Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R2 KAM TIN HANDICAP

13:00 · 1000m · Class 5 · Turf · Course C

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	2	AUTUMN VIBES	10	8.7%	4.2
2	4	SPICY SPANGLE	7	8.3%	6.7
3	1	SUNNY Q	9	8.2%	7.5
4	13	VON BAER	2	7.5%	20.0
5	7	BEAUTY GEMINI	4	7.2%	10.0
6	14	ISLAND BREEZES	11	7.1%	23.0

12
AUTUMN VIBES
Draw 10 · 4.2
8.7%
24
SPICY SPANGLE
Draw 7 · 6.7
8.3%
31
SUNNY Q
Draw 9 · 7.5
8.2%
413
VON BAER
Draw 2 · 20.0
7.5%
57
BEAUTY GEMINI
Draw 4 · 10.0
7.2%
614
ISLAND BREEZES
Draw 11 · 23.0
7.1%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

AUTUMN VIBES

Rank #1

Draw 10 · 134lb · Z Purton · B Crawford · R39 · 4.2

8.7%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 3-13-2-8-3-10 · 3/14(6 5 3) · 13/14(9 9 13) · 2/14(7 7 2) · 8/14(9 7 8) · 3/14(11 11 3) · 10/14(11 11 10) · 32d since last

Running: 6 5 3 · Odds move: 5.6→4.2

Form67

Pace66

Draw68

J/T86

Weight6

Odds59

Move64

Strengths

+Solid connections (Z Purton / B Crawford)
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

SPICY SPANGLE

Rank #2

Draw 7 · 133lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R38 · 6.7

8.3%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 1-6-2-6-3-7 · 1/14(1 1 1) · 6/14(11 9 6) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 6/14(1 1 6) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 7/14(3 4 7) · 25d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 1 1 1 · Odds move: 7.7→6.7

Form85

Pace53

Draw80

J/T64

Weight12

Odds45

Move57

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Comes off a win

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

SUNNY Q

Rank #3

Draw 9 · 135lb · C L Chau · W Y So · R40 · 7.5

8.2%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 3-6-2-7-3-9 · 3/14(7 7 3) · 6/14(12 14 6) · 2/14(14 12 2) · 7/14(8 9 7) · 3/14(5 4 3) · 9/14(14 14 9) · 10d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 7 7 3 · Odds move: 7.3→7.5

Form81

Pace82

Draw72

J/T71

Weight0

Odds42

Move48

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

VON BAER

Rank #4

Draw 2 · 122lb · M F Poon · J Richards · R27 · 20.0

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 11-2-7-10-6-5 · 11/14(10 12 11) · 2/14(12 10 2) · 7/14(8 7 7) · 10/14(4 5 10) · 6/14(9 8 6) · 5/14(9 8 5) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 10 12 11 · Odds move: 22.0→20.0

Form56

Pace62

Draw100

J/T67

Weight76

Odds23

Move55

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

BEAUTY GEMINI

Rank #5

Draw 4 · 132lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R37 · 10.0

7.2%

Win

21.6%

Place

Recent: 4-9-13-12-10-12 · 4/14(8 7 4) · 9/14(3 4 9) · 13/14(1 1 1 13) · 12/14(1 1 1 12) · 10/14(9 10 10) · 12/14(5 9 12) · 25d since last · Gear H1/TT

Running: 8 7 4 · Odds move: 12.0→10.0

Form46

Pace30

Draw93

J/T71

Weight18

Odds35

Move59

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost

ISLAND BREEZES

Rank #6

Draw 11 · 118lb · A Atzeni · P F Yiu · R23 · 23.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 10-10-7-10-9-12 · 10/14(14 14 10) · 10/14(10 12 10) · 7/14(11 12 7) · 10/14(12 12 10) · 9/14(12 12 9) · 12/14(11 11 12) · 106d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 14 14 10 · Odds move: 31.0→23.0

Form40

Pace66

Draw63

J/T76

Weight100

Odds21

Move64

Strengths

+Solid connections (A Atzeni / P F Yiu)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

SOLAR RIVER

Rank #7

Draw 13 · 125lb · R Kingscote · K H Ting · R30 · 9.5

7.0%

Win

21.1%

Place

Recent: 2-11-3-12-5-10 · 2/14(7 5 2) · 11/14(4 6 11) · 3/14(5 5 3) · 12/14(10 11 12) · 5/14(1 1 5) · 10/14(11 10 10) · 25d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 7 5 2 · Odds move: 6.5→9.5

Form67

Pace52

Draw55

J/T59

Weight59

Odds36

Move25

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Drifting in the market

DIRIYA

Rank #8

Draw 12 · 127lb · B Avdulla · C H Yip · R32 · 8.4

7.0%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 5-9-14-10-6-5 · 5/14(10 8 5) · 9/14(4 4 9) · 14/14(5 4 4 14) · 10/14(1 1 1 10) · 6/14(8 8 6) · 5/14(4 5 6 5) · 25d since last · Gear SR

Running: 10 8 5 · Odds move: 7.6→8.4

Form46

Pace39

Draw59

J/T72

Weight47

Odds39

Move44

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

QUICK MONEY

Rank #9

Draw 6 · 122lb · H Y Yuen · C H Yip · R27 · 10.0

6.9%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 11-6-14-9-11-13 · 11/14(5 6 11) · 6/14(4 3 6) · 14/14(4 4 4 14) · 9/14(6 9 9) · 11/14(9 10 11) · 13/14(5 4 8 13) · 10d since last · Gear TT2

Running: 5 6 11 · Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form36

Pace28

Draw85

J/T65

Weight76

Odds35

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals

VERBIER

Rank #10

Draw 5 · 133lb · L Ferraris · C Fownes · R38 · 15.0

6.9%

Win

20.8%

Place

Recent: 10-11-3-1-3-7 · 10/14(1 1 1 10) · 11/14(1 1 11) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 3/14(3 2 3) · 7/14(1 1 1 7) · 28d since last

Running: 1 1 1 10 · Odds move: 13.0→15.0

Form57

Pace20

Draw89

J/T78

Weight12

Odds28

Move42

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Ferraris / C Fownes)

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Distance change from last start

DASH

Rank #11

Draw 3 · 123lb · P N Wong · D J Whyte · R28 · 20.0

6.8%

Win

20.6%

Place

Recent: 10-6-10-11-3-7 · 10/14(1 1 10) · 6/14(4 4 6) · 10/14(12 12 10) · 11/14(7 9 9 11) · 3/14(9 8 3) · 7/14(4 4 7) · 32d since last · Gear B

Running: 1 1 10 · Odds move: 17.0→20.0

Form46

Pace35

Draw97

J/T66

Weight71

Odds23

Move40

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals

CONCORDE STAR

Rank #12

Draw 8 · 126lb · J Orman · Y S Tsui · R31 · 33.0

6.2%

Win

18.8%

Place

Recent: 10-8-8-7-7-2 · 10/14(14 14 14 10) · 8/14(8 8 8) · 8/14(3 2 8) · 7/14(12 11 7) · 7/14(9 10 7) · 2/14(7 8 2) · 158d since last · Gear P-/TT

Running: 14 14 14 10 · Odds move: 20.0→33.0

Form47

Pace55

Draw76

J/T59

Weight53

Odds17

Move14

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Drifting in the market
–Distance change from last start
–Freshness query after a break

MAJESTIC LIFE

Rank #13

Draw 14 · 133lb · C Y Ho · C H Yip · R38 · 40.0

6.0%

Win

18.4%

Place

Recent: 13-9-7-10-11-9 · 13/14(9 9 13) · 9/14(3 3 3 9) · 7/14(14 13 7) · 10/14(13 11 10) · 11/14(11 8 11) · 9/14(11 11 9) · 91d since last · Gear SR1/TT

Running: 9 9 13 · Odds move: 37.0→40.0

Form34

Pace45

Draw51

J/T77

Weight12

Odds15

Move46

Strengths

+Solid connections (C Y Ho / C H Yip)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

TOPSPIN KING

Rank #14

Draw 1 · 133lb · M L Yeung · K W Lui · R38 · 59.0

6.0%

Win

18.1%

Place

Recent: 11-12-9-10-11-11 · 11/14(12 12 11) · 12/14(5 7 12) · 9/14(3 3 9) · 10/14(12 12 10) · 11/14(1 1 11) · 11/14(12 12 11) · 25d since last · Gear XB/H1

Running: 12 12 11 · Odds move: 41.0→59.0

Form30

Pace35

Draw100

J/T72

Weight12

Odds12

Move26

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Drifting in the market