Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R3 WOODPECKER HANDICAP

13:45 · 1400m · Class 5 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	11	DRACO	9	8.2%	5.0
2	1	FOREVER FANCY	1	8.0%	4.6
3	2	DOUBLE BINGO	12	8.0%	8.4
4	8	SILVER UP	8	7.4%	9.5
5	9	ALWAYS FLUKE	10	7.4%	13.0
6	7	SWAGGER BRO	4	7.4%	14.0

111
DRACO
Draw 9 · 5.0
8.2%
21
FOREVER FANCY
Draw 1 · 4.6
8.0%
32
DOUBLE BINGO
Draw 12 · 8.4
8.0%
48
SILVER UP
Draw 8 · 9.5
7.4%
59
ALWAYS FLUKE
Draw 10 · 13.0
7.4%
67
SWAGGER BRO
Draw 4 · 14.0
7.4%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

DRACO

Rank #1

Draw 9 · 124lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R32 · 5.0

8.2%

Win

24.4%

Place

Recent: 1-9-4-8-3-8 · 1/14(6 6 6 1) · 9/14(10 10 9 9) · 4/14(13 13 11 4) · 8/14(13 14 14 8) · 3/14(11 11 11 3) · 8/14(10 10 10 8) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 6 6 6 1 · Odds move: 5.0→5.0

Form73

Pace82

Draw71

J/T64

Weight67

Odds53

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

FOREVER FANCY

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 132lb · C Y Ho · K W Lui · R40 · 4.6

8.0%

Win

23.8%

Place

Recent: 3-7-11-9-14-8 · 3/14(8 6 3) · 7/14(13 14 7) · 11/14(12 12 11) · 9/14(4 5 9) · 14/14(5 3 3 14) · 8/14(6 6 8) · 21d since last · Gear XB

Running: 8 6 3 · Odds move: 4.6→4.6

Form58

Pace67

Draw96

J/T81

Weight0

Odds56

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (C Y Ho / K W Lui)
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

DOUBLE BINGO

Rank #3

Draw 12 · 130lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R38 · 8.4

8.0%

Win

23.6%

Place

Recent: 5-1-2-3-2-9 · 5/14(14 13 13 5) · 1/14(5 4 7 1) · 2/14(5 6 7 2) · 3/14(8 7 8 3) · 2/14(10 11 2) · 9/14(12 11 12 9) · 14d since last

Running: 14 13 13 5 · Odds move: 8.4→8.4

Form89

Pace89

Draw62

J/T69

Weight17

Odds39

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

SILVER UP

Rank #4

Draw 8 · 127lb · M L Yeung · B Crawford · R35 · 9.5

7.4%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 8-6-4-5-9-9 · 8/14(11 11 11 8) · 6/14(12 12 13 6) · 4/14(13 13 13 4) · 5/14(6 4 3 5) · 9/14(14 14 12 9) · 9/14(11 13 12 9) · 14d since last

Running: 11 11 11 8 · Odds move: 9.5→9.5

Form62

Pace78

Draw74

J/T69

Weight42

Odds36

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

ALWAYS FLUKE

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 126lb · H Bentley · W Y So · R34 · 13.0

7.4%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 5-3-2-6-10-2 · 5/14(2 3 5) · 3/14(5 5 3) · 2/14(6 4 2) · 6/14(5 5 6) · 10/14(6 10 10) · 2/14(8 8 2) · 18d since last · Gear H-/B/TT

Running: 2 3 5 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form79

Pace55

Draw68

J/T71

Weight50

Odds30

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SWAGGER BRO

Rank #6

Draw 4 · 128lb · M Chadwick · J Richards · R36 · 14.0

7.4%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 5-5-6-3-6-8 · 5/14(6 7 5) · 5/14(4 3 5) · 6/14(5 6 6) · 3/14(7 8 3) · 6/14(6 10 9 6) · 8/14(6 7 6 8) · 18d since last · Gear B-

Running: 6 7 5 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form72

Pace56

Draw87

J/T74

Weight33

Odds29

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

AQUAMAN

Rank #7

Draw 11 · 126lb · J Orman · P C Ng · R34 · 12.0

7.0%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 5-7-7-13-10-7 · 5/14(11 12 11 5) · 7/14(13 13 7) · 7/14(11 11 7) · 13/14(5 4 5 13) · 10/14(11 11 10) · 7/14(7 7 5 7) · 77d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 11 12 11 5 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form55

Pace71

Draw65

J/T68

Weight50

Odds32

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

VIGOR ELLEEGANT

Rank #8

Draw 5 · 124lb · C L Chau · K L Man · R32 · 25.0

7.0%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 6-5-9-3-7-12 · 6/14(8 10 6) · 5/14(3 2 5) · 9/14(3 3 9) · 3/14(8 6 3) · 7/14(11 10 7) · 12/14(10 10 9 12) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 10 6 · Odds move: 25.0→25.0

Form65

Pace51

Draw84

J/T68

Weight67

Odds20

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

STORMY KNIGHT

Rank #9

Draw 7 · 129lb · L Ferraris · D A Hayes · R37 · 11.0

6.9%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 8-8-7-11-8-6 · 8/14(7 9 8) · 8/14(12 12 8) · 7/14(12 9 6 7) · 11/14(11 9 11) · 8/14(10 9 8) · 6/14(7 9 6) · 18d since last · Gear B1

Running: 7 9 8 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form49

Pace62

Draw78

J/T75

Weight25

Odds33

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Ferraris / D A Hayes)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

FORTUNE SUPERNOVA

Rank #10

Draw 6 · 129lb · Z Purton · D J Hall · R37 · 13.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 9-6-7-12-11-5 · 9/14(11 12 9) · 6/14(7 8 6) · 7/14(10 12 7) · 12/14(6 9 12) · 11/14(4 9 11) · 5/14(8 8 5) · 18d since last · Gear CP1/TT

Running: 11 12 9 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form48

Pace54

Draw81

J/T82

Weight25

Odds30

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / D J Hall)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

PRINCE ALEX

Rank #11

Draw 13 · 120lb · L Hewitson · D J Whyte · R28 · 36.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 7-4-8-8-13-10 · 7/14(13 11 12 7) · 4/14(14 14 12 4) · 8/14(5 6 5 8) · 8/14(6 7 7 8) · 13/14(13 11 13 13) · 10/14(12 11 11 10) · 77d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 13 11 12 7 · Odds move: 36.0→36.0

Form58

Pace70

Draw59

J/T80

Weight100

Odds16

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (L Hewitson / D J Whyte)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

LEAN MASTER

Rank #12

Draw 3 · 128lb · P N Wong · C H Yip · R36 · 15.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 8-6-8-2-6-8 · 8/14(1 1 8) · 6/14(3 4 6) · 8/14(2 2 8) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 6/14(2 2 6) · 8/14(8 7 8) · 18d since last · Gear B-/TT

Running: 1 1 8 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form61

Pace21

Draw90

J/T60

Weight33

Odds28

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals

BLUE BARON

Rank #13

Draw 14 · 121lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R29 · 30.0

6.5%

Win

19.6%

Place

Recent: 8-7-5-9-8-12 · 8/14(4 4 8) · 7/14(4 6 7) · 5/14(2 3 5) · 9/14(7 7 8 9) · 8/14(4 4 5 8) · 12/14(14 14 12) · 85d since last

Running: 4 4 8 · Odds move: 30.0→30.0

Form55

Pace37

Draw56

J/T68

Weight92

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

PRESTIGE SUPERIOR

Rank #14

Draw 2 · 128lb · R Kingscote · C W Chang · R36 · 53.0

5.8%

Win

17.7%

Place

Recent: 12-13-10-12-12-10 · 12/14(4 5 12 12) · 13/14(13 13 13 13) · 10/14(14 13 11 10) · 12/14(3 4 9 12) · 12/14(12 12 12) · 10/14(11 11 10) · 74d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 4 5 12 12 · Odds move: 53.0→53.0

Form22

Pace36

Draw93

J/T63

Weight33

Odds13

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break