HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-01

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R4 CHENGDU HANDICAP

14:35 · 1400m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 17

    SOLID CAR

    Draw 4 · 3.4

    9.3%
  • 210

    VOYAGE BOSS

    Draw 1 · 4.5

    9.1%
  • 314

    STAR SATYR

    Draw 13 · 6.3

    7.8%
  • 45

    NOBLE PATCH

    Draw 9 · 13.0

    7.6%
  • 511

    ALABAMA SONG

    Draw 8 · 10.0

    7.2%
  • 66

    PRESTIGE COME

    Draw 3 · 18.0

    7.1%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

7

SOLID CAR

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 125lb · J Orman · D J Hall · R49 · 3.4

9.3%

Win

27.3%

Place

Recent: 3-3-5-5-2-3 · 3/14(3 5 6 3) · 3/14(11 12 3) · 5/14(4 4 3 5) · 5/14(7 5 5 5) · 2/14(8 6 8 2) · 3/14(11 10 3) · 25d since last · Gear B/SR/TT

Running: 3 5 6 3 · Odds move: 3.2→3.4

Form85
Pace69
Draw87
J/T58
Weight53
Odds67
Move47

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

VOYAGE BOSS

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 122lb · H Y Yuen · F C Lor · R46 · 4.5

9.1%

Win

26.6%

Place

Recent: 3-3-8-4-4-7 · 3/14(2 3 3 3) · 3/14(2 1 1 3) · 8/14(4 7 6 8) · 4/14(3 2 2 4) · 4/14(8 6 4) · 7/14(6 5 7) · 81d since last · Gear B

Running: 2 3 3 3 · Odds move: 4.8→4.5

Form81
Pace48
Draw96
J/T68
Weight68
Odds57
Move53

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
14

STAR SATYR

Rank #3

Draw 13 · 116lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R40 · 6.3

7.8%

Win

23.3%

Place

Recent: 7-6-10-13-4-10 · 7/14(14 12 12 7) · 6/14(9 10 6) · 10/14(6 8 10 10) · 13/14(10 13 14 13) · 4/14(3 5 4 4) · 10/14(11 10 10 10) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 14 12 12 7 · Odds move: 6.4→6.3

Form50
Pace63
Draw59
J/T71
Weight100
Odds46
Move51

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
5

NOBLE PATCH

Rank #4

Draw 9 · 125lb · K C Leung · P C Ng · R49 · 13.0

7.6%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 8-5 · 8/14(8 7 5 8) · 5/14(12 12 5) · 25d since last · Gear CP

Running: 8 7 5 8 · Odds move: 15.0→13.0

Form57
Pace66
Draw71
J/T75
Weight53
Odds30
Move57

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K C Leung / P C Ng)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

ALABAMA SONG

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 120lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R44 · 10.0

7.2%

Win

21.7%

Place

Recent: 13-9-10-14-1-4 · 13/14(8 10 10 13) · 9/14(7 7 6 9) · 10/14(14 14 12 10) · 14/14(6 8 10 14) · 1/14(9 9 6 1) · 4/14(5 5 4) · 81d since last · Gear H

Running: 8 10 10 13 · Odds move: 12.0→10.0

Form31
Pace45
Draw74
J/T81
Weight79
Odds35
Move59

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Freshness query after a break
6

PRESTIGE COME

Rank #6

Draw 3 · 125lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R49 · 18.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 8-10 · 8/14(9 11 10 8) · 10/14(6 8 10 10) · 92d since last · Gear B1/TT

Running: 9 11 10 8 · Odds move: 19.0→18.0

Form45
Pace51
Draw90
J/T73
Weight53
Odds25
Move53

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
13

DIAMOND SPARKLE

Rank #7

Draw 6 · 118lb · M Chadwick · M Newnham · R42 · 31.0

7.0%

Win

21.1%

Place

Recent: 8-9-13-5-8 · 8/14(11 12 8) · 9/14(11 12 9) · 13/14(1 3 3 13) · 5/14(6 7 5) · 8/14(11 9 8) · 25d since last · Gear BR

Running: 11 12 8 · Odds move: 33.0→31.0

Form44
Pace52
Draw81
J/T76
Weight89
Odds18
Move53

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (M Chadwick / M Newnham)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
8

SILVERY KNIGHT

Rank #8

Draw 2 · 124lb · L Hewitson · D J Whyte · R48 · 39.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 10-8-4 · 10/14(6 6 10) · 8/14(10 9 8) · 4/14(3 3 4) · 123d since last · Gear SR1

Running: 6 6 10 · Odds move: 31.0→39.0

Form48
Pace46
Draw93
J/T80
Weight58
Odds16
Move36

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / D J Whyte)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
9

PRESIDENT PEGASUS

Rank #9

Draw 10 · 122lb · K Teetan · C S Shum · R46 · 25.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 10-11-4-11 · 10/14(1 1 1 10) · 11/14(6 2 2 11) · 4/14(7 6 5 4) · 11/14(8 8 8 11) · 102d since last · Gear TT

Running: 1 1 1 10 · Odds move: 27.0→25.0

Form41
Pace26
Draw68
J/T83
Weight68
Odds20
Move54

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / C S Shum)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
12

FRANCIS MEYNELL

Rank #10

Draw 12 · 120lb · M F Poon · D Eustace · R44 · 17.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 10-9-6-2-8-2 · 10/14(2 2 4 10) · 9/14(1 1 2 9) · 6/14(4 5 4 6) · 2/14(2 1 1 2) · 8/14(4 4 4 8) · 2/14(5 5 5 2) · 22d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 2 4 10 · Odds move: 15.0→17.0

Form53
Pace19
Draw62
J/T66
Weight79
Odds26
Move43

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
4

JOY TOGETHER

Rank #11

Draw 11 · 127lb · C L Chau · C W Chang · R51 · 22.0

6.6%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 9 · 9/14(11 12 13 9) · 92d since last · Gear H

Running: 11 12 13 9 · Odds move: 20.0→22.0

Form43
Pace64
Draw65
J/T65
Weight42
Odds22
Move44

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
1

EXCELLENCE VALUE

Rank #12

Draw 5 · 135lb · H T Mo · W Y So · R59 · 25.0

6.2%

Win

18.8%

Place

Recent: 9-12-13-9-11-14 · 9/14(8 9 11 9) · 12/14(9 10 10 10 12) · 13/14(13 13 13 13 13) · 9/14(7 7 8 8 9) · 11/14(6 8 7 8 11) · 14/14(12 10 8 8 14) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 8 9 11 9 · Odds move: 20.0→25.0

Form30
Pace43
Draw84
J/T70
Weight0
Odds20
Move36

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
3

CHILL PARTNERS

Rank #13

Draw 14 · 131lb · M L Yeung · K W Lui · R55 · 19.0

6.1%

Win

18.7%

Place

Recent: 13-12-12-14-1-2 · 13/14(4 5 4 13) · 12/14(13 12 11 12) · 12/14(7 5 7 12) · 14/14(6 7 9 14) · 1/14(3 3 3 1) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 92d since last · Gear V

Running: 4 5 4 13 · Odds move: 21.0→19.0

Form22
Pace31
Draw56
J/T72
Weight21
Odds24
Move55

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

TRUE BROTHERS

Rank #14

Draw 7 · 134lb · P N Wong · Y S Tsui · R58 · 35.0

5.7%

Win

17.4%

Place

Recent: 12-11-8-14 · 12/14(5 6 12) · 11/14(2 2 3 11) · 8/14(1 2 2 8) · 14/14(5 7 11 14) · 15d since last · Gear B

Running: 5 6 12 · Odds move: 28.0→35.0

Form28
Pace9
Draw78
J/T59
Weight5
Odds17
Move36

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement