Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R7 SHAM TSENG HANDICAP

15:35 · 1400m · Class 4 · Turf · Course B

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	14	QUICK CONTRIBUTION	3	8.7%	5.6
2	3	LADY'S LOVE	1	8.2%	4.3
3	8	GOLDEN WIN	6	8.0%	5.3
4	13	FORZA LEADER	12	7.6%	16.0
5	9	MIGHTY FIGHTER	5	7.5%	10.0
6	11	HAPPY PROMISE	7	7.5%	9.5

114
QUICK CONTRIBUTION
Draw 3 · 5.6
8.7%
23
LADY'S LOVE
Draw 1 · 4.3
8.2%
38
GOLDEN WIN
Draw 6 · 5.3
8.0%
413
FORZA LEADER
Draw 12 · 16.0
7.6%
59
MIGHTY FIGHTER
Draw 5 · 10.0
7.5%
611
HAPPY PROMISE
Draw 7 · 9.5
7.5%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

QUICK CONTRIBUTION

Rank #1

Draw 3 · 119lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R42 · 5.6

8.7%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 3-2-2-7-4-8 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · 7/14 · 4/14 · 8/14

Odds move: 5.6→5.6

Form90

Pace50

Draw90

J/T64

Weight100

Odds50

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

LADY'S LOVE

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 129lb · Z Purton · C W Chang · R52 · 4.3

8.2%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 3-9-10-6-13-10 · 3/14 · 9/14 · 10/14 · 6/14 · 13/14 · 10/14

Odds move: 4.3→4.3

Form59

Pace50

Draw96

J/T79

Weight38

Odds58

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / C W Chang)
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

GOLDEN WIN

Rank #3

Draw 6 · 123lb · K C Leung · K L Man · R46 · 5.3

8.0%

Win

23.8%

Place

Recent: 5-2-9-9-8-14 · 5/14 · 2/14 · 9/14 · 9/14 · 8/14 · 14/14 · Gear V

Odds move: 5.3→5.3

Form68

Pace50

Draw81

J/T65

Weight75

Odds51

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

FORZA LEADER

Rank #4

Draw 12 · 120lb · A Badel · Y S Tsui · R43 · 16.0

7.6%

Win

22.7%

Place

Recent: 4-3-2-6-4-4 · 4/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 6/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form84

Pace50

Draw62

J/T75

Weight94

Odds27

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

MIGHTY FIGHTER

Rank #5

Draw 5 · 123lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R46 · 10.0

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 6-8-3-5-11 · 6/14 · 8/14 · 3/14 · 5/14 · 11/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form65

Pace50

Draw84

J/T73

Weight75

Odds35

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

HAPPY PROMISE

Rank #6

Draw 7 · 121lb · A Atzeni · D A Hayes · R44 · 9.5

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 5-11-4-4 · 5/14 · 11/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 9.5→9.5

Form61

Pace50

Draw78

J/T77

Weight88

Odds36

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Atzeni / D A Hayes)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

POLAR PATCH

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 121lb · C L Chau · M Newnham · R44 · 12.0

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 9-4-3-3-11-12 · 9/14 · 4/14 · 3/14 · 3/14 · 11/14 · 12/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form68

Pace50

Draw71

J/T72

Weight88

Odds32

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

GENIUS BABY

Rank #8

Draw 8 · 125lb · L Hewitson · B Crawford · R48 · 23.0

7.2%

Win

21.5%

Place

Recent: 9-3-4-4-4-6 · 9/14 · 3/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · 4/14 · 6/14 · Gear V/XB/TT

Odds move: 23.0→23.0

Form70

Pace50

Draw74

J/T76

Weight63

Odds21

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Hewitson / B Crawford)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

CALIFORNIA WAVES

Rank #9

Draw 10 · 130lb · B Avdulla · W K Mo · R53 · 11.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 5-8-5-5-7-3 · 5/14 · 8/14 · 5/14 · 5/14 · 7/14 · 3/14 · Gear V/XB/TT

Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form65

Pace50

Draw68

J/T69

Weight31

Odds33

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

NEXT FORTUNE

Rank #10

Draw 14 · 123lb · C Y Ho · K W Lui · R46 · 31.0

6.8%

Win

20.6%

Place

Recent: 8-5-2-10-9-8 · 8/14 · 5/14 · 2/14 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 8/14 · Gear XB-/TT2

Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form63

Pace50

Draw56

J/T81

Weight75

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (C Y Ho / K W Lui)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

JOLLY BONUS

Rank #11

Draw 2 · 126lb · K Teetan · F C Lor · R49 · 36.0

6.3%

Win

19.2%

Place

Recent: 12-11 · 12/14 · 11/14 · Gear H/TT

Odds move: 36.0→36.0

Form24

Pace50

Draw93

J/T84

Weight56

Odds16

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / F C Lor)

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

KINGMAN REEF

Rank #12

Draw 4 · 127lb · M Chadwick · J Size · R50 · 24.0

6.2%

Win

18.8%

Place

Recent: 13-13 · 13/14 · 13/14

Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form14

Pace50

Draw87

J/T83

Weight50

Odds21

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (M Chadwick / J Size)

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form

STEADFAST FORT

Rank #13

Draw 13 · 128lb · J Orman · W Y So · R51 · 40.0

5.9%

Win

17.9%

Place

Recent: 11 · 11/14

Odds move: 40.0→40.0

Form29

Pace50

Draw59

J/T60

Weight44

Odds15

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

WELL ENOUGH

Rank #14

Draw 11 · 135lb · M L Yeung · J Richards · R58 · 52.0

5.6%

Win

17.1%

Place

Recent: 13-13-10 · 13/14 · 13/14 · 10/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 52.0→52.0

Form18

Pace50

Draw65

J/T68

Weight0

Odds13

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement