HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-01

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R5 HANGZHOU HANDICAP

15:05 · 1000m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 11

    JEDI SPURS

    Draw 6 · 2.4

    10.0%
  • 23

    KA YING LIGHTNING

    Draw 4 · 5.8

    9.1%
  • 34

    CHARMING BABE

    Draw 3 · 8.8

    7.8%
  • 46

    HANDSOME HERO

    Draw 2 · 15.0

    7.7%
  • 512

    PRECISION MIND

    Draw 8 · 12.0

    7.1%
  • 611

    DOUBLE ALPHA

    Draw 7 · 11.0

    7.1%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

1

JEDI SPURS

Rank #1

Draw 6 · 135lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R60 · 2.4

10.0%

Win

29.1%

Place

Recent: 2-1 · 2/14(1 1 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 89d since last

Running: 1 1 2 · Odds move: 2.6→2.4

Form99
Pace51
Draw85
J/T79
Weight0
Odds83
Move54

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
3

KA YING LIGHTNING

Rank #2

Draw 4 · 133lb · A Atzeni · D J Hall · R58 · 5.8

9.1%

Win

26.7%

Place

Recent: 1 · 1/14(11 5 1) · 123d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 5 1 · Odds move: 5.1→5.8

Form100
Pace100
Draw93
J/T70
Weight11
Odds49
Move42

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
4

CHARMING BABE

Rank #3

Draw 3 · 129lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R54 · 8.8

7.8%

Win

23.2%

Place

Recent: 4-12-6-7-10-5 · 4/14(3 5 4) · 12/14(9 9 12) · 6/14(2 3 3 6) · 7/14(10 10 7) · 10/14(10 11 10) · 5/14(8 8 5) · 18d since last

Running: 3 5 4 · Odds move: 16.0→8.8

Form55
Pace43
Draw97
J/T69
Weight33
Odds38
Move75

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

HANDSOME HERO

Rank #4

Draw 2 · 127lb · C L Chau · B Crawford · R52 · 15.0

7.7%

Win

22.9%

Place

Recent: 5 · 5/14(6 3 5) · 18d since last

Running: 6 3 5 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form71
Pace59
Draw100
J/T72
Weight44
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
12

PRECISION MIND

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 121lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R46 · 12.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 2-13-9-12-6 · 2/14(13 13 2) · 13/14(2 3 13) · 9/14(10 10 9) · 12/14(8 11 12) · 6/14(6 10 6) · 18d since last · Gear XB/TT

Running: 13 13 2 · Odds move: 11.0→12.0

Form52
Pace53
Draw76
J/T68
Weight78
Odds32
Move45

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

DOUBLE ALPHA

Rank #6

Draw 7 · 124lb · M F Poon · C S Shum · R49 · 11.0

7.1%

Win

21.3%

Place

Recent: 5-6-10-8-2 · 5/14(3 2 5) · 6/14(7 8 6) · 10/14(1 1 10) · 8/14(1 1 8) · 2/14(5 1 2) · 8d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 2 5 · Odds move: 9.0→11.0

Form61
Pace35
Draw80
J/T68
Weight61
Odds33
Move38

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

YEE CHEONG GLORY

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 134lb · J Orman · J Richards · R59 · 24.0

6.9%

Win

20.8%

Place

Recent: 3-12-7-5-6-4 · 3/14(12 10 3) · 12/14(12 12 10 12) · 7/14(13 12 11 7) · 5/14(13 13 12 5) · 6/14(8 7 6) · 4/14(11 11 4) · 96d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 12 10 3 · Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form62
Pace80
Draw72
J/T60
Weight6
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
5

CELESTIAL ZOUS

Rank #8

Draw 5 · 127lb · A Badel · D J Whyte · R52 · 30.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 28.0→30.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw89
J/T81
Weight44
Odds18
Move46

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / D J Whyte)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
7

HOWEVER

Rank #9

Draw 1 · 127lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R52 · 22.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT1

Odds move: 15.0→22.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw100
J/T86
Weight44
Odds22
Move24

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
9

TALENTS CHAMPION

Rank #10

Draw 14 · 125lb · M L Yeung · D A Hayes · R50 · 40.0

6.5%

Win

19.8%

Place

Recent: 7-7-3 · 7/14(3 4 7) · 7/14(2 2 7) · 3/14(4 4 3) · 123d since last · Gear CP

Running: 3 4 7 · Odds move: 42.0→40.0

Form63
Pace26
Draw51
J/T74
Weight56
Odds15
Move53

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
8

SUPREME DATA

Rank #11

Draw 10 · 127lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R52 · 29.0

6.5%

Win

19.8%

Place

Recent: — · Gear B1

Odds move: 30.0→29.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw68
J/T73
Weight44
Odds19
Move52

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
14

CHAMP'S DOMAIN

Rank #12

Draw 13 · 127lb · L Ferraris · W Y So · R52 · 21.0

6.4%

Win

19.4%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 19.0→21.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw55
J/T70
Weight44
Odds23
Move44

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
13

HEROIC VANGUARD

Rank #13

Draw 12 · 117lb · K Teetan · C H Yip · R42 · 50.0

6.1%

Win

18.6%

Place

Recent: 12-8-7-11-5 · 12/14(4 5 12) · 8/14(10 10 8) · 7/14(12 12 7) · 11/14(10 10 11) · 5/14(5 6 5) · 85d since last · Gear B1/TT

Running: 4 5 12 · Odds move: 34.0→50.0

Form40
Pace46
Draw59
J/T80
Weight100
Odds13
Move24

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / C H Yip)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market
  • –Freshness query after a break
10

CLASSIC TRIPLE

Rank #14

Draw 11 · 124lb · K C Leung · W Y So · R49 · 35.0

5.4%

Win

16.4%

Place

Recent: 14-13 · 14/14(1 4 14) · 13/14(3 4 13) · 158d since last · Gear SR-/TT

Running: 1 4 14 · Odds move: 28.0→35.0

Form10
Pace0
Draw63
J/T68
Weight61
Odds17
Move36

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break