HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-11

Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R1 HUNG SHUI KIU HANDICAP

12:30 · 1200m · Class 5 · AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 13

    SO MY FOLKS

    Draw 2 · 6.4

    9.4%
  • 27

    WAVE GARDEN

    Draw 7 · 4.7

    8.9%
  • 31

    FLYING SNIPER

    Draw 5 · 10.0

    8.8%
  • 411

    GIMME FIVE

    Draw 10 · 6.9

    8.7%
  • 510

    HAPPY ACTION

    Draw 3 · 13.0

    8.6%
  • 69

    CONRAD THE GREAT

    Draw 6 · 11.0

    8.5%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

3

SO MY FOLKS

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 130lb · C L Chau · C S Shum · R37 · 6.4

9.4%

Win

27.7%

Place

Recent: 6-2-13-6-4-6 · 6/14(8 8 6) · 2/14(4 3 2) · 13/14(7 7 13) · 6/14(2 3 2 6) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 6/14(13 14 6) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 8 6 · Odds move: 7.1→6.4

Form64
Pace49
Draw100
J/T73
Weight23
Odds46
Move55

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
7

WAVE GARDEN

Rank #2

Draw 7 · 128lb · R Kingscote · C W Chang · R35 · 4.7

8.9%

Win

26.6%

Place

Recent: 1-14-13-9-11-9 · 1/14(9 11 1) · 14/14(8 7 9 14) · 13/14(7 4 6 13) · 9/14(5 5 4 9) · 11/14(2 2 2 11) · 9/14(4 6 6 9) · 14d since last · Gear XB

Running: 9 11 1 · Odds move: 5.8→4.7

Form46
Pace49
Draw76
J/T63
Weight38
Odds55
Move60

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

FLYING SNIPER

Rank #3

Draw 5 · 133lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R40 · 10.0

8.8%

Win

26.4%

Place

Recent: 8-5-4-8-6-7 · 8/14(4 4 4 8) · 5/14(12 11 12 5) · 4/14(8 8 4) · 8/14(11 10 8) · 6/14(10 8 6) · 7/14(12 11 7) · 91d since last · Gear CP

Running: 4 4 4 8 · Odds move: 14.0→10.0

Form62
Pace64
Draw86
J/T64
Weight0
Odds35
Move66

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
11

GIMME FIVE

Rank #4

Draw 10 · 120lb · H Y Yuen · Y S Tsui · R27 · 6.9

8.7%

Win

26.1%

Place

Recent: 2-10-12-7-13-12 · 2/14(1 1 2) · 10/14(11 9 10) · 12/14(6 9 12) · 7/14(2 2 7) · 13/14(5 9 13) · 12/14(2 6 12) · 14d since last · Gear B

Running: 1 1 2 · Odds move: 7.7→6.9

Form55
Pace40
Draw61
J/T64
Weight100
Odds44
Move56

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Led / pressed and may not finish off
10

HAPPY ACTION

Rank #5

Draw 3 · 121lb · A Atzeni · M Newnham · R28 · 13.0

8.6%

Win

25.7%

Place

Recent: 7-10-9-9-8-3 · 7/14(7 7 7) · 10/14(9 10 10) · 9/14(9 8 9) · 9/14(6 6 6 9) · 8/14(12 12 8) · 3/14(7 7 3) · 14d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 7 7 7 · Odds move: 14.0→13.0

Form46
Pace51
Draw96
J/T73
Weight92
Odds30
Move54

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

CONRAD THE GREAT

Rank #6

Draw 6 · 125lb · L Hewitson · D J Whyte · R32 · 11.0

8.5%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 12-6-7-9-6-9 · 12/14(10 11 12) · 6/14(2 4 3 6) · 7/14(10 11 11 7) · 9/14(12 12 12 9) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 9/14(7 8 9) · 32d since last · Gear SR/TT

Running: 10 11 12 · Odds move: 14.0→11.0

Form46
Pace46
Draw81
J/T80
Weight62
Odds33
Move62

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / D J Whyte)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

JOLLY COMPANION

Rank #7

Draw 11 · 129lb · Z Purton · K L Man · R36 · 5.9

8.4%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 9-6-9-6-5-6 · 9/14(9 11 9) · 6/14(6 8 6) · 9/14(6 6 9) · 6/14(7 7 6) · 5/14(5 6 5) · 6/14(9 8 6) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 9 11 9 · Odds move: 4.5→5.9

Form53
Pace50
Draw56
J/T82
Weight31
Odds48
Move33

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / K L Man)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
5

DAILY TROPHY

Rank #8

Draw 9 · 128lb · L Ferraris · C Fownes · R35 · 11.0

8.3%

Win

24.9%

Place

Recent: 3-11-4-14-12-7 · 3/14(6 3 3) · 11/14(3 3 2 11) · 4/14(12 10 4) · 14/14(14 14 13 14) · 12/14(2 3 4 12) · 7/14(9 9 7 7) · 14d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 6 3 3 · Odds move: 10.0→11.0

Form56
Pace52
Draw66
J/T78
Weight38
Odds33
Move44

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (L Ferraris / C Fownes)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

MARVEL AND GOLD

Rank #9

Draw 8 · 131lb · J Orman · C H Yip · R38 · 15.0

7.9%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: 6-6-7-6-8-6 · 6/14(9 7 6) · 6/14(10 10 6) · 7/14(6 6 7) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 8/14(11 10 8) · 6/14(4 4 6) · 32d since last · Gear E/TT

Running: 9 7 6 · Odds move: 12.0→15.0

Form62
Pace66
Draw71
J/T60
Weight15
Odds28
Move36

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
8

SHINYU KOKOROE

Rank #10

Draw 4 · 127lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R34 · 26.0

7.8%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 11-8-7-5-11-13 · 11/14(11 11 11) · 8/14(9 10 8) · 7/14(6 4 7) · 5/14(10 10 5) · 11/14(5 6 11) · 13/14(2 3 4 13) · 158d since last · Gear CP

Running: 11 11 11 · Odds move: 21.0→26.0

Form46
Pace56
Draw91
J/T82
Weight46
Odds20
Move37

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
12

THOUSAND CUPS

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 120lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R27 · 16.0

7.3%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 6-7-12-11-2-8 · 6/14(3 5 6) · 7/14(2 3 7) · 12/14(1 1 12) · 11/14(2 2 11) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 8/14(1 1 8) · 32d since last · Gear TT

Running: 3 5 6 · Odds move: 10.0→16.0

Form51
Pace19
Draw51
J/T71
Weight100
Odds27
Move17

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Drifting in the market
6

MAGIC SUPER

Rank #12

Draw 1 · 128lb · A Badel · J Richards · R35 · 42.0

7.3%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 14-11-11-14-14-10 · 14/14(13 14 14) · 11/14(12 11 11) · 11/14(11 11 11) · 14/14(7 7 8 14) · 14/14(10 10 14) · 10/14(13 11 10) · 140d since last · Gear TT1

Running: 13 14 14 · Odds move: 45.0→42.0

Form17
Pace47
Draw100
J/T76
Weight38
Odds15
Move54

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break