HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-04

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R11 YAU KOM TAU HANDICAP

17:45 · 1200m · Class 3 · Turf · Course B

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 12

    SOLID STATE

    Draw 7 · 2.2

    9.8%
  • 210

    PACKING GLORY

    Draw 13 · 9.6

    7.7%
  • 35

    BUNTA BABY

    Draw 2 · 17.0

    7.5%
  • 41

    HELENE SUPAFEELING

    Draw 4 · 12.0

    7.4%
  • 514

    MASTER PAYMENT

    Draw 10 · 17.0

    7.2%
  • 67

    GRAND EAGLE

    Draw 3 · 9.0

    7.1%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

2

SOLID STATE

Rank #1

Draw 7 · 135lb · Z Purton · F C Lor · R79 · 2.2

9.8%

Win

28.6%

Place

Recent: 2-1 · 2/14 · 1/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 2.2→2.2

Form99
Pace50
Draw80
J/T87
Weight0
Odds87
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / F C Lor)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

PACKING GLORY

Rank #2

Draw 13 · 122lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R66 · 9.6

7.7%

Win

22.9%

Place

Recent: 1-2-4-5-3-3 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 4/14 · 5/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 9.6→9.6

Form91
Pace50
Draw55
J/T69
Weight81
Odds36
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
5

BUNTA BABY

Rank #3

Draw 2 · 127lb · L Ferraris · K L Man · R71 · 17.0

7.5%

Win

22.4%

Place

Recent: 5-3-3-6-1-1 · 5/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · 6/14 · 1/14 · 1/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form82
Pace50
Draw100
J/T67
Weight50
Odds26
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

HELENE SUPAFEELING

Rank #4

Draw 4 · 135lb · C L Chau · D Eustace · R79 · 12.0

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 4-2-6-4-4-1 · 4/14 · 2/14 · 6/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · 1/14 · Gear XB/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form81
Pace50
Draw93
J/T70
Weight0
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
14

MASTER PAYMENT

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 119lb · A Badel · C H Yip · R63 · 17.0

7.2%

Win

21.5%

Place

Recent: 12-1-2-2 · 12/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form68
Pace50
Draw68
J/T76
Weight100
Odds26
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (A Badel / C H Yip)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

GRAND EAGLE

Rank #6

Draw 3 · 126lb · A Atzeni · J Cummings · R70 · 9.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 7-11 · 7/14 · 11/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 9.0→9.0

Form48
Pace50
Draw97
J/T72
Weight56
Odds37
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

ALMIGHTY LIGHTNING

Rank #7

Draw 11 · 126lb · K C Leung · K L Man · R70 · 15.0

7.1%

Win

21.3%

Place

Recent: 6-1-2-12-2-1 · 6/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 12/14 · 2/14 · 1/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form77
Pace50
Draw63
J/T65
Weight56
Odds28
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
13

LIFELINE EXPRESS

Rank #8

Draw 5 · 119lb · H Bentley · J Size · R63 · 21.0

7.0%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 9-7-5-11-6-2 · 9/14 · 7/14 · 5/14 · 11/14 · 6/14 · 2/14 · Gear E

Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form52
Pace50
Draw89
J/T80
Weight100
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (H Bentley / J Size)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

GOLD PATCH

Rank #9

Draw 9 · 130lb · C Y Ho · K W Lui · R74 · 19.0

6.9%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 9-7-3-1-1-3 · 9/14 · 7/14 · 3/14 · 1/14 · 1/14 · 3/14 · Gear XB/B1

Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form68
Pace50
Draw72
J/T81
Weight31
Odds24
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / K W Lui)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

CITY GOLD BANNER

Rank #10

Draw 1 · 123lb · J Orman · J Richards · R67 · 21.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 10-4-10-9-7-7 · 10/14 · 4/14 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 7/14 · 7/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form50
Pace50
Draw100
J/T60
Weight75
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

LUCY IN THE SKY

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 134lb · P N Wong · Y S Tsui · R78 · 19.0

6.7%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 1-4-8-7-9-9 · 1/14 · 4/14 · 8/14 · 7/14 · 9/14 · 9/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form75
Pace50
Draw59
J/T59
Weight6
Odds24
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
6

RADIANT PATH

Rank #12

Draw 6 · 127lb · M Chadwick · W K Mo · R71 · 27.0

6.4%

Win

19.5%

Place

Recent: — · Gear B-/TT1

Odds move: 27.0→27.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw85
J/T70
Weight50
Odds19
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
12

VULCANUS

Rank #13

Draw 8 · 120lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R64 · 39.0

6.4%

Win

19.4%

Place

Recent: 11-11-8-1-7-4 · 11/14 · 11/14 · 8/14 · 1/14 · 7/14 · 4/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 39.0→39.0

Form44
Pace50
Draw76
J/T68
Weight94
Odds16
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
11

SHANGHAI WARRIOR

Rank #14

Draw 14 · 120lb · L Hewitson · C S Shum · R64 · 42.0

6.1%

Win

18.5%

Place

Recent: 10 · 10/14

Odds move: 42.0→42.0

Form36
Pace50
Draw51
J/T77
Weight94
Odds15
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / C S Shum)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement