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HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-04

Sunday, 4 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R8 THE CHINESE RECREATION CLUB CHALLENGE CUP (HANDICAP)

16:05 · 1800m · Class 3 · Turf · Course B

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 15

    FLOW WATER FLOW

    Draw 7 · 2.3

    11.9%
  • 29

    HYMNBOOK

    Draw 11 · 6.6

    9.8%
  • 38

    BIG RETURN

    Draw 1 · 13.0

    9.4%
  • 43

    CALL ME MAGNIFIQUE

    Draw 2 · 7.6

    9.0%
  • 510

    FOREVER FOLKS

    Draw 3 · 14.0

    9.0%
  • 66

    MIGHTY STRENGTH

    Draw 9 · 9.5

    9.0%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

5

FLOW WATER FLOW

Rank #1

Draw 7 · 126lb · Z Purton · J Size · R70 · 2.3

11.9%

Win

34.4%

Place

Recent: 4-5-1-1-2-2 · 4/14 · 5/14 · 1/14 · 1/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 2.3→2.3

Form85
Pace50
Draw71
J/T94
Weight47
Odds85
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / J Size)
  • +Market respects this runner

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

HYMNBOOK

Rank #2

Draw 11 · 119lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R63 · 6.6

9.8%

Win

29.2%

Place

Recent: 3-8-3-6-5-12 · 3/14 · 8/14 · 3/14 · 6/14 · 5/14 · 12/14

Odds move: 6.6→6.6

Form76
Pace50
Draw61
J/T86
Weight84
Odds45
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

BIG RETURN

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 120lb · A Badel · J Richards · R64 · 13.0

9.4%

Win

28.2%

Place

Recent: 5-7-3-2-1-1 · 5/14 · 7/14 · 3/14 · 2/14 · 1/14 · 1/14 · Gear H/TT

Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form77
Pace50
Draw86
J/T76
Weight79
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

CALL ME MAGNIFIQUE

Rank #4

Draw 2 · 128lb · M F Poon · C S Shum · R72 · 7.6

9.0%

Win

27.1%

Place

Recent: 1-12-13 · 1/14 · 12/14 · 13/14 · Gear TT

Odds move: 7.6→7.6

Form60
Pace50
Draw84
J/T68
Weight37
Odds41
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

FOREVER FOLKS

Rank #5

Draw 3 · 118lb · K C Leung · C S Shum · R62 · 14.0

9.0%

Win

27.1%

Place

Recent: 1-8-11-7-1-4 · 1/14 · 8/14 · 11/14 · 7/14 · 1/14 · 4/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form67
Pace50
Draw81
J/T70
Weight89
Odds29
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
6

MIGHTY STRENGTH

Rank #6

Draw 9 · 126lb · H T Mo · P F Yiu · R70 · 9.5

9.0%

Win

27.1%

Place

Recent: 7-1-5-11-4-6 · 7/14 · 1/14 · 5/14 · 11/14 · 4/14 · 6/14 · Gear B

Odds move: 9.5→9.5

Form69
Pace50
Draw66
J/T73
Weight47
Odds36
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

GLITTERING LEGEND

Rank #7

Draw 8 · 128lb · C L Chau · D Eustace · R72 · 13.0

8.7%

Win

26.3%

Place

Recent: 3-11-3-9-2-9 · 3/14 · 11/14 · 3/14 · 9/14 · 2/14 · 9/14 · Gear B/XB2

Odds move: 13.0→13.0

Form69
Pace50
Draw69
J/T70
Weight37
Odds30
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

POCKETING

Rank #8

Draw 10 · 130lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R74 · 14.0

8.4%

Win

25.4%

Place

Recent: 8-4-7-10-9-7 · 8/14 · 4/14 · 7/14 · 10/14 · 9/14 · 7/14 · Gear CP-

Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form57
Pace50
Draw64
J/T79
Weight26
Odds29
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
7

KING EQUINE

Rank #9

Draw 6 · 122lb · R Kingscote · C S Shum · R66 · 34.0

8.4%

Win

25.3%

Place

Recent: 7-3-11 · 7/14 · 3/14 · 11/14 · Gear B/TT

Odds move: 34.0→34.0

Form64
Pace50
Draw74
J/T71
Weight68
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
1

SMART AVENUE

Rank #10

Draw 5 · 135lb · H Bentley · C H Yip · R79 · 19.0

8.3%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 9-5-1-11-2-2 · 9/14 · 5/14 · 1/14 · 11/14 · 2/14 · 2/14 · Gear V/TT

Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form64
Pace50
Draw76
J/T70
Weight0
Odds24
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
11

DREAMING TOGETHER

Rank #11

Draw 4 · 116lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R60 · 34.0

8.1%

Win

24.7%

Place

Recent: 10-11-6-7-13-10 · 10/14 · 11/14 · 6/14 · 7/14 · 13/14 · 10/14 · Gear B-/CP2

Odds move: 34.0→34.0

Form41
Pace50
Draw79
J/T82
Weight100
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement