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HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-09-27

Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R10 MAGPIE HANDICAP

17:45 · 1200m · Class 2 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 13

    RISING FORCE

    Draw 7 · 3.3

    10.0%
  • 210

    GENEVA

    Draw 5 · 7.0

    9.7%
  • 38

    SALON S

    Draw 11 · 4.9

    9.2%
  • 49

    TURQUOISE VELOCITY

    Draw 1 · 9.2

    9.0%
  • 56

    YOUNG CHAMPION

    Draw 8 · 12.0

    8.1%
  • 65

    AERIS NOVA

    Draw 12 · 15.0

    8.1%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

3

RISING FORCE

Rank #1

Draw 7 · 132lb · Z Purton · P F Yiu · R93 · 3.3

10.0%

Win

29.5%

Place

Recent: 1-5-2-2-1-2 · 1/14(1 1 1) · 5/14(2 3 5) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 2/14(3 4 2) · 85d since last

Running: 1 1 1 · Odds move: 3.3→3.3

Form92
Pace52
Draw76
J/T88
Weight19
Odds68
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / P F Yiu)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
10

GENEVA

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 120lb · A Atzeni · D J Hall · R81 · 7.0

9.7%

Win

28.5%

Place

Recent: 4-1-2-3-5-6 · 4/14(9 9 4) · 1/14(12 12 1) · 2/14(10 9 2) · 3/14(9 9 3) · 5/14(9 9 9 5) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 130d since last

Running: 9 9 4 · Odds move: 7.0→7.0

Form90
Pace90
Draw86
J/T70
Weight94
Odds44
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
8

SALON S

Rank #3

Draw 11 · 124lb · M F Poon · F C Lor · R85 · 4.9

9.2%

Win

27.4%

Place

Recent: 4-1-1-1-1 · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 154d since last · Gear TT1

Running: 1 1 1 4 · Odds move: 4.9→4.9

Form93
Pace49
Draw56
J/T69
Weight69
Odds54
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
9

TURQUOISE VELOCITY

Rank #4

Draw 1 · 124lb · K Teetan · K W Lui · R85 · 9.2

9.0%

Win

26.9%

Place

Recent: 3-6-2-5-1-2 · 3/14(2 2 3) · 6/14(3 4 6) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 5/14(2 2 5) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 74d since last

Running: 2 2 3 · Odds move: 9.2→9.2

Form84
Pace44
Draw100
J/T84
Weight69
Odds37
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / K W Lui)

Risks

  • –Led / pressed and may not finish off
  • –Freshness query after a break
6

YOUNG CHAMPION

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 130lb · M L Yeung · J Size · R91 · 12.0

8.1%

Win

24.5%

Place

Recent: 5-3-6-12-3-1 · 5/14(8 8 5) · 3/14(6 5 3) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 12/14(6 4 12) · 3/14(9 7 3) · 1/14(3 2 1) · 74d since last · Gear B

Running: 8 8 5 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form70
Pace68
Draw71
J/T77
Weight31
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (M L Yeung / J Size)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
5

AERIS NOVA

Rank #6

Draw 12 · 130lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R91 · 15.0

8.1%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 6-1-3-2-4-6 · 6/14(7 9 8 6) · 1/14(6 5 5 1) · 3/14(9 10 3) · 2/14(6 6 7 2) · 4/14(11 11 4) · 6/14(6 6 6) · 269d since last · Gear B/XB/TT

Running: 7 9 8 6 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form85
Pace78
Draw51
J/T64
Weight31
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
12

GLOWING PRAISES

Rank #7

Draw 3 · 119lb · P N Wong · C W Chang · R80 · 21.0

7.9%

Win

23.9%

Place

Recent: 6-8-7-2-2-3 · 6/14(3 4 6) · 8/14(9 7 8) · 7/14(6 5 7) · 2/14(5 4 2) · 2/14(5 3 2) · 3/14(12 10 3) · 92d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 3 4 6 · Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form66
Pace53
Draw96
J/T55
Weight100
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
11

PAKISTAN LEGACY

Rank #8

Draw 10 · 120lb · M Chadwick · W Y So · R81 · 16.0

7.7%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 2-11-11-2-1-2 · 2/14(2 2 2) · 11/14(4 6 11) · 11/14(4 8 11) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 85d since last · Gear V/TT

Running: 2 2 2 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form66
Pace37
Draw61
J/T74
Weight94
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Led / pressed and may not finish off
  • –Freshness query after a break
4

SKY TRUST

Rank #9

Draw 4 · 132lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R93 · 15.0

7.6%

Win

23.1%

Place

Recent: 5-9-6-5-8-2 · 5/14(4 3 5) · 9/14(2 2 9) · 6/14(7 8 6) · 5/14(5 4 5) · 8/14(4 5 8) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 85d since last · Gear TT

Running: 4 3 5 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form61
Pace39
Draw91
J/T71
Weight19
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

MUGEN

Rank #10

Draw 6 · 132lb · J Orman · B Crawford · R93 · 16.0

7.6%

Win

23.1%

Place

Recent: 4-8-11-1-11-3 · 4/14(7 6 4) · 8/14(11 10 10 8) · 11/14(11 9 10 11) · 1/14(10 10 8 1) · 11/14(10 10 11 11) · 3/14(8 7 5 3) · 85d since last

Running: 7 6 4 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form60
Pace69
Draw81
J/T61
Weight19
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

VICTOR THE WINNER

Rank #11

Draw 9 · 129lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R90 · 18.0

7.6%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 6-4-1-8-7-10 · 6/14(1 1 6) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 8/14(1 1 8) · 7/14(1 1 7) · 10/14(5 6 10) · 74d since last · Gear TT

Running: 1 1 6 · Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form73
Pace28
Draw66
J/T73
Weight38
Odds25
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
1

STORM RIDER

Rank #12

Draw 2 · 135lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R96 · 31.0

7.3%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 6-7-10-7-13-5 · 6/14(3 4 4 6) · 7/14(6 5 7) · 10/14(11 10 10) · 7/14(4 4 4 7) · 13/14(3 2 3 13) · 5/14(3 5 5 5) · 88d since last · Gear B

Running: 3 4 4 6 · Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form52
Pace43
Draw100
J/T79
Weight0
Odds18
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break