HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-04

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R5 SHA TSUI HANDICAP

14:30 · 1650m · Class 4 · AWT · Course AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 17

    CHILL KAKA

    Draw 2 · 4.7

    8.8%
  • 28

    FIREFOOT

    Draw 5 · 12.0

    8.5%
  • 36

    NIGHT PUROSANGUE

    Draw 3 · 5.6

    8.5%
  • 44

    VIVACIOUS WIN

    Draw 4 · 10.0

    8.2%
  • 512

    BULL ATTITUDE

    Draw 13 · 9.8

    8.1%
  • 610

    PERFECT TEAM

    Draw 12 · 23.0

    7.4%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

7

CHILL KAKA

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 129lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R54 · 4.7

8.8%

Win

26.0%

Place

Recent: 3-3-2-13-13-7 · 3/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 13/14 · 13/14 · 7/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 4.7→4.7

Form78
Pace50
Draw84
J/T73
Weight38
Odds55
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

FIREFOOT

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 123lb · K Teetan · W Y So · R48 · 12.0

8.5%

Win

25.3%

Place

Recent: 2-5-2-1-2-2 · 2/14 · 5/14 · 2/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form92
Pace50
Draw78
J/T81
Weight75
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / W Y So)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

NIGHT PUROSANGUE

Rank #3

Draw 3 · 130lb · A Badel · Y S Tsui · R55 · 5.6

8.5%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 1-9-1-9-6-3 · 1/14 · 9/14 · 1/14 · 9/14 · 6/14 · 3/14 · Gear P

Odds move: 5.6→5.6

Form75
Pace50
Draw82
J/T75
Weight31
Odds50
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

VIVACIOUS WIN

Rank #4

Draw 4 · 132lb · Z Purton · D Eustace · R57 · 10.0

8.2%

Win

24.5%

Place

Recent: 6-3-1-5-2-4 · 6/14 · 3/14 · 1/14 · 5/14 · 2/14 · 4/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form82
Pace50
Draw80
J/T84
Weight19
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / D Eustace)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
12

BULL ATTITUDE

Rank #5

Draw 13 · 119lb · L Hewitson · M Newnham · R44 · 9.8

8.1%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 2-11-4-2-4-4 · 2/14 · 11/14 · 4/14 · 2/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 9.8→9.8

Form75
Pace50
Draw61
J/T77
Weight100
Odds36
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / M Newnham)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

PERFECT TEAM

Rank #6

Draw 12 · 123lb · L Ferraris · C Fownes · R48 · 23.0

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 6-5-6-5-10-13 · 6/14 · 5/14 · 6/14 · 5/14 · 10/14 · 13/14 · Gear V-/PC1/TT

Odds move: 23.0→23.0

Form65
Pace50
Draw63
J/T78
Weight75
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Ferraris / C Fownes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

NEVER PETER OUT

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 121lb · A Atzeni · F C Lor · R46 · 11.0

7.3%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 10-13-5-5-5-6 · 10/14 · 13/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 6/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form44
Pace50
Draw70
J/T75
Weight88
Odds33
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

LEAPING STAR

Rank #8

Draw 1 · 123lb · H Bentley · D A Hayes · R48 · 26.0

7.3%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 11-1-6-9-12-11 · 11/14 · 1/14 · 6/14 · 9/14 · 12/14 · 11/14 · Gear CP

Odds move: 26.0→26.0

Form56
Pace50
Draw86
J/T76
Weight75
Odds20
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (H Bentley / D A Hayes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
1

GENERAL REDWOOD

Rank #9

Draw 6 · 135lb · B Avdulla · C S Shum · R60 · 22.0

7.3%

Win

22.0%

Place

Recent: 9-3-1-10-1-8 · 9/14 · 3/14 · 1/14 · 10/14 · 1/14 · 8/14 · Gear CP/TT

Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form70
Pace50
Draw76
J/T75
Weight0
Odds22
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
5

SUPREME AGILITY

Rank #10

Draw 8 · 131lb · J Orman · P C Ng · R56 · 12.0

7.3%

Win

22.0%

Place

Recent: 5-9-11-4-2-9 · 5/14 · 9/14 · 11/14 · 4/14 · 2/14 · 9/14 · Gear CP-/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form58
Pace50
Draw72
J/T68
Weight25
Odds32
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

ANOTHER WORLD

Rank #11

Draw 11 · 132lb · C Y Ho · C H Yip · R57 · 8.9

7.2%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 6-10-9-10-10-14 · 6/14 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 10/14 · 10/14 · 14/14 · Gear CP

Odds move: 8.9→8.9

Form47
Pace50
Draw65
J/T77
Weight19
Odds38
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C H Yip)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
2

HAPPY UNIVERSE

Rank #12

Draw 7 · 135lb · K C Leung · K H Ting · R60 · 9.2

7.2%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 13-2-10-1-6-2 · 13/14 · 2/14 · 10/14 · 1/14 · 6/14 · 2/14 · Gear P

Odds move: 9.2→9.2

Form56
Pace50
Draw74
J/T58
Weight0
Odds37
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
13

JOLTIN

Rank #13

Draw 10 · 119lb · M F Poon · D A Hayes · R44 · 24.0

6.9%

Win

20.8%

Place

Recent: 7-10-11-12-14-12 · 7/14 · 10/14 · 11/14 · 12/14 · 14/14 · 12/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form38
Pace50
Draw68
J/T72
Weight100
Odds21
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model