Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R6 TAILORBIRD HANDICAP

15:35 · 1400m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	13	SUPER LOVE	5	8.2%	7.0
2	12	HOT AIR BALLON	2	8.0%	9.3
3	1	ETALON OR	14	8.0%	6.9
4	4	HAROLD WIN	8	8.0%	7.2
5	8	LUCKY MAN	7	7.4%	7.7
6	2	TURIN CHAMPIONS	9	7.3%	15.0

113
SUPER LOVE
Draw 5 · 7.0
8.2%
212
HOT AIR BALLON
Draw 2 · 9.3
8.0%
31
ETALON OR
Draw 14 · 6.9
8.0%
44
HAROLD WIN
Draw 8 · 7.2
8.0%
58
LUCKY MAN
Draw 7 · 7.7
7.4%
62
TURIN CHAMPIONS
Draw 9 · 15.0
7.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

SUPER LOVE

Rank #1

Draw 5 · 122lb · C Y Ho · C H Yip · R46 · 7.0

8.2%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 4-4-8-11-4-11 · 4/14(13 14 4) · 4/14(5 6 8 4) · 8/14(2 2 8) · 11/14(11 12 11 11) · 4/14(13 11 4) · 11/14(7 9 11) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 13 14 4 · Odds move: 7.0→7.0

Form66

Pace65

Draw84

J/T77

Weight87

Odds44

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (C Y Ho / C H Yip)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

HOT AIR BALLON

Rank #2

Draw 2 · 124lb · B Avdulla · D J Whyte · R48 · 9.3

8.0%

Win

23.9%

Place

Recent: 4-10-5-4 · 4/14(9 11 11 4) · 10/14(12 12 10) · 5/14(11 12 5) · 4/14(4 6 4) · 77d since last · Gear XB

Running: 9 11 11 4 · Odds move: 9.3→9.3

Form64

Pace73

Draw93

J/T78

Weight73

Odds37

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (B Avdulla / D J Whyte)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

ETALON OR

Rank #3

Draw 14 · 135lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R59 · 6.9

8.0%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 2-7-3-4-1-2 · 2/14(7 5 5 2) · 7/14(10 10 10 7) · 3/14(7 6 7 3) · 4/14(7 5 5 4) · 1/14(7 7 8 1) · 2/14(11 10 5 2) · 14d since last · Gear B

Running: 7 5 5 2 · Odds move: 6.9→6.9

Form84

Pace79

Draw56

J/T69

Weight0

Odds44

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

HAROLD WIN

Rank #4

Draw 8 · 131lb · C L Chau · K W Lui · R55 · 7.2

8.0%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 5-3-2-4-10-4 · 5/14(5 4 5) · 3/14(1 1 1 3) · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 4/14(3 4 6 4) · 10/14(1 2 2 10) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 21d since last · Gear V/XB

Running: 5 4 5 · Odds move: 7.2→7.2

Form81

Pace46

Draw74

J/T75

Weight27

Odds43

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

LUCKY MAN

Rank #5

Draw 7 · 127lb · Z Purton · K H Ting · R51 · 7.7

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 10-11-2-1-8-11 · 10/14(4 5 5 10) · 11/14(4 6 6 11) · 2/14(4 3 3 2) · 1/14(4 5 4 1) · 8/14(5 6 8) · 11/14(2 2 2 11) · 77d since last · Gear BO/H

Running: 4 5 5 10 · Odds move: 7.7→7.7

Form56

Pace39

Draw78

J/T75

Weight53

Odds41

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

TURIN CHAMPIONS

Rank #6

Draw 9 · 135lb · L Hewitson · D A Hayes · R59 · 15.0

7.3%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 6-4-3-9-1-2 · 6/14(4 4 4 6) · 4/14(4 5 5 4) · 3/14(4 4 4 3) · 9/14(8 10 11 9) · 1/14(13 13 9 1) · 2/14(11 11 11 2) · 119d since last · Gear CP/SR

Running: 4 4 4 6 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form73

Pace54

Draw71

J/T81

Weight0

Odds28

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Hewitson / D A Hayes)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

GHORGAN

Rank #7

Draw 13 · 126lb · A Atzeni · J Cummings · R50 · 7.3

7.3%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 9-8-5-6-12-10 · 9/14(9 10 9) · 8/14(8 8 8) · 5/14(4 4 4 5) · 6/14(6 6 6 6) · 12/14(13 11 8 12) · 10/14(7 7 7 10) · 14d since last · Gear XB/TT

Running: 9 10 9 · Odds move: 7.3→7.3

Form52

Pace53

Draw59

J/T72

Weight60

Odds42

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

CIRCUIT FIERY

Rank #8

Draw 1 · 133lb · P N Wong · W Y So · R57 · 16.0

7.1%

Win

21.3%

Place

Recent: 11-5-2-3-1-2 · 11/14(3 5 5 11) · 5/14(2 3 2 5) · 2/14(3 1 1 2) · 3/14(2 4 3 3) · 1/14(2 1 1 1) · 2/14(4 4 2 2) · 88d since last · Gear PC/TT

Running: 3 5 5 11 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form67

Pace33

Draw96

J/T61

Weight13

Odds27

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

BUCEPHALAS

Rank #9

Draw 3 · 127lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R51 · 7.6

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 6-14-14-11-12-10 · 6/14(3 2 2 6) · 14/14(3 5 10 14) · 14/14(14 14 14 14) · 11/14(4 2 2 11) · 12/14(3 3 5 12) · 10/14(10 14 14 10) · 77d since last · Gear V/TT

Running: 3 2 2 6 · Odds move: 7.6→7.6

Form30

Pace26

Draw90

J/T64

Weight53

Odds41

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Freshness query after a break

GREEN AUTUMN

Rank #10

Draw 6 · 127lb · K Teetan · J Size · R51 · 18.0

6.6%

Win

19.9%

Place

Recent: 11 · 11/14(8 9 9 11) · 77d since last

Running: 8 9 9 11 · Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form29

Pace39

Draw81

J/T90

Weight53

Odds25

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / J Size)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Freshness query after a break

GOLDEN GUNNERS

Rank #11

Draw 11 · 124lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R48 · 43.0

6.4%

Win

19.5%

Place

Recent: 7-13 · 7/14(5 5 7) · 13/14(14 14 13) · 85d since last · Gear TT

Running: 5 5 7 · Odds move: 43.0→43.0

Form43

Pace49

Draw65

J/T71

Weight73

Odds15

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

WORD OF KINDNESS

Rank #12

Draw 12 · 120lb · R Kingscote · C S Shum · R44 · 38.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 13-9-11-12-4-9 · 13/14(12 12 12 13) · 9/14(10 9 8 9) · 11/14(11 12 11) · 12/14(7 12 12) · 4/14(8 8 4) · 9/14(8 8 9) · 85d since last · Gear TT

Running: 12 12 12 13 · Odds move: 38.0→38.0

Form30

Pace51

Draw62

J/T71

Weight100

Odds16

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

HEY BROS

Rank #13

Draw 10 · 127lb · M L Yeung · B Crawford · R51 · 60.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 10-7-8-10-8-8 · 10/14(8 9 10) · 7/14(6 6 7) · 8/14(6 6 8) · 10/14(5 4 10) · 8/14(6 5 8) · 8/14(9 9 8) · 21d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 8 9 10 · Odds move: 60.0→60.0

Form45

Pace41

Draw68

J/T69

Weight53

Odds12

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Distance change from last start

CHIU CHOW GOLF

Rank #14

Draw 4 · 125lb · H Bentley · F C Lor · R49 · 28.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 11-12 · 11/14(6 6 6 11) · 12/14(8 5 12) · 106d since last · Gear TT1

Running: 6 6 6 11 · Odds move: 28.0→28.0

Form26

Pace31

Draw87

J/T74

Weight67

Odds19

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break