Sunday, 27 September 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R8 THE CELEBRATION CUP (HANDICAP)

16:35 · 1400m · Group Three · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	6	LITTLE PARADISE	5	13.6%	1.9
2	3	INVINCIBLE IBIS	1	12.5%	5.6
3	2	HELIOS EXPRESS	4	11.7%	6.4
4	7	STORMY GROVE	3	11.1%	21.0
5	1	GALAXY PATCH	8	11.0%	8.6
6	8	LUCKY WITH YOU	2	10.8%	18.0

16
LITTLE PARADISE
Draw 5 · 1.9
13.6%
23
INVINCIBLE IBIS
Draw 1 · 5.6
12.5%
32
HELIOS EXPRESS
Draw 4 · 6.4
11.7%
47
STORMY GROVE
Draw 3 · 21.0
11.1%
51
GALAXY PATCH
Draw 8 · 8.6
11.0%
68
LUCKY WITH YOU
Draw 2 · 18.0
10.8%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

LITTLE PARADISE

Rank #1

Draw 5 · 124lb · Z Purton · K H Ting · R109 · 1.9

13.6%

Win

39.5%

Place

Recent: 1-10-9-8-1-1 · 1/14(6 6 6 1) · 10/14(7 7 6 10) · 9/14(11 11 12 11 9) · 8/14(11 9 11 12 8) · 1/14(11 10 11 1) · 1/14(8 7 5 1) · 98d since last · Gear TT

Running: 6 6 6 1 · Odds move: 1.9→1.9

Form65

Pace67

Draw76

J/T75

Weight61

Odds95

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

INVINCIBLE IBIS

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 127lb · L Ferraris · M Newnham · R112 · 5.6

12.5%

Win

37.0%

Place

Recent: 4-1-2-6-1-1 · 4/14(11 11 12 4) · 1/14(7 7 6 6 1) · 2/14(6 7 8 8 2) · 6/14(14 13 12 6) · 1/14(11 11 9 1) · 1/14(9 9 7 1) · 154d since last · Gear CP2

Running: 11 11 12 4 · Odds move: 5.6→5.6

Form88

Pace89

Draw96

J/T71

Weight44

Odds50

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

HELIOS EXPRESS

Rank #3

Draw 4 · 135lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R120 · 6.4

11.7%

Win

34.9%

Place

Recent: 6-2-2-2-5-3 · 6/14(7 8 6) · 2/14(7 6 2) · 2/14(4 5 5 2) · 2/14(5 4 2) · 5/14(9 8 5) · 3/14(7 8 3) · 154d since last

Running: 7 8 6 · Odds move: 6.4→6.4

Form86

Pace71

Draw81

J/T81

Weight0

Odds46

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

STORMY GROVE

Rank #4

Draw 3 · 118lb · C L Chau · F C Lor · R103 · 21.0

11.1%

Win

33.4%

Place

Recent: 8-3-1-1-4-6 · 8/14(8 8 7 8) · 3/14(13 13 13 10 3) · 1/14(10 12 12 11 1) · 1/14(14 14 14 1) · 4/14(6 6 5 4) · 6/14(4 4 6) · 147d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 8 8 7 8 · Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form80

Pace82

Draw86

J/T74

Weight94

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

GALAXY PATCH

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 135lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R120 · 8.6

11.0%

Win

33.2%

Place

Recent: 2-7-4-4-7-5 · 2/14(10 10 9 2) · 7/14(14 14 14 7) · 4/14(11 8 9 4) · 4/14(10 10 10 4) · 7/14(5 6 9 7) · 5/14(11 10 10 5) · 98d since last

Running: 10 10 9 2 · Odds move: 8.6→8.6

Form78

Pace89

Draw61

J/T82

Weight0

Odds38

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

LUCKY WITH YOU

Rank #6

Draw 2 · 117lb · M F Poon · F C Lor · R102 · 18.0

10.8%

Win

32.6%

Place

Recent: 5-2-3-8-5-4 · 5/14(3 4 5) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 3/14(1 2 1 3) · 8/14(3 3 8) · 5/14(7 8 5) · 4/14(4 4 4) · 21d since last

Running: 3 4 5 · Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form80

Pace47

Draw91

J/T69

Weight100

Odds25

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SOLEIL FIGHTER

Rank #7

Draw 7 · 117lb · H Bentley · D A Hayes · R102 · 31.0

10.0%

Win

30.6%

Place

Recent: 7-4-1-7-2-7 · 7/14(4 2 2 7) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 7/14(2 3 3 3 7) · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 7/14(1 1 2 2 7) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 4 2 2 7 · Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form74

Pace39

Draw66

J/T76

Weight100

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Solid connections (H Bentley / D A Hayes)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

COPARTNER PRANCE

Rank #8

Draw 6 · 124lb · M L Yeung · K W Lui · R109 · 18.0

10.0%

Win

30.6%

Place

Recent: 2-8-3-9-6-14 · 2/14(2 2 2) · 8/14(2 1 2 8) · 3/14(1 1 1 3) · 9/14(1 1 1 9) · 6/14(1 1 1 6) · 14/14(4 4 6 14) · 21d since last · Gear XB

Running: 2 2 2 · Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form75

Pace31

Draw71

J/T72

Weight61

Odds25

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Led / pressed and may not finish off

PATCH OF THETA

Rank #9

Draw 9 · 126lb · C Y Ho · K W Lui · R111 · 24.0

9.2%

Win

28.3%

Place

Recent: 10-10-5-8-1-3 · 10/14(5 5 4 10) · 10/14(5 6 8 10) · 5/14(11 9 5) · 8/14(6 4 4 8) · 1/14(4 4 3 1) · 3/14(11 12 12 3) · 98d since last · Gear XB

Running: 5 5 4 10 · Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form49

Pace45

Draw56

J/T81

Weight50

Odds21

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (C Y Ho / K W Lui)

Risks

–Freshness query after a break