break
3

PRESTIGE GOOD

Rank #7

Draw 6 · 128lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R73 · 11.0

8.0%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 3-11-6-10-2-5 · 3/14(2 1 1 1 3) · 11/14(11 12 10 11) · 6/14(5 3 1 1 6) · 10/14(2 2 2 2 10) · 2/14(1 1 1 1 2) · 5/14(11 10 2 2 5) · 157d since last · Gear V

Running: 2 1 1 1 3 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form62
Pace41
Draw66
J/T73
Weight37
Odds33
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Led / pressed and may not finish off
  • –Freshness query after a break
8

RISING PHOENIX

Rank #8

Draw 5 · 119lb · P N Wong · D J Hall · R64 · 16.0

7.9%

Win

23.9%

Place

Recent: 13-1-7-8-4-5 · 13/14(12 13 14 13) · 1/14(7 7 6 1) · 7/14(5 5 7 7) · 8/14(2 3 5 8) · 4/14(9 7 7 4) · 5/14(4 2 2 5) · 24d since last · Gear B-/V1

Running: 12 13 14 13 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form55
Pace53
Draw73
J/T59
Weight84
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

AUDACIOUS PURSUIT

Rank #9

Draw 8 · 118lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R63 · 17.0

7.8%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 7-1-9-13-2-2 · 7/14(2 3 3 3 7) · 1/14(3 3 2 1) · 9/14(6 4 4 9) · 13/14(13 13 13 14 13) · 2/14(8 7 8 5 2) · 2/14(14 14 14 14 2) · 119d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 3 3 3 7 · Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form63
Pace43
Draw52
J/T71
Weight89
Odds26
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
5

RUN RUN SMART

Rank #10

Draw 11 · 123lb · H Y Yuen · F C Lor · R68 · 17.0

7.7%

Win

23.3%

Place

Recent: 5-5-2-1-3-14 · 5/14(1 1 1 5) · 5/14(1 1 1 5) · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 3/14(1 1 1 3) · 14/14(5 2 5 14) · 24d since last · Gear TT

Running: 1 1 1 5 · Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form82
Pace30
Draw32
J/T68
Weight63
Odds26
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
7

LEGEND WINNER

Rank #11

Draw 10 · 120lb · L Hewitson · M Newnham · R65 · 32.0

7.5%

Win

22.8%

Place

Recent: 11-1-3-9-9-4 · 11/14(11 11 11 11) · 1/14(2 2 2 1) · 3/14(4 4 4 3) · 9/14(4 6 6 9) · 9/14(4 3 4 9) · 4/14(6 6 5 4) · 105d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 11 11 11 11 · Odds move: 32.0→32.0

Form63
Pace51
Draw39
J/T77
Weight79
Odds18
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / M Newnham)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
6

CALL ME TOPSEED

Rank #12

Draw 12 · 121lb · A Atzeni · K L Man · R66 · 28.0

7.2%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 8-2-5-14-8-13 · 8/14(3 2 3 8) · 2/14(7 7 6 2) · 5/14(2 2 3 5) · 14/14(10 11 13 14) · 8/14(5 4 4 8) · 13/14(3 2 6 13) · 21d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 3 2 3 8 · Odds move: 28.0→28.0

Form62
Pace44
Draw25
J/T69
Weight74
Odds19
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement