HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-04

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R3 MUK MIN HA HANDICAP

13:30 · 1650m · Class 2 · AWT · Course AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 12

    TALENTS AMBITION

    Draw 4 · 2.3

    15.4%
  • 27

    SKY VINO

    Draw 1 · 5.6

    13.9%
  • 38

    LOCH TAY

    Draw 6 · 6.8

    12.6%
  • 46

    DEFINITIVE

    Draw 7 · 12.0

    12.5%
  • 53

    SING DRAGON

    Draw 8 · 7.0

    12.1%
  • 64

    GORGEOUS WIN

    Draw 5 · 10.0

    11.5%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

2

TALENTS AMBITION

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 128lb · Z Purton · M Newnham · R92 · 2.3

15.4%

Win

44.3%

Place

Recent: 1-9-2-4-7-3 · 1/14 · 9/14 · 2/14 · 4/14 · 7/14 · 3/14 · Gear B/XB

Odds move: 2.3→2.3

Form79
Pace50
Draw76
J/T86
Weight35
Odds85
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / M Newnham)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

SKY VINO

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 115lb · A Badel · C Fownes · R79 · 5.6

13.9%

Win

41.0%

Place

Recent: 5-4-6-1-2-6 · 5/14 · 4/14 · 6/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 6/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 5.6→5.6

Form78
Pace50
Draw86
J/T85
Weight100
Odds50
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / C Fownes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

LOCH TAY

Rank #3

Draw 6 · 115lb · H Bentley · D Eustace · R78 · 6.8

12.6%

Win

37.9%

Place

Recent: 6-4-1-13-9-9 · 6/14 · 4/14 · 1/14 · 13/14 · 9/14 · 9/14 · Gear XB

Odds move: 6.8→6.8

Form67
Pace50
Draw68
J/T70
Weight100
Odds44
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

DEFINITIVE

Rank #4

Draw 7 · 115lb · K Teetan · D Eustace · R79 · 12.0

12.5%

Win

37.6%

Place

Recent: 7-1-3-5-7-2 · 7/14 · 1/14 · 3/14 · 5/14 · 7/14 · 2/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form77
Pace50
Draw65
J/T80
Weight100
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / D Eustace)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

SING DRAGON

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 127lb · M Chadwick · W Y So · R91 · 7.0

12.1%

Win

36.6%

Place

Recent: 1-11-7-8-2-7 · 1/14 · 11/14 · 7/14 · 8/14 · 2/14 · 7/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 7.0→7.0

Form66
Pace50
Draw61
J/T74
Weight40
Odds44
Move50

Strengths

  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

GORGEOUS WIN

Rank #6

Draw 5 · 122lb · R Kingscote · C S Shum · R86 · 10.0

11.5%

Win

34.9%

Place

Recent: 5-8-10-11-10-8 · 5/14 · 8/14 · 10/14 · 11/14 · 10/14 · 8/14 · Gear P/TT

Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form50
Pace50
Draw72
J/T71
Weight65
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

CHANCHENG GLORY

Rank #7

Draw 2 · 135lb · C L Chau · K W Lui · R99 · 10.0

11.2%

Win

34.3%

Place

Recent: 10-8-8-6-5-7 · 10/14 · 8/14 · 8/14 · 6/14 · 5/14 · 7/14 · Gear B-/V2

Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form49
Pace50
Draw83
J/T75
Weight0
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
5

AWESOME FLUKE

Rank #8

Draw 3 · 120lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R84 · 18.0

10.8%

Win

33.3%

Place

Recent: 10-11-9-6-5-4 · 10/14 · 11/14 · 9/14 · 6/14 · 5/14 · 4/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 18.0→18.0

Form41
Pace50
Draw79
J/T69
Weight75
Odds25
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model