HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-04

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R4 LO WAI HANDICAP

14:00 · 1400m · Class 5 · Turf · Course B

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 18

    THE ALL ROUNDER

    Draw 4 · 2.8

    9.2%
  • 213

    SUPERB GUY

    Draw 11 · 6.7

    7.8%
  • 312

    TEAM HAPPY

    Draw 1 · 23.0

    7.5%
  • 47

    SPEEDY TRIDENT

    Draw 6 · 13.0

    7.5%
  • 56

    PERIDOT

    Draw 7 · 7.4

    7.2%
  • 614

    SUPREME WINNER

    Draw 2 · 20.0

    7.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

8

THE ALL ROUNDER

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 130lb · C Y Ho · P C Ng · R35 · 2.8

9.2%

Win

26.8%

Place

Recent: 2-4-5-9-3-6 · 2/14 · 4/14 · 5/14 · 9/14 · 3/14 · 6/14 · Gear PC

Odds move: 2.8→2.8

Form80
Pace50
Draw87
J/T85
Weight33
Odds75
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / P C Ng)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
13

SUPERB GUY

Rank #2

Draw 11 · 123lb · Z Purton · K W Lui · R28 · 6.7

7.8%

Win

23.2%

Place

Recent: 3-11-7-4-2-8 · 3/14 · 11/14 · 7/14 · 4/14 · 2/14 · 8/14 · Gear V/XB

Odds move: 6.7→6.7

Form67
Pace50
Draw65
J/T88
Weight80
Odds45
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / K W Lui)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
12

TEAM HAPPY

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 124lb · M F Poon · C W Chang · R29 · 23.0

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 1-6-3-2-4-11 · 1/14 · 6/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 4/14 · 11/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 23.0→23.0

Form87
Pace50
Draw96
J/T61
Weight73
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

SPEEDY TRIDENT

Rank #4

Draw 6 · 120lb · K Teetan · Y S Tsui · R25 · 13.0

7.5%

Win

22.3%

Place

Recent: 11-3-2-5-9-14 · 11/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 5/14 · 9/14 · 14/14

Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form66
Pace50
Draw81
J/T79
Weight100
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / Y S Tsui)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

PERIDOT

Rank #5

Draw 7 · 131lb · J Orman · D J Hall · R36 · 7.4

7.2%

Win

21.7%

Place

Recent: 4-6-11-5-3-10 · 4/14 · 6/14 · 11/14 · 5/14 · 3/14 · 10/14 · Gear H-/P-/TT

Odds move: 7.4→7.4

Form65
Pace50
Draw78
J/T58
Weight27
Odds42
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
14

SUPREME WINNER

Rank #6

Draw 2 · 120lb · A Badel · D J Whyte · R25 · 20.0

7.2%

Win

21.7%

Place

Recent: 9-7-3-10-5-1 · 9/14 · 7/14 · 3/14 · 10/14 · 5/14 · 1/14 · Gear CP/SR/TT

Odds move: 20.0→20.0

Form57
Pace50
Draw93
J/T81
Weight100
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / D J Whyte)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

RATTAN GALAXY

Rank #7

Draw 10 · 133lb · L Ferraris · K L Man · R38 · 12.0

7.2%

Win

21.6%

Place

Recent: 1-2-6-11-9-5 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 6/14 · 11/14 · 9/14 · 5/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form79
Pace50
Draw68
J/T67
Weight13
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
9

COLOURFUL WINNER

Rank #8

Draw 9 · 126lb · M L Yeung · W Y So · R31 · 12.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 4-9-9-2-4-10 · 4/14 · 9/14 · 9/14 · 2/14 · 4/14 · 10/14 · Gear XB/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form65
Pace50
Draw71
J/T68
Weight60
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

LIGHTNING ACE

Rank #9

Draw 8 · 134lb · M Chadwick · W K Mo · R39 · 12.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 8-7-4-7-6-10 · 8/14 · 7/14 · 4/14 · 7/14 · 6/14 · 10/14 · Gear H/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form60
Pace50
Draw74
J/T70
Weight7
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
5

MADE FOR LIFE

Rank #10

Draw 5 · 131lb · R Kingscote · M Newnham · R36 · 26.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 6-4-8-6-10-13 · 6/14 · 4/14 · 8/14 · 6/14 · 10/14 · 13/14 · Gear CP-/B2/TT

Odds move: 26.0→26.0

Form63
Pace50
Draw84
J/T71
Weight27
Odds20
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
11

MY FLYING ANGEL

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 124lb · C L Chau · F C Lor · R29 · 27.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 9-6-4-5-4-5 · 9/14 · 6/14 · 4/14 · 5/14 · 4/14 · 5/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 27.0→27.0

Form62
Pace50
Draw62
J/T74
Weight73
Odds19
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
1

TURBO JEFFERIES

Rank #12

Draw 3 · 135lb · H Bentley · D A Hayes · R40 · 21.0

6.6%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 8-8-5-10-9-7 · 8/14 · 8/14 · 5/14 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 7/14 · Gear CP

Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form52
Pace50
Draw90
J/T76
Weight0
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (H Bentley / D A Hayes)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

SEA DIAMOND

Rank #13

Draw 13 · 134lb · H Y Yuen · C S Shum · R39 · 23.0

6.3%

Win

19.1%

Place

Recent: 6-9-6-12-8-11 · 6/14 · 9/14 · 6/14 · 12/14 · 8/14 · 11/14 · Gear XB/TT

Odds move: 23.0→23.0

Form52
Pace50
Draw59
J/T67
Weight7
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

SMART CITY

Rank #14

Draw 14 · 125lb · B Avdulla · P F Yiu · R30 · 77.0

6.0%

Win

18.2%

Place

Recent: 10-10-7-14-10-6 · 10/14 · 10/14 · 7/14 · 14/14 · 10/14 · 6/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 77.0→77.0

Form36
Pace50
Draw56
J/T77
Weight67
Odds10
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / P F Yiu)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement