HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-01

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R7 CHONGQING HANDICAP

16:10 · 1200m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 16

    SPIRITED STEED

    Draw 6 · 3.3

    9.2%
  • 210

    KA YING RADIANCE

    Draw 1 · 3.8

    9.0%
  • 32

    LIGHT YEARS GLORY

    Draw 11 · 5.8

    8.3%
  • 414

    LAKESHORE HERO

    Draw 13 · 16.0

    7.7%
  • 513

    VICTORY CHAMPION

    Draw 5 · 18.0

    7.4%
  • 611

    RIDING HIGH

    Draw 9 · 18.0

    7.4%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

6

SPIRITED STEED

Rank #1

Draw 6 · 128lb · Z Purton · K W Lui · R52 · 3.3

9.2%

Win

26.9%

Place

Recent: 3-2-11-7 · 3/14(3 4 3) · 2/14(7 7 2) · 11/14(7 8 11) · 7/14(10 10 7) · 18d since last

Running: 3 4 3 · Odds move: 3.1→3.3

Form78
Pace61
Draw85
J/T88
Weight37
Odds68
Move46

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / K W Lui)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

KA YING RADIANCE

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 121lb · M F Poon · D A Hayes · R45 · 3.8

9.0%

Win

26.4%

Place

Recent: 5-2-9-13-6-9 · 5/14(7 5 5) · 2/14(12 10 2) · 9/14(8 8 9) · 13/14(9 7 6 13) · 6/14(10 6 6 6) · 9/14(5 5 9) · 96d since last

Running: 7 5 5 · Odds move: 4.1→3.8

Form65
Pace67
Draw100
J/T72
Weight74
Odds63
Move54

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
2

LIGHT YEARS GLORY

Rank #3

Draw 11 · 132lb · L Ferraris · D Eustace · R56 · 5.8

8.3%

Win

24.7%

Place

Recent: 1-9-6-3-3-4 · 1/14(10 9 1) · 9/14(8 6 1 9) · 6/14(14 12 11 6) · 3/14(3 3 3) · 3/14(8 7 3) · 4/14(7 6 4) · 25d since last · Gear XB

Running: 10 9 1 · Odds move: 8.0→5.8

Form76
Pace77
Draw63
J/T69
Weight16
Odds49
Move65

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
14

LAKESHORE HERO

Rank #4

Draw 13 · 116lb · A Atzeni · D J Hall · R40 · 16.0

7.7%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 2-2-7-10-3-5 · 2/14(7 4 2) · 2/14(11 12 2) · 7/14(12 11 7) · 10/14(3 2 2 10) · 3/14(8 6 3) · 5/14(3 3 3 5) · 22d since last

Running: 7 4 2 · Odds move: 15.0→16.0

Form82
Pace77
Draw55
J/T70
Weight100
Odds27
Move46

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
13

VICTORY CHAMPION

Rank #5

Draw 5 · 117lb · A Badel · F C Lor · R41 · 18.0

7.4%

Win

22.3%

Place

Recent: 10-4-5-9-9-3 · 10/14(12 11 10) · 4/14(13 13 4) · 5/14(10 8 5) · 9/14(4 6 9) · 9/14(13 12 9) · 3/14(9 8 3) · 25d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 12 11 10 · Odds move: 16.0→18.0

Form56
Pace72
Draw89
J/T79
Weight95
Odds25
Move43

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / F C Lor)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

RIDING HIGH

Rank #6

Draw 9 · 121lb · L Hewitson · D J Whyte · R45 · 18.0

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 5-2-12-2-2-4 · 5/14(2 1 5) · 2/14(4 3 2) · 12/14(2 3 12) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 4/14(4 3 4) · 25d since last · Gear CP

Running: 2 1 5 · Odds move: 17.0→18.0

Form74
Pace42
Draw72
J/T80
Weight74
Odds25
Move47

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / D J Whyte)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

JOKER ORBIT

Rank #7

Draw 2 · 128lb · C L Chau · C S Shum · R52 · 16.0

6.9%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 5-11-4-7-11-10 · 5/14(3 5 5) · 11/14(12 12 11) · 4/14(4 5 4) · 7/14(2 2 7) · 11/14(9 9 11) · 10/14(9 9 10) · 8d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 5 5 · Odds move: 12.0→16.0

Form57
Pace45
Draw100
J/T73
Weight37
Odds27
Move32

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
3

EVER WEALTH

Rank #8

Draw 14 · 128lb · C Y Ho · P F Yiu · R52 · 29.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 6-3-3 · 6/14(2 3 6) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 3/14(1 3 3) · 89d since last · Gear B1

Running: 2 3 6 · Odds move: 26.0→29.0

Form78
Pace33
Draw51
J/T81
Weight37
Odds19
Move44

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / P F Yiu)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

CAVAMAZING

Rank #9

Draw 3 · 127lb · M L Yeung · W Y So · R51 · 18.0

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 11 · 11/14(9 9 11) · 102d since last

Running: 9 9 11 · Odds move: 27.0→18.0

Form29
Pace44
Draw97
J/T68
Weight42
Odds25
Move68

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Freshness query after a break
5

RISING FROM ASHES

Rank #10

Draw 10 · 128lb · J Orman · C W Chang · R52 · 27.0

6.5%

Win

19.6%

Place

Recent: 9-8-8-5-11-12 · 9/14(10 8 9) · 8/14(14 14 14 8) · 8/14(10 13 8 8) · 5/14(11 11 5) · 11/14(7 9 11) · 12/14(7 7 9 12) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 10 8 9 · Odds move: 24.0→27.0

Form49
Pace68
Draw68
J/T55
Weight37
Odds19
Move43

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
1

MASTER CHAMPION

Rank #11

Draw 4 · 135lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R59 · 19.0

6.2%

Win

19.0%

Place

Recent: 12-10-12-4-12-12 · 12/14(11 11 12) · 10/14(9 9 10) · 12/14(5 7 12) · 4/14(4 3 4) · 12/14(4 3 12) · 12/14(2 2 12) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 11 12 · Odds move: 15.0→19.0

Form33
Pace40
Draw93
J/T73
Weight0
Odds24
Move35

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
8

MY WYNDFALL

Rank #12

Draw 7 · 127lb · M Chadwick · J Richards · R51 · 46.0

6.1%

Win

18.6%

Place

Recent: 12 · 12/14(13 14 14 12) · 81d since last · Gear TT

Running: 13 14 14 12 · Odds move: 43.0→46.0

Form21
Pace59
Draw80
J/T74
Weight42
Odds14
Move46

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
12

LUCKY GIBS

Rank #13

Draw 8 · 118lb · P N Wong · K L Man · R42 · 46.0

5.8%

Win

17.8%

Place

Recent: 11-11-12-13-10 · 11/14(8 10 11) · 11/14(4 6 7 11) · 12/14(12 11 11 12) · 13/14(2 4 3 13) · 10/14(13 13 10) · 25d since last · Gear B

Running: 8 10 11 · Odds move: 36.0→46.0

Form26
Pace33
Draw76
J/T58
Weight89
Odds14
Move35

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market
9

HIGH RISE VICTORY

Rank #14

Draw 12 · 122lb · K C Leung · C H Yip · R46 · 42.0

5.7%

Win

17.6%

Place

Recent: 9-13-12 · 9/14(7 6 9) · 13/14(5 3 4 13) · 12/14(11 13 12) · 92d since last · Gear TT

Running: 7 6 9 · Odds move: 30.0→42.0

Form30
Pace35
Draw59
J/T67
Weight68
Odds15
Move28

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market
  • –Freshness query after a break