HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-04

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R10 SHING MUN HANDICAP

17:10 · 1000m · Class 3 · Turf · Course B

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 114

    LAHORE

    Draw 3 · 12.0

    8.1%
  • 213

    LUCKY CANDY

    Draw 6 · 8.4

    8.0%
  • 310

    INVINCIBLE STEED

    Draw 7 · 7.9

    7.7%
  • 49

    CONGHUA GALAXY

    Draw 13 · 8.8

    7.7%
  • 52

    ALPHA STRIKE

    Draw 2 · 9.0

    7.4%
  • 63

    METRO POWER

    Draw 10 · 13.0

    7.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

14

LAHORE

Rank #1

Draw 3 · 119lb · A Badel · J Richards · R61 · 12.0

8.1%

Win

24.1%

Place

Recent: 1-1-4-2-11-8 · 1/14 · 1/14 · 4/14 · 2/14 · 11/14 · 8/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form91
Pace50
Draw97
J/T76
Weight100
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
13

LUCKY CANDY

Rank #2

Draw 6 · 122lb · K Teetan · W K Mo · R64 · 8.4

8.0%

Win

23.9%

Place

Recent: 6-2-2-2-3-3 · 6/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · Gear CP/TT

Odds move: 8.4→8.4

Form87
Pace50
Draw85
J/T76
Weight81
Odds39
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / W K Mo)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

INVINCIBLE STEED

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 123lb · C Y Ho · Y S Tsui · R65 · 7.9

7.7%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 5-5-3 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 3/14 · Gear XB-

Odds move: 7.9→7.9

Form75
Pace50
Draw80
J/T76
Weight75
Odds41
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / Y S Tsui)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

CONGHUA GALAXY

Rank #4

Draw 13 · 123lb · L Ferraris · B Crawford · R65 · 8.8

7.7%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 3 · 3/14

Odds move: 8.8→8.8

Form92
Pace50
Draw55
J/T71
Weight75
Odds38
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

ALPHA STRIKE

Rank #5

Draw 2 · 131lb · J Orman · C Fownes · R73 · 9.0

7.4%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 1-12-4-4-10-12 · 1/14 · 12/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · 10/14 · 12/14 · Gear XB/TT

Odds move: 9.0→9.0

Form68
Pace50
Draw100
J/T69
Weight25
Odds37
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

METRO POWER

Rank #6

Draw 10 · 128lb · L Hewitson · D A Hayes · R70 · 13.0

7.3%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 4-4-4-5-6-11 · 4/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · 5/14 · 6/14 · 11/14 · Gear CP

Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form77
Pace50
Draw68
J/T81
Weight44
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / D A Hayes)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

HORSEPOWER

Rank #7

Draw 8 · 135lb · A Atzeni · F C Lor · R77 · 14.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 4-8-2-2-2-9 · 4/14 · 8/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · 9/14 · Gear XB/TT

Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form79
Pace50
Draw76
J/T75
Weight0
Odds29
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
8

MICKLEY

Rank #8

Draw 4 · 124lb · K C Leung · J Size · R66 · 8.4

7.1%

Win

21.2%

Place

Recent: 11-10-6-10-7-7 · 11/14 · 10/14 · 6/14 · 10/14 · 7/14 · 7/14 · Gear B2/TT

Odds move: 8.4→8.4

Form40
Pace50
Draw93
J/T77
Weight69
Odds39
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K C Leung / J Size)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

CELESTIAL HERO

Rank #9

Draw 5 · 126lb · Z Purton · D J Whyte · R68 · 17.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 10-12-3-6-8-4 · 10/14 · 12/14 · 3/14 · 6/14 · 8/14 · 4/14 · Gear CP-/B2

Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form48
Pace50
Draw89
J/T89
Weight56
Odds26
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / D J Whyte)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

SMART OINK

Rank #10

Draw 12 · 125lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R67 · 7.6

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: — · Gear BO-/TT

Odds move: 7.6→7.6

Form45
Pace50
Draw59
J/T69
Weight63
Odds41
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

NOTTHESILLYONE

Rank #11

Draw 9 · 123lb · R Kingscote · M Newnham · R65 · 16.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 8-8-9-1-9-1 · 8/14 · 8/14 · 9/14 · 1/14 · 9/14 · 1/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form55
Pace50
Draw72
J/T71
Weight75
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
5

ETERNAL FORTUNE

Rank #12

Draw 14 · 125lb · P N Wong · C S Shum · R67 · 13.0

6.5%

Win

19.7%

Place

Recent: 9-9-9-2-3-5 · 9/14 · 9/14 · 9/14 · 2/14 · 3/14 · 5/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form54
Pace50
Draw51
J/T63
Weight63
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

CASA OF HONOR

Rank #13

Draw 11 · 124lb · M F Poon · C W Chang · R66 · 25.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 7-12-8-1-12-6 · 7/14 · 12/14 · 8/14 · 1/14 · 12/14 · 6/14 · Gear XB

Odds move: 25.0→25.0

Form50
Pace50
Draw63
J/T61
Weight69
Odds20
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
12

JIN SHENG

Rank #14

Draw 1 · 122lb · C L Chau · K L Man · R64 · 29.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 11 · 11/14 · Gear TT1

Odds move: 29.0→29.0

Form29
Pace50
Draw100
J/T68
Weight81
Odds19
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement