HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-09-27

Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R4 PARROT HANDICAP

14:15 · 1000m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 11

    RAPID PHANTOM

    Draw 3 · 4.8

    8.9%
  • 213

    LET'S HAVE FUN

    Draw 10 · 14.0

    7.8%
  • 33

    HARVEST MOON

    Draw 7 · 5.3

    7.6%
  • 412

    SUPREME VOYAGER

    Draw 2 · 8.9

    7.4%
  • 59

    THUNDER PRINCE

    Draw 12 · 12.0

    7.4%
  • 614

    COMET RADIANCE

    Draw 4 · 15.0

    7.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

1

RAPID PHANTOM

Rank #1

Draw 3 · 134lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R58 · 4.8

8.9%

Win

26.0%

Place

Recent: 4-1-4-3 · 4/14(4 3 4) · 1/14(5 3 1) · 4/14(5 7 4) · 3/14(7 5 3) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 4 3 4 · Odds move: 4.8→4.8

Form86
Pace66
Draw97
J/T69
Weight0
Odds55
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
13

LET'S HAVE FUN

Rank #2

Draw 10 · 118lb · M L Yeung · D A Hayes · R42 · 14.0

7.8%

Win

23.2%

Place

Recent: 3-9-9-3-7-3 · 3/14(11 10 3) · 9/14(13 11 11 9) · 9/14(14 14 12 9) · 3/14(11 9 9 3) · 7/14(1 2 2 7) · 3/14(8 6 5 3) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 10 3 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form67
Pace82
Draw68
J/T74
Weight89
Odds29
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

HARVEST MOON

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 128lb · A Atzeni · W Y So · R52 · 5.3

7.6%

Win

22.7%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 5.3→5.3

Form45
Pace50
Draw80
J/T72
Weight33
Odds51
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
12

SUPREME VOYAGER

Rank #4

Draw 2 · 119lb · H Bentley · C H Yip · R43 · 8.9

7.4%

Win

22.3%

Place

Recent: 11-5-14-8-7-2 · 11/14(9 10 11) · 5/14(7 6 5) · 14/14(6 3 14) · 8/14(8 6 8) · 7/14(11 10 7) · 2/14(12 8 2) · 14d since last · Gear B

Running: 9 10 11 · Odds move: 8.9→8.9

Form40
Pace47
Draw100
J/T70
Weight83
Odds38
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

THUNDER PRINCE

Rank #5

Draw 12 · 124lb · B Avdulla · J Richards · R48 · 12.0

7.4%

Win

22.3%

Place

Recent: 3-9-5-6-11-4 · 3/14(8 8 3) · 9/14(6 5 9) · 5/14(3 3 5) · 6/14(8 6 6) · 11/14(4 4 11) · 4/14(3 2 4) · 14d since last · Gear B

Running: 8 8 3 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form67
Pace57
Draw59
J/T73
Weight56
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
14

COMET RADIANCE

Rank #6

Draw 4 · 116lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R40 · 15.0

7.2%

Win

21.7%

Place

Recent: 6-7-11-11-6-2 · 6/14(2 1 6) · 7/14(3 4 7) · 11/14(11 12 11) · 11/14(4 4 11) · 6/14(7 8 6) · 2/14(4 3 2) · 21d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 2 1 6 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form50
Pace30
Draw93
J/T71
Weight100
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
6

FLOWING RICHES

Rank #7

Draw 1 · 125lb · C L Chau · W K Mo · R49 · 8.8

7.2%

Win

21.6%

Place

Recent: 11-10-8-3-3-3 · 11/14(3 2 11) · 10/14(1 2 10) · 8/14(3 3 8) · 3/14(3 3 3) · 3/14(2 2 3) · 3/14(1 2 3) · 88d since last · Gear B-/CP2

Running: 3 2 11 · Odds move: 8.8→8.8

Form47
Pace15
Draw100
J/T66
Weight50
Odds38
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
10

SHOW ME YOUR LOVE

Rank #8

Draw 14 · 123lb · L Hewitson · D J Whyte · R47 · 35.0

6.9%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 4-9-6 · 4/14(2 2 4) · 9/14(10 10 9) · 6/14(9 6 6) · 106d since last · Gear CP-/SR1/TT1

Running: 2 2 4 · Odds move: 35.0→35.0

Form64
Pace53
Draw51
J/T80
Weight61
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / D J Whyte)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

RUN RUN SUNRISE

Rank #9

Draw 13 · 131lb · K C Leung · F C Lor · R55 · 10.0

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 7-11-9-10-3-2 · 7/14(7 7 7) · 11/14(5 6 11) · 9/14(8 6 9) · 10/14(9 11 10) · 3/14(7 6 3) · 2/14(9 7 2) · 21d since last · Gear E/CP1/TT

Running: 7 7 7 · Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form46
Pace46
Draw55
J/T71
Weight17
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
5

HERO MASTERMIND

Rank #10

Draw 6 · 126lb · L Ferraris · M Newnham · R50 · 36.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 7-10 · 7/14(7 7 7) · 10/14(7 7 10) · 14d since last · Gear BL

Running: 7 7 7 · Odds move: 36.0→36.0

Form50
Pace49
Draw85
J/T71
Weight44
Odds16
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
4

KINGMAN REEF

Rank #11

Draw 5 · 128lb · Z Purton · J Size · R52 · 13.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 13 · 13/14(13 13 13) · 14d since last

Running: 13 13 13 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form14
Pace54
Draw89
J/T94
Weight33
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / J Size)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
11

ZOUPER FELLOW

Rank #12

Draw 8 · 123lb · P N Wong · D J Hall · R47 · 13.0

6.5%

Win

19.8%

Place

Recent: 10-12-6-11-1-4 · 10/14(2 4 10) · 12/14(2 2 12) · 6/14(2 3 6) · 11/14(1 2 11) · 1/14(1 2 1) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 81d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 2 4 10 · Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form41
Pace8
Draw76
J/T59
Weight61
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
8

GIANT SPIRIT

Rank #13

Draw 9 · 124lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R48 · 20.0

6.4%

Win

19.3%

Place

Recent: 10-9-11-11-7-12 · 10/14(6 5 10) · 9/14(3 3 9) · 11/14(4 6 11) · 11/14(1 2 11) · 7/14(1 1 7) · 12/14(4 4 12) · 18d since last · Gear B/TT2

Running: 6 5 10 · Odds move: 20.0→20.0

Form37
Pace18
Draw72
J/T68
Weight56
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
7

FLYING TING LOK

Rank #14

Draw 11 · 124lb · M Chadwick · Y S Tsui · R48 · 34.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 10-12-5-12-14-7 · 10/14(6 11 10) · 12/14(11 12 12) · 5/14(12 11 5) · 12/14(3 4 12) · 14/14(2 2 6 14) · 7/14(9 8 7) · 4d since last · Gear B

Running: 6 11 10 · Odds move: 34.0→34.0

Form35
Pace41
Draw63
J/T72
Weight56
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement