Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R3 THE NATIONAL DAY CUP (HANDICAP)

14:00 · 1000m · Group Three · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	4	COLOURFUL KING	7	14.2%	2.9
2	2	CRIMSON FLASH	8	13.8%	3.9
3	6	BOTTOMUPTOGETHER	1	13.4%	11.0
4	7	MAGIC CONTROL	3	13.2%	5.9
5	1	RAGING BLIZZARD	5	13.2%	5.6
6	5	TOMODACHI KOKOROE	2	11.6%	23.0

14
COLOURFUL KING
Draw 7 · 2.9
14.2%
22
CRIMSON FLASH
Draw 8 · 3.9
13.8%
36
BOTTOMUPTOGETHER
Draw 1 · 11.0
13.4%
47
MAGIC CONTROL
Draw 3 · 5.9
13.2%
51
RAGING BLIZZARD
Draw 5 · 5.6
13.2%
65
TOMODACHI KOKOROE
Draw 2 · 23.0
11.6%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

COLOURFUL KING

Rank #1

Draw 7 · 123lb · Z Purton · D Eustace · R103 · 2.9

14.2%

Win

41.7%

Place

Recent: 1-11-3-6-6-2 · 1/14(8 6 1) · 11/14(12 11 11) · 3/14(7 6 3) · 6/14(12 10 6) · 6/14(10 8 6) · 2/14(7 3 2) · 96d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 8 6 1 · Odds move: 2.6→2.9

Form72

Pace80

Draw59

J/T84

Weight60

Odds74

Move44

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (Z Purton / D Eustace)
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

CRIMSON FLASH

Rank #2

Draw 8 · 125lb · A Atzeni · M Newnham · R105 · 3.9

13.8%

Win

40.8%

Place

Recent: 1-6-6-2-1-1 · 1/14(6 7 1) · 6/14(7 9 10 6) · 6/14(8 10 6) · 2/14(12 12 2) · 1/14(3 3 1) · 1/14(3 4 1) · 78d since last · Gear B

Running: 6 7 1 · Odds move: 4.5→3.9

Form83

Pace74

Draw51

J/T73

Weight50

Odds62

Move57

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

BOTTOMUPTOGETHER

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 120lb · A Badel · F C Lor · R100 · 11.0

13.4%

Win

39.8%

Place

Recent: 4-3-3-1-4-7 · 4/14(5 5 4) · 3/14(5 2 3) · 3/14(3 3 3) · 1/14(2 3 1) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 7/14(2 2 7) · 78d since last · Gear TT

Running: 5 5 4 · Odds move: 13.0→11.0

Form88

Pace57

Draw100

J/T79

Weight75

Odds33

Move58

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Badel / F C Lor)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

MAGIC CONTROL

Rank #4

Draw 3 · 115lb · M Chadwick · W K Mo · R86 · 5.9

13.2%

Win

39.4%

Place

Recent: 3-10-2-2-5-8 · 3/14(4 3 3) · 10/14(7 6 10) · 2/14(2 3 2) · 2/14(5 4 2) · 5/14(4 5 5) · 8/14(10 6 8) · 25d since last · Gear V2/TT

Running: 4 3 3 · Odds move: 5.4→5.9

Form78

Pace54

Draw90

J/T70

Weight100

Odds48

Move45

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

RAGING BLIZZARD

Rank #5

Draw 5 · 135lb · B Avdulla · J Size · R115 · 5.6

13.2%

Win

39.2%

Place

Recent: 9-2-3-3-5-4 · 9/14(8 7 7 9) · 2/14(10 8 2) · 3/14(8 7 3) · 3/14(6 7 3) · 5/14(8 8 8 5) · 4/14(7 7 4) · 102d since last · Gear P

Running: 8 7 7 9 · Odds move: 6.7→5.6

Form76

Pace74

Draw74

J/T82

Weight0

Odds50

Move59

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (B Avdulla / J Size)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Distance change from last start
–Freshness query after a break

TOMODACHI KOKOROE

Rank #6

Draw 2 · 122lb · H Bentley · D A Hayes · R102 · 23.0

11.6%

Win

35.3%

Place

Recent: 4-7-3-7-6-4 · 4/14(6 5 4) · 7/14(4 4 5 7) · 3/14(6 6 3) · 7/14(2 1 7) · 6/14(5 5 6) · 4/14(5 5 4) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 6 5 4 · Odds move: 20.0→23.0

Form72

Pace52

Draw98

J/T76

Weight65

Odds21

Move42

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (H Bentley / D A Hayes)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

JOHANNES BRAHMS

Rank #7

Draw 4 · 115lb · M L Yeung · P C Ng · R85 · 18.0

10.6%

Win

32.6%

Place

Recent: 10-11-11-12-8-7 · 10/14(6 5 6 10) · 11/14(12 10 11 11) · 11/14(5 8 9 8 11) · 12/14(5 4 5 12) · 8/14(7 6 7 8) · 7/14(4 4 4 7) · 178d since last · Gear PC-/TT

Running: 6 5 6 10 · Odds move: 21.0→18.0

Form31

Pace35

Draw82

J/T75

Weight100

Odds25

Move58

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (M L Yeung / P C Ng)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Distance change from last start
–Freshness query after a break

BEAUTY WAVES

Rank #8

Draw 6 · 124lb · C L Chau · A S Cruz · R104 · 11.0

10.1%

Win

31.2%

Place

Recent: 15-10-10-8-5-10 · 15/15 · 10/14(9 9 10) · 10/14(4 4 10) · 8/14(1 2 8) · 5/14(3 3 5) · 10/14(2 2 10) · 25d since last · Gear TT

Running: 9 9 10 · Odds move: 9.4→11.0

Form30

Pace33

Draw66

J/T77

Weight55

Odds33

Move41

Strengths

+Solid connections (C L Chau / A S Cruz)

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals