HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-01

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R6 JINAN HANDICAP

15:35 · 1800m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 11

    VICTOR SUPREME

    Draw 3 · 4.8

    8.7%
  • 23

    SUPER GOLDENDRAGON

    Draw 4 · 3.2

    8.7%
  • 313

    STAR BROSE

    Draw 7 · 8.9

    8.2%
  • 47

    LUCKY YEAR

    Draw 13 · 9.9

    8.0%
  • 58

    SUPREME MASTERMIND

    Draw 1 · 7.0

    7.8%
  • 66

    ROMANTIC FANTASY

    Draw 11 · 11.0

    7.7%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

1

VICTOR SUPREME

Rank #1

Draw 3 · 135lb · C Y Ho · P F Yiu · R59 · 4.8

8.7%

Win

25.5%

Place

Recent: 9-1-2-5-4-5 · 9/14(10 9 9 9) · 1/14(7 8 9 6 1) · 2/14(12 13 13 2) · 5/14(12 12 12 5) · 4/14(9 8 7 4) · 5/14(11 12 11 5) · 18d since last · Gear V

Running: 10 9 9 9 · Odds move: 6.9→4.8

Form75
Pace81
Draw82
J/T81
Weight0
Odds55
Move67

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / P F Yiu)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

SUPER GOLDENDRAGON

Rank #2

Draw 4 · 133lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R57 · 3.2

8.7%

Win

25.5%

Place

Recent: 1-3-2-1-6-14 · 1/14(8 8 2 1 1) · 3/14(3 4 4 5 3) · 2/14(8 5 6 5 2) · 1/14(3 5 5 6 5 1) · 6/14(7 7 6 6) · 14/14(11 11 12 13 14) · 96d since last · Gear BO/TT

Running: 8 8 2 1 1 · Odds move: 2.1→3.2

Form95
Pace77
Draw80
J/T64
Weight11
Odds70
Move21

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Drifting in the market
  • –Freshness query after a break
13

STAR BROSE

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 118lb · M L Yeung · D A Hayes · R42 · 8.9

8.2%

Win

24.4%

Place

Recent: 3-2-4-9-6-3 · 3/14(10 10 10 9 3) · 2/14(4 5 7 6 2) · 4/14(7 7 8 9 4) · 9/14(14 13 12 12 9) · 6/14(6 6 8 9 10 6) · 3/14(5 4 4 3 3) · 15d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 10 10 10 9 3 · Odds move: 9.3→8.9

Form83
Pace76
Draw75
J/T74
Weight94
Odds38
Move52

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

LUCKY YEAR

Rank #4

Draw 13 · 124lb · H Bentley · C H Yip · R48 · 9.9

8.0%

Win

23.8%

Place

Recent: 2-4-3-3-2-9 · 2/14(5 6 6 2) · 4/14(2 2 3 4) · 3/14(5 5 7 3) · 3/14(8 9 8 3) · 2/14(7 8 7 2) · 9/14(5 7 9 9) · 18d since last · Gear B

Running: 5 6 6 2 · Odds move: 11.0→9.9

Form91
Pace67
Draw63
J/T70
Weight61
Odds35
Move55

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

SUPREME MASTERMIND

Rank #5

Draw 1 · 124lb · L Ferraris · M Newnham · R48 · 7.0

7.8%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 5-9-8-9-9-12 · 5/14(13 12 13 9 5) · 9/14(8 7 4 9) · 8/14(7 7 7 8) · 9/14(4 5 5 6 9) · 9/14(12 12 12 12 9) · 12/14(13 12 10 12 12) · 89d since last · Gear XB

Running: 13 12 13 9 5 · Odds move: 11.0→7.0

Form54
Pace62
Draw86
J/T71
Weight61
Odds44
Move70

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
6

ROMANTIC FANTASY

Rank #6

Draw 11 · 125lb · Z Purton · J Richards · R49 · 11.0

7.7%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 1-5-8-14-1-5 · 1/14(7 7 7 8 1) · 5/14(12 13 12 11 5) · 8/14(12 12 12 12 8) · 14/14(9 9 11 14 14) · 1/14(7 11 11 7 1) · 5/14(11 11 9 8 7 5) · 15d since last

Running: 7 7 7 8 1 · Odds move: 12.0→11.0

Form70
Pace79
Draw67
J/T85
Weight56
Odds33
Move55

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / J Richards)
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

ROMANTIC LAOS

Rank #7

Draw 12 · 126lb · C L Chau · C W Chang · R50 · 21.0

7.3%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 4-5-2-7-5-7 · 4/14(9 9 9 10 4) · 5/14(11 11 11 5) · 2/14(5 8 8 7 2) · 7/14(8 8 8 7) · 5/14(7 7 7 5) · 7/14(5 6 7 7) · 15d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 9 9 9 10 4 · Odds move: 24.0→21.0

Form77
Pace74
Draw65
J/T65
Weight50
Odds23
Move57

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
14

CIRCUIT CENTURY

Rank #8

Draw 10 · 117lb · H T Mo · C S Shum · R41 · 20.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 3-10-12-9-11-11 · 3/14(5 4 2 3) · 10/14(2 3 2 10) · 12/14(6 6 7 12) · 9/14(3 3 3 9) · 11/14(11 13 12 11) · 11/14(11 14 11) · 22d since last · Gear B/XB/TT

Running: 5 4 2 3 · Odds move: 21.0→20.0

Form52
Pace30
Draw69
J/T72
Weight100
Odds23
Move53

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
12

ON THE LASH

Rank #9

Draw 14 · 118lb · A Atzeni · P C Ng · R42 · 22.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 12-9-1-13-5-8 · 12/14(1 1 1 2 12) · 9/14(3 3 4 4 9) · 1/14(3 1 1 1 1) · 13/14(13 11 14 13) · 5/14(2 2 2 2 5) · 8/14(3 2 3 4 8) · 96d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 1 1 1 2 12 · Odds move: 32.0→22.0

Form45
Pace26
Draw61
J/T79
Weight94
Odds22
Move67

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / P C Ng)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
10

GOOD GOOD

Rank #10

Draw 8 · 120lb · K Teetan · J Size · R44 · 27.0

6.3%

Win

19.2%

Place

Recent: 14-12-7-9-2-11 · 14/14(2 3 5 14) · 12/14(7 7 9 12) · 7/14(6 5 5 6 7) · 9/14(1 2 1 2 9) · 2/14(2 2 2 1 2) · 11/14(3 3 5 11) · 18d since last · Gear B

Running: 2 3 5 14 · Odds move: 30.0→27.0

Form32
Pace21
Draw73
J/T90
Weight83
Odds19
Move55

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / J Size)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
9

FAST SPEED

Rank #11

Draw 9 · 120lb · M Chadwick · Y S Tsui · R44 · 41.0

6.2%

Win

18.9%

Place

Recent: 9-13-9-5-10-12 · 9/14(6 7 7 6 9) · 13/14(3 2 3 7 13) · 9/14(3 3 5 9) · 5/14(9 10 10 10 5) · 10/14(12 12 12 10) · 12/14(14 14 14 12 12) · 78d since last · Gear TT

Running: 6 7 7 6 9 · Odds move: 45.0→41.0

Form39
Pace28
Draw71
J/T72
Weight83
Odds15
Move55

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
5

FLUORESCENCE

Rank #12

Draw 2 · 125lb · A Badel · K L Man · R49 · 56.0

6.1%

Win

18.6%

Place

Recent: 9-11-7-14-12-14 · 9/14(3 3 4 3 9) · 11/14(8 7 8 8 11) · 7/14(4 4 4 6 7) · 14/14(14 14 14 14) · 12/14(11 12 12 12) · 14/14(12 13 14 14) · 15d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 3 3 4 3 9 · Odds move: 57.0→56.0

Form36
Pace32
Draw84
J/T73
Weight56
Odds13
Move51

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
11

MASSIVE GLORY

Rank #13

Draw 5 · 120lb · Y L Chung · F C Lor · R44 · 67.0

5.8%

Win

17.8%

Place

Recent: 9-13-11-6 · 9/14(5 4 6 8 9) · 13/14(1 1 1 3 13) · 11/14(6 6 7 11) · 6/14(7 4 5 6) · 96d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 5 4 6 8 9 · Odds move: 56.0→67.0

Form34
Pace25
Draw79
J/T67
Weight83
Odds11
Move39

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

DRAGON ON SNOW

Rank #14

Draw 6 · 133lb · R Kingscote · D Eustace · R57 · 49.0

5.7%

Win

17.3%

Place

Recent: 9-14-10-8 · 9/14(3 2 2 3 9) · 14/14(4 6 8 14) · 10/14(9 8 9 10) · 8/14(7 7 7 8) · 141d since last · Gear CP-/XB2

Running: 3 2 2 3 9 · Odds move: 45.0→49.0

Form31
Pace19
Draw77
J/T69
Weight11
Odds14
Move45

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break