HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-01

Thursday, 1 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R8 CHONGQING HANDICAP

16:40 · 1200m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 15

    PRIME ACE

    Draw 1 · 6.1

    8.9%
  • 24

    VIRTUS GLORY

    Draw 4 · 4.7

    8.5%
  • 31

    ALMIGHTY WARRIOR

    Draw 11 · 7.8

    8.0%
  • 48

    BETTER AND BETTER

    Draw 2 · 10.0

    7.9%
  • 514

    CASA PRIMO

    Draw 10 · 11.0

    7.7%
  • 611

    SPEEDY POWER

    Draw 12 · 5.4

    7.5%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

5

PRIME ACE

Rank #1

Draw 1 · 128lb · K Teetan · J Size · R53 · 6.1

8.9%

Win

26.2%

Place

Recent: 3 · 3/14(8 8 3) · 18d since last · Gear P

Running: 8 8 3 · Odds move: 6.0→6.1

Form92
Pace87
Draw100
J/T90
Weight37
Odds47
Move49

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / J Size)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

VIRTUS GLORY

Rank #2

Draw 4 · 129lb · B Avdulla · P F Yiu · R54 · 4.7

8.5%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 2-2-4-9 · 2/14(3 3 2) · 2/14(4 6 2) · 4/14(2 2 4) · 9/14(6 6 9) · 25d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 3 2 · Odds move: 4.6→4.7

Form89
Pace55
Draw93
J/T77
Weight32
Odds55
Move49

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / P F Yiu)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

ALMIGHTY WARRIOR

Rank #3

Draw 11 · 135lb · Z Purton · K W Lui · R60 · 7.8

8.0%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 1-2-5 · 1/14(3 2 1) · 2/14(7 7 2) · 5/14(4 4 5) · 89d since last · Gear XB

Running: 3 2 1 · Odds move: 7.3→7.8

Form95
Pace69
Draw63
J/T88
Weight0
Odds41
Move46

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / K W Lui)
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
8

BETTER AND BETTER

Rank #4

Draw 2 · 123lb · A Badel · F C Lor · R48 · 10.0

7.9%

Win

23.5%

Place

Recent: 5-10-3-2-2-1 · 5/14(8 8 5) · 10/14(4 4 10) · 3/14(8 7 3) · 2/14(5 4 2) · 2/14(12 9 2) · 1/14(11 8 1) · 18d since last · Gear H/P/TT

Running: 8 8 5 · Odds move: 11.0→10.0

Form71
Pace64
Draw100
J/T79
Weight63
Odds35
Move55

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / F C Lor)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
14

CASA PRIMO

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 116lb · R Kingscote · C W Chang · R41 · 11.0

7.7%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 8-5-6-5-5-5 · 8/14(12 13 8) · 5/14(3 3 5) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 5/14(12 8 5) · 5/14(3 2 5) · 5/14(11 8 5) · 81d since last · Gear H-/XB

Running: 12 13 8 · Odds move: 27.0→11.0

Form63
Pace68
Draw68
J/T63
Weight100
Odds33
Move83

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
11

SPEEDY POWER

Rank #6

Draw 12 · 119lb · A Atzeni · J Cummings · R44 · 5.4

7.5%

Win

22.4%

Place

Recent: 7-6-12-7 · 7/14(11 11 7) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 12/14(9 8 12) · 7/14(4 3 7) · 85d since last · Gear H-/TT1

Running: 11 11 7 · Odds move: 5.5→5.4

Form52
Pace66
Draw59
J/T72
Weight84
Odds51
Move51

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
6

PRIVATE WEALTH

Rank #7

Draw 3 · 127lb · J Orman · D J Hall · R52 · 9.4

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 5-9 · 5/14(8 9 5) · 9/14(11 12 9) · 89d since last · Gear XB

Running: 8 9 5 · Odds move: 7.5→9.4

Form62
Pace67
Draw97
J/T58
Weight42
Odds36
Move36

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
3

OLDTOWN

Rank #8

Draw 6 · 132lb · C L Chau · M Newnham · R57 · 21.0

7.1%

Win

21.3%

Place

Recent: 12-6-2-1-5-6 · 12/14(12 12 12) · 6/14(10 10 6) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 1/14(7 7 1) · 5/14(11 11 5) · 6/14(13 14 6) · 18d since last · Gear B/XB

Running: 12 12 12 · Odds move: 30.0→21.0

Form62
Pace68
Draw85
J/T72
Weight16
Odds23
Move67

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
13

MONTA FRUTTA

Rank #9

Draw 7 · 117lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R42 · 13.0

6.9%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 3-8-13-9-10-2 · 3/14(9 5 3) · 8/14(12 11 8) · 13/14(12 12 13) · 9/14(9 9 9) · 10/14(11 8 10) · 2/14(10 7 2) · 25d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 9 5 3 · Odds move: 10.0→13.0

Form55
Pace71
Draw80
J/T71
Weight95
Odds30
Move34

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
12

TYCOON EXPRESS

Rank #10

Draw 8 · 119lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R44 · 36.0

6.4%

Win

19.4%

Place

Recent: 12-10-5-6 · 12/14(11 10 11 12) · 10/14(14 13 13 10) · 5/14(13 11 11 5) · 6/14(14 14 6) · 158d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 10 11 12 · Odds move: 30.0→36.0

Form40
Pace69
Draw76
J/T86
Weight84
Odds16
Move39

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

GOLDEN TRIUMPH

Rank #11

Draw 5 · 126lb · L Ferraris · D Eustace · R51 · 54.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 9 · 9/14(12 11 9) · 305d since last

Running: 12 11 9 · Odds move: 51.0→54.0

Form43
Pace69
Draw89
J/T69
Weight47
Odds13
Move47

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

HEALTHY HEALTHY

Rank #12

Draw 14 · 134lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R59 · 29.0

6.3%

Win

19.0%

Place

Recent: 7-1-10-8-8-10 · 7/14(8 9 7) · 1/14(6 5 1) · 10/14(8 10 10) · 8/14(8 8 8) · 8/14(10 10 8) · 10/14(10 9 10) · 78d since last · Gear PC

Running: 8 9 7 · Odds move: 25.0→29.0

Form63
Pace62
Draw51
J/T73
Weight5
Odds19
Move41

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
10

LUCKY BID

Rank #13

Draw 9 · 121lb · M Chadwick · J Richards · R46 · 57.0

5.8%

Win

17.6%

Place

Recent: 10-13-6 · 10/14(8 9 10) · 13/14(5 4 5 13) · 6/14(3 4 6) · 78d since last

Running: 8 9 10 · Odds move: 46.0→57.0

Form33
Pace32
Draw72
J/T74
Weight74
Odds12
Move37

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
9

E HO HO

Rank #14

Draw 13 · 121lb · H Bentley · K L Man · R46 · 62.0

5.6%

Win

17.2%

Place

Recent: 9-6-13-10-11-6 · 9/14(5 6 9) · 6/14(2 2 6) · 13/14(6 5 13) · 10/14(9 11 10) · 11/14(9 5 11) · 6/14(2 2 6) · 18d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 5 6 9 · Odds move: 46.0→62.0

Form41
Pace30
Draw55
J/T68
Weight74
Odds12
Move31

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market