HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-09-27

Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R7 HWAMEI HANDICAP

16:05 · 1200m · Class 3 · AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 18

    BUSTLING CITY

    Draw 6 · 1.9

    11.9%
  • 29

    PACKING KING

    Draw 3 · 10.0

    9.3%
  • 31

    AURORA PATCH

    Draw 2 · 8.0

    8.9%
  • 412

    SPEEDY SMARTIE

    Draw 10 · 19.0

    8.8%
  • 55

    FOUR STARS ALIGN

    Draw 9 · 6.7

    8.1%
  • 610

    DEVAS TWELVE

    Draw 1 · 45.0

    8.0%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

8

BUSTLING CITY

Rank #1

Draw 6 · 120lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R62 · 1.9

11.9%

Win

34.3%

Place

Recent: 1-2-2-3-10-9 · 1/14(1 1 1) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 2/14(3 1 2) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 10/14(3 5 10) · 9/14(4 3 9) · 85d since last

Running: 1 1 1 · Odds move: 1.9→1.9

Form94
Pace49
Draw81
J/T79
Weight88
Odds95
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
9

PACKING KING

Rank #2

Draw 3 · 120lb · E C W Wong · C S Shum · R62 · 10.0

9.3%

Win

27.8%

Place

Recent: 3-3-1-1-9-8 · 3/14(2 2 3) · 3/14(2 2 3) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 1/14(5 5 1) · 9/14(2 3 9) · 8/14(4 4 8) · 77d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 2 3 · Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form91
Pace52
Draw96
J/T64
Weight88
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
1

AURORA PATCH

Rank #3

Draw 2 · 135lb · C Y Ho · K L Man · R77 · 8.0

8.9%

Win

26.6%

Place

Recent: 3-5-7-3-2-2 · 3/14(2 2 3) · 5/14(4 3 5) · 7/14(2 2 7) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 2/14(4 2 2) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 14d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 2 2 3 · Odds move: 8.0→8.0

Form80
Pace45
Draw100
J/T74
Weight0
Odds40
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Led / pressed and may not finish off
12

SPEEDY SMARTIE

Rank #4

Draw 10 · 118lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R60 · 19.0

8.8%

Win

26.3%

Place

Recent: 4-2-3-2-2-1 · 4/14(3 3 4) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 3/14(2 2 3) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 1/14(2 1 1) · 85d since last

Running: 3 3 4 · Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form91
Pace53
Draw61
J/T82
Weight100
Odds24
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
5

FOUR STARS ALIGN

Rank #5

Draw 9 · 124lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R66 · 6.7

8.1%

Win

24.4%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT1

Odds move: 6.7→6.7

Form45
Pace50
Draw66
J/T71
Weight65
Odds45
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

DEVAS TWELVE

Rank #6

Draw 1 · 119lb · H T Mo · W Y So · R61 · 45.0

8.0%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 11-1-4-6-8-10 · 11/14(11 10 11) · 1/14(1 3 2 1) · 4/14(1 2 1 4) · 6/14(1 1 1 6) · 8/14(9 6 8) · 10/14(2 5 10) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 10 11 · Odds move: 45.0→45.0

Form64
Pace46
Draw100
J/T70
Weight94
Odds14
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
6

NOTTHESILLYONE

Rank #7

Draw 8 · 124lb · R Kingscote · M Newnham · R66 · 12.0

7.8%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 8-9-1-9-1-7 · 8/14(1 1 8) · 9/14(3 4 9) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 9/14(1 1 9) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 7/14(2 1 7) · 11d since last · Gear TT

Running: 1 1 8 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form60
Pace21
Draw71
J/T71
Weight65
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
4

ALL'S WELL

Rank #8

Draw 11 · 124lb · H Bentley · C H Yip · R66 · 33.0

7.8%

Win

23.5%

Place

Recent: 7-9-2-3-8-1 · 7/14(10 9 9 7) · 9/14(10 12 13 9) · 2/14(10 9 9 2) · 3/14(4 4 2 3) · 8/14(9 10 10 8) · 1/14(7 8 8 1) · 85d since last · Gear TT

Running: 10 9 9 7 · Odds move: 33.0→33.0

Form66
Pace71
Draw56
J/T70
Weight65
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

MIGHTY COMMANDER

Rank #9

Draw 12 · 132lb · L Ferraris · C Fownes · R74 · 25.0

7.8%

Win

23.5%

Place

Recent: 6-7-6-1-8-3 · 6/14(12 11 6) · 7/14(7 7 6 7) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 1/14(10 9 8 1) · 8/14(9 11 8) · 3/14(5 3 3) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 12 11 6 · Odds move: 25.0→25.0

Form66
Pace75
Draw51
J/T78
Weight18
Odds20
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (L Ferraris / C Fownes)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
3

RIDING TOGETHER

Rank #10

Draw 5 · 129lb · A Atzeni · D Eustace · R71 · 21.0

7.5%

Win

22.9%

Place

Recent: 11-4-4-9-11-1 · 11/14(1 2 1 11) · 4/14(8 7 6 4) · 4/14(3 3 3 4) · 9/14(2 2 2 9) · 11/14(1 1 2 11) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 98d since last · Gear V-/B1/TT

Running: 1 2 1 11 · Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form54
Pace29
Draw86
J/T72
Weight35
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
11

ENDURANCE EXPRESS

Rank #11

Draw 7 · 120lb · L Hewitson · P F Yiu · R62 · 40.0

7.2%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 12-8-4 · 12/14(8 7 12) · 8/14(2 2 8) · 4/14(2 1 4) · 74d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 7 12 · Odds move: 40.0→40.0

Form40
Pace27
Draw76
J/T79
Weight88
Odds15
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / P F Yiu)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

HOTT SHOTT

Rank #12

Draw 4 · 122lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R64 · 42.0

6.8%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 11-10-14 · 11/14(2 3 3 11) · 10/14(10 10 10) · 14/14(6 5 8 14) · 130d since last · Gear H-/XB/TT-

Running: 2 3 3 11 · Odds move: 42.0→42.0

Form27
Pace20
Draw91
J/T64
Weight76
Odds15
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break