HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Happy Valley Meeting - 2026-10-14

Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Happy Valley · Good

R1 D'AGUILAR HANDICAP

18:35 · 1650m · Class 5 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 111

    WINDICATOR FAMILY

    Draw 2 · 5.7

    9.8%
  • 210

    ORIENTAL SURPRISE

    Draw 9 · 6.6

    9.4%
  • 35

    THE ALL ROUNDER

    Draw 11 · 6.3

    8.9%
  • 41

    CHEERFUL WONGCHOY

    Draw 7 · 5.0

    8.9%
  • 58

    SETANTA

    Draw 4 · 10.0

    8.7%
  • 66

    MADE FOR LIFE

    Draw 5 · 13.0

    8.5%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

11

WINDICATOR FAMILY

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 121lb · K Teetan · W K Mo · R25 · 5.7

9.8%

Win

28.8%

Place

Recent: 3-5-7-12-2-9 · 3/14(9 9 9 3) · 5/14(2 2 2 5) · 7/14(4 5 5 7) · 12/14(3 2 2 12) · 2/14(10 9 11 2) · 9/14(9 8 10 9) · 21d since last

Running: 9 9 9 3 · Odds move: 5.9→5.7

Form70
Pace55
Draw93
J/T76
Weight93
Odds49
Move52

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / W K Mo)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

ORIENTAL SURPRISE

Rank #2

Draw 9 · 122lb · H Y Yuen · D A Hayes · R26 · 6.6

9.4%

Win

27.8%

Place

Recent: 3-2-3-2-2-12 · 3/14(2 2 2 3) · 2/14(6 6 6 2) · 3/14(5 9 3) · 2/14(3 4 3 2) · 2/14(8 7 6 2) · 12/14(2 2 3 12) · 10d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 2 2 2 3 · Odds move: 6.9→6.6

Form95
Pace64
Draw45
J/T71
Weight87
Odds45
Move52

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
5

THE ALL ROUNDER

Rank #3

Draw 11 · 131lb · C Y Ho · P C Ng · R35 · 6.3

8.9%

Win

26.6%

Place

Recent: 3-2-4-5-9-3 · 3/14(9 9 9 3) · 2/14(14 14 14 2) · 4/14(7 8 4) · 5/14(9 10 9 5) · 9/14(6 7 6 9) · 3/14(14 9 9 3) · 10d since last · Gear PC/H1

Running: 9 9 9 3 · Odds move: 6.3→6.3

Form85
Pace81
Draw32
J/T85
Weight27
Odds46
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / P C Ng)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
1

CHEERFUL WONGCHOY

Rank #4

Draw 7 · 135lb · Z Purton · D J Whyte · R39 · 5.0

8.9%

Win

26.5%

Place

Recent: 5-4-8-8-8-8 · 5/14(3 4 3 5) · 4/14(14 13 13 4) · 8/14(13 12 11 8) · 8/14(8 9 8 8) · 8/14(11 11 12 8) · 8/14(3 3 8) · 31d since last

Running: 3 4 3 5 · Odds move: 4.9→5.0

Form65
Pace67
Draw59
J/T89
Weight0
Odds53
Move49

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / D J Whyte)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
8

SETANTA

Rank #5

Draw 4 · 126lb · Y L Chung · Y S Tsui · R30 · 10.0

8.7%

Win

26.1%

Place

Recent: 8-4-7-4-2-8 · 8/14(10 11 12 8) · 4/14(7 8 8 4) · 7/14(11 5 7 7) · 4/14(9 9 9 4) · 2/14(8 8 8 2) · 8/14(11 13 13 8) · 13d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 10 11 12 8 · Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form66
Pace70
Draw80
J/T63
Weight60
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

MADE FOR LIFE

Rank #6

Draw 5 · 130lb · K C Leung · M Newnham · R34 · 13.0

8.5%

Win

25.5%

Place

Recent: 4-6-4-8-6-10 · 4/14(13 11 7 4) · 6/14(8 8 7 6) · 4/14(11 9 4) · 8/14(9 9 9 8) · 6/14(6 6 6 6) · 10/14(12 13 12 10) · 10d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 13 11 7 4 · Odds move: 12.0→13.0

Form70
Pace76
Draw73
J/T70
Weight33
Odds30
Move45

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

WHOWROTETHATSONG

Rank #7

Draw 3 · 135lb · L Ferraris · C H Yip · R39 · 9.4

8.2%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 7-11-6-7-12-10 · 7/14(11 11 9 7) · 11/14(10 5 4 11) · 6/14(8 7 5 6) · 7/14(11 11 11 7) · 12/14(14 14 14 12) · 10/14(10 10 10) · 91d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 11 9 7 · Odds move: 9.3→9.4

Form49
Pace64
Draw86
J/T69
Weight0
Odds36
Move49

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
9

KASA PAPA

Rank #8

Draw 8 · 123lb · C L Chau · A S Cruz · R27 · 18.0

8.2%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 5-6-5-4-10-9 · 5/14(7 9 9 5) · 6/14(5 5 4 5 3 6) · 5/14(8 8 8 8 5) · 4/14(6 7 6 5 6 4) · 10/14(8 5 5 7 10) · 9/14(13 12 11 11 9) · 91d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 7 9 9 5 · Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form68
Pace59
Draw52
J/T77
Weight80
Odds25
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (C L Chau / A S Cruz)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
7

OUR LUCKY GLORY

Rank #9

Draw 1 · 129lb · H Bentley · W Y So · R33 · 17.0

8.1%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 11-10-7-4-3-10 · 11/14(6 8 10 11) · 10/14(8 7 8 10) · 7/14(2 3 4 7) · 4/14(2 2 2 4) · 3/14(4 3 3 3) · 10/14(4 1 2 1 10) · 91d since last · Gear TT

Running: 6 8 10 11 · Odds move: 18.0→17.0

Form47
Pace35
Draw100
J/T71
Weight40
Odds26
Move53

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
12

WINNING DIAMOND

Rank #10

Draw 6 · 120lb · R Kingscote · D Eustace · R24 · 14.0

8.0%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 6-11-9-4-10-4 · 6/14(10 10 6) · 11/14(12 12 11) · 9/14(8 8 9) · 4/14(7 7 4) · 10/14(12 11 12 10) · 4/14(8 8 7 4) · 13d since last · Gear B

Running: 10 10 6 · Odds move: 13.0→14.0

Form50
Pace60
Draw66
J/T69
Weight100
Odds29
Move46

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Distance change from last start
4

FLASH STAR

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 132lb · L Hewitson · C S Shum · R36 · 37.0

6.7%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 8-12-6-9-9-11 · 8/14(9 8 8) · 12/14(3 4 12) · 6/14(14 12 6) · 9/14(12 10 9) · 9/14(7 9 9) · 11/14(8 8 11) · 13d since last · Gear TT

Running: 9 8 8 · Odds move: 36.0→37.0

Form44
Pace48
Draw25
J/T77
Weight20
Odds16
Move48

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / C S Shum)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Distance change from last start
2

THE LION KING

Rank #12

Draw 10 · 135lb · A Atzeni · F C Lor · R39 · 23.0

6.7%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 11-8-11-6-4-3 · 11/14(1 1 3 11) · 8/14(3 3 4 8) · 11/14(6 7 7 11 11) · 6/14(5 2 2 2 6) · 4/14(11 13 13 4) · 3/14(4 4 4 3) · 35d since last

Running: 1 1 3 11 · Odds move: 22.0→23.0

Form42
Pace22
Draw39
J/T75
Weight0
Odds21
Move48

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost