Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R6 THE YAN CHAI TROPHY (HANDICAP)

15:00 · 1400m · Class 4 · Turf · Course B

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	2	GRAND PATCH	5	9.3%	2.6
2	6	MR COOL	2	8.3%	6.5
3	3	POSITIVE SMILE	7	7.7%	5.7
4	8	HERO RISING	4	7.7%	12.0
5	9	SHOTGUN	8	7.3%	10.0
6	11	TOP TO SKY	14	6.9%	22.0

12
GRAND PATCH
Draw 5 · 2.6
9.3%
26
MR COOL
Draw 2 · 6.5
8.3%
33
POSITIVE SMILE
Draw 7 · 5.7
7.7%
48
HERO RISING
Draw 4 · 12.0
7.7%
59
SHOTGUN
Draw 8 · 10.0
7.3%
611
TOP TO SKY
Draw 14 · 22.0
6.9%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

GRAND PATCH

Rank #1

Draw 5 · 130lb · C Y Ho · K L Man · R55 · 2.6

9.3%

Win

27.3%

Place

Recent: 4-1-3-10-7 · 4/14 · 1/14 · 3/14 · 10/14 · 7/14 · Gear CP

Odds move: 2.6→2.6

Form80

Pace50

Draw84

J/T74

Weight25

Odds79

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

MR COOL

Rank #2

Draw 2 · 126lb · K Teetan · F C Lor · R51 · 6.5

8.3%

Win

24.7%

Place

Recent: 8-4-3-3-3-4 · 8/14 · 4/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · 4/14 · Gear CP/TT

Odds move: 6.5→6.5

Form74

Pace50

Draw93

J/T84

Weight45

Odds46

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / F C Lor)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

POSITIVE SMILE

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 130lb · Z Purton · D A Hayes · R55 · 5.7

7.7%

Win

23.1%

Place

Recent: 9-7-11-3-7-6 · 9/14 · 7/14 · 11/14 · 3/14 · 7/14 · 6/14 · Gear B-/TT

Odds move: 5.7→5.7

Form51

Pace50

Draw78

J/T90

Weight25

Odds49

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / D A Hayes)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

HERO RISING

Rank #4

Draw 4 · 124lb · L Hewitson · B Crawford · R49 · 12.0

7.7%

Win

22.9%

Place

Recent: 4-7-5 · 4/14 · 7/14 · 5/14

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form70

Pace50

Draw87

J/T76

Weight55

Odds32

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Hewitson / B Crawford)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SHOTGUN

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 124lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R49 · 10.0

7.3%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 7-13-3-4-1-2 · 7/14 · 13/14 · 3/14 · 4/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · Gear B/XB

Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form58

Pace50

Draw74

J/T64

Weight55

Odds35

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

TOP TO SKY

Rank #6

Draw 14 · 120lb · H Y Yuen · C H Yip · R45 · 22.0

6.9%

Win

20.8%

Place

Recent: 12-1-1-7-10-8 · 12/14 · 1/14 · 1/14 · 7/14 · 10/14 · 8/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form64

Pace50

Draw56

J/T65

Weight75

Odds22

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

VIEW ALL THINGS

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 115lb · M Chadwick · W K Mo · R40 · 21.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 7-7-12-10-9-1 · 7/14 · 7/14 · 12/14 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 1/14 · Gear XB/TT

Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form46

Pace50

Draw71

J/T70

Weight100

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

GOLDENTRONICMIGHTY

Rank #8

Draw 6 · 119lb · M L Yeung · J Richards · R44 · 38.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 13-5-7-7-7-9 · 13/14 · 5/14 · 7/14 · 7/14 · 7/14 · 9/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 38.0→38.0

Form47

Pace50

Draw81

J/T68

Weight80

Odds16

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

PEGASUS ELITE

Rank #9

Draw 11 · 127lb · L Ferraris · M Newnham · R52 · 17.0

6.7%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: — · Gear B1/TT1

Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw65

J/T71

Weight40

Odds26

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SUPERB KID

Rank #10

Draw 1 · 122lb · P N Wong · Y S Tsui · R47 · 29.0

6.7%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 13-7-7-7-10-7 · 13/14 · 7/14 · 7/14 · 7/14 · 10/14 · 7/14 · Gear CP

Odds move: 29.0→29.0

Form41

Pace50

Draw96

J/T59

Weight65

Odds19

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

APOLAR FIGHTER

Rank #11

Draw 10 · 117lb · A Badel · D Eustace · R42 · 65.0

6.6%

Win

20.0%

Place

Recent: 7-8-9-14-1-2 · 7/14 · 8/14 · 9/14 · 14/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · Gear B/TT-

Odds move: 65.0→65.0

Form49

Pace50

Draw68

J/T76

Weight90

Odds11

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (A Badel / D Eustace)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

LESLIE

Rank #12

Draw 12 · 125lb · R Kingscote · C W Chang · R50 · 24.0

6.6%

Win

20.0%

Place

Recent: 8-11-1-11-7-4 · 8/14 · 11/14 · 1/14 · 11/14 · 7/14 · 4/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form52

Pace50

Draw62

J/T63

Weight50

Odds21

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

COPARTNER FLEET

Rank #13

Draw 13 · 129lb · C L Chau · K W Lui · R54 · 41.0

6.4%

Win

19.4%

Place

Recent: 10-5-10-5-12-8 · 10/14 · 5/14 · 10/14 · 5/14 · 12/14 · 8/14 · Gear V/XB

Odds move: 41.0→41.0

Form49

Pace50

Draw59

J/T75

Weight30

Odds15

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

SUGAR GOODSON

Rank #14

Draw 3 · 135lb · K C Leung · C S Shum · R60 · 25.0

6.3%

Win

19.0%

Place

Recent: 13-10-8 · 13/14 · 10/14 · 8/14 · Gear B1/TT

Odds move: 25.0→25.0

Form27

Pace50

Draw90

J/T70

Weight0

Odds20

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement