HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-19

Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R11 WO CHE HANDICAP

17:50 · 1400m · Class 3 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 18

    BABY SAKURA

    Draw 2 · 3.7

    9.0%
  • 213

    NYX GLUCK

    Draw 11 · 6.0

    8.6%
  • 32

    SALON S

    Draw 7 · 5.5

    7.9%
  • 49

    GENEVA

    Draw 5 · 11.0

    7.6%
  • 56

    AEROINVINCIBLE

    Draw 6 · 15.0

    7.3%
  • 610

    CHILL BUDDY

    Draw 9 · 13.0

    7.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

8

BABY SAKURA

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 131lb · C Y Ho · K W Lui · R81 · 3.7

9.0%

Win

26.3%

Place

Recent: 1-1-4-1-3-3 · 1/14(2 3 3 1) · 1/14(4 3 3 1) · 4/14(4 4 4 4) · 1/14(4 4 4 1) · 3/14(6 5 3) · 3/14(7 9 3) · 43d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 3 3 1 · Odds move: 3.7→3.7

Form95
Pace66
Draw93
J/T81
Weight20
Odds64
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / K W Lui)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
13

NYX GLUCK

Rank #2

Draw 11 · 121lb · Z Purton · C S Shum · R71 · 6.0

8.6%

Win

25.3%

Place

Recent: 1-1-3-2-4-10 · 1/14(7 7 6 1) · 1/14(12 14 11 1) · 3/14(3 4 3 3) · 2/14(3 5 3 2) · 4/14(8 8 8 4) · 10/14(6 5 10) · 36d since last

Running: 7 7 6 1 · Odds move: 6.0→6.0

Form97
Pace81
Draw65
J/T86
Weight70
Odds48
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / C S Shum)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

SALON S

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 135lb · M F Poon · F C Lor · R85 · 5.5

7.9%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 3-4-1-1-1-1 · 3/14(3 3 3) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 22d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 3 3 · Odds move: 5.5→5.5

Form92
Pace50
Draw78
J/T69
Weight0
Odds50
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
9

GENEVA

Rank #4

Draw 5 · 131lb · J Orman · D J Hall · R81 · 11.0

7.6%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 4-4-1-2-3-5 · 4/14(10 8 4) · 4/14(9 9 4) · 1/14(12 12 1) · 2/14(10 9 2) · 3/14(9 9 3) · 5/14(9 9 9 5) · 22d since last

Running: 10 8 4 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form86
Pace88
Draw84
J/T58
Weight20
Odds33
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
6

AEROINVINCIBLE

Rank #5

Draw 6 · 132lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R82 · 15.0

7.3%

Win

22.0%

Place

Recent: 1-4-2-1-4-1 · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 2/14(3 2 2 2) · 1/14(3 3 3 1) · 4/14(2 1 1 4) · 1/14(3 2 2 1) · 22d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 1 1 1 1 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form93
Pace52
Draw81
J/T73
Weight15
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

CHILL BUDDY

Rank #6

Draw 9 · 130lb · C L Chau · P F Yiu · R80 · 13.0

7.3%

Win

22.0%

Place

Recent: 2-2-1-9-4-1 · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 9/14(7 7 9) · 4/14(3 3 4) · 1/14(3 2 1) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 1 1 1 2 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form90
Pace52
Draw71
J/T75
Weight25
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

MIGHTY MASTS

Rank #7

Draw 12 · 134lb · K Teetan · W Y So · R84 · 16.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 8-3-3-1-2-6 · 8/14(8 7 7 8) · 3/14(9 9 9 3) · 3/14(8 7 7 3) · 1/14(10 10 7 1) · 2/14(11 12 11 2) · 6/14(3 3 2 6) · 128d since last · Gear XB/TT

Running: 8 7 7 8 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form79
Pace80
Draw62
J/T81
Weight5
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / W Y So)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
5

ENDUED

Rank #8

Draw 3 · 133lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R83 · 25.0

7.0%

Win

21.2%

Place

Recent: 11-1-2-3-3-8 · 11/14(6 7 9 11) · 1/14(5 4 3 1) · 2/14(9 9 7 2) · 3/14(14 14 12 3) · 3/14(10 9 9 3) · 8/14(6 4 3 8) · 99d since last · Gear E/TT

Running: 6 7 9 11 · Odds move: 25.0→25.0

Form74
Pace71
Draw90
J/T81
Weight10
Odds20
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
1

BEAUTY BOLT

Rank #9

Draw 1 · 135lb · P N Wong · A S Cruz · R85 · 9.1

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 9-2-9-6-13-7 · 9/14(5 5 5 9) · 2/14(2 2 2 2) · 9/14(10 12 9) · 6/14(3 1 1 6) · 13/14(8 9 9 13 13) · 7/14(8 8 7 6 7) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 5 5 5 9 · Odds move: 9.1→9.1

Form59
Pace45
Draw96
J/T67
Weight0
Odds37
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
11

SKY HEART

Rank #10

Draw 4 · 130lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R80 · 15.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 10-3-3-6-5-4 · 10/14(3 3 4 5 10) · 3/14(1 1 1 3) · 3/14(3 5 6 6 3) · 6/14(2 2 2 6) · 5/14(3 5 7 7 5) · 4/14(5 5 6 4) · 183d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 3 3 4 5 10 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form68
Pace29
Draw87
J/T71
Weight25
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break
14

KING OF FIGHTERS

Rank #11

Draw 13 · 115lb · A Badel · B Crawford · R62 · 50.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 9-7-1-5-6-9 · 9/14(14 14 14 9) · 7/14(10 10 7) · 1/14(9 10 10 1) · 5/14(12 13 14 5) · 6/14(11 9 7 6) · 9/14(8 8 9 9) · 18d since last

Running: 14 14 14 9 · Odds move: 50.0→50.0

Form63
Pace81
Draw59
J/T77
Weight100
Odds13
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / B Crawford)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
12

AKASHVANI

Rank #12

Draw 14 · 122lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R72 · 40.0

6.2%

Win

18.8%

Place

Recent: 7-6-13-8-10-7 · 7/14(11 11 7) · 6/14(11 11 6) · 13/14(10 10 9 13) · 8/14(2 2 2 8) · 10/14(9 9 10) · 7/14(9 8 7) · 26d since last · Gear B

Running: 11 11 7 · Odds move: 40.0→40.0

Form48
Pace58
Draw56
J/T79
Weight65
Odds15
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
7

GARRIX

Rank #13

Draw 8 · 132lb · L Ferraris · D J Whyte · R82 · 34.0

6.1%

Win

18.5%

Place

Recent: — · Gear XB1

Odds move: 34.0→34.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw74
J/T74
Weight15
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
4

EMBLAZON

Rank #14

Draw 10 · 133lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R83 · 46.0

5.6%

Win

17.2%

Place

Recent: 12-7-9-10-14-1 · 12/14(9 11 11 12) · 7/14(5 6 6 7) · 9/14(5 6 9) · 10/14(9 13 14 10) · 14/14(5 6 7 14 14) · 1/14(4 4 4 1) · 18d since last · Gear CP-/TT

Running: 9 11 11 12 · Odds move: 46.0→46.0

Form36
Pace38
Draw68
J/T64
Weight10
Odds14
Move50

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement