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HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-11

Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R11 YUEN LONG HANDICAP

17:45 · 1200m · Class 2 · Turf · Course C

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 16

    TURQUOISE VELOCITY

    Draw 4 · 4.1

    10.1%
  • 211

    JUMBO TREASURE

    Draw 1 · 3.9

    9.4%
  • 39

    BLAZING WIND

    Draw 3 · 14.0

    9.3%
  • 42

    RISING FORCE

    Draw 5 · 7.5

    9.1%
  • 53

    KA YING ATTACK

    Draw 10 · 7.1

    9.1%
  • 61

    STORM RIDER

    Draw 6 · 9.2

    8.4%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

6

TURQUOISE VELOCITY

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 125lb · K Teetan · K W Lui · R86 · 4.1

10.1%

Win

29.7%

Place

Recent: 2-3-6-2-5-1 · 2/14(2 2 2) · 3/14(2 2 3) · 6/14(3 4 6) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 5/14(2 2 5) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 14d since last

Running: 2 2 2 · Odds move: 4.2→4.1

Form88
Pace47
Draw91
J/T84
Weight64
Odds60
Move51

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / K W Lui)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

JUMBO TREASURE

Rank #2

Draw 1 · 122lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R83 · 3.9

9.4%

Win

27.9%

Place

Recent: 1-1-8-3-4-12 · 1/14(5 4 1) · 1/14(4 3 1) · 8/14(1 1 8) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 12/14(1 1 12) · 35d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 5 4 1 · Odds move: 2.3→3.9

Form87
Pace57
Draw100
J/T64
Weight86
Odds62
Move12

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
9

BLAZING WIND

Rank #3

Draw 3 · 122lb · R Kingscote · C S Shum · R83 · 14.0

9.3%

Win

27.5%

Place

Recent: 4-1-4-3-7-1 · 4/14(4 3 4) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 4/14(6 5 4) · 3/14(7 7 3) · 7/14(3 1 7) · 1/14(4 4 1) · 120d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 4 3 4 · Odds move: 22.0→14.0

Form85
Pace59
Draw96
J/T71
Weight86
Odds29
Move70

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
2

RISING FORCE

Rank #4

Draw 5 · 132lb · Z Purton · P F Yiu · R93 · 7.5

9.1%

Win

27.2%

Place

Recent: 7-1-5-2-2-1 · 7/14(4 4 7) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 5/14(2 3 5) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 14d since last

Running: 4 4 7 · Odds move: 10.0→7.5

Form80
Pace47
Draw86
J/T88
Weight14
Odds42
Move64

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / P F Yiu)
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

KA YING ATTACK

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 129lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R90 · 7.1

9.1%

Win

27.0%

Place

Recent: 1-1-7-3-2-5 · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(3 2 1) · 7/14(1 2 2 7) · 3/14(3 3 3) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 5/14(4 3 4 5) · 102d since last · Gear V

Running: 1 1 1 1 · Odds move: 11.0→7.1

Form90
Pace48
Draw61
J/T64
Weight36
Odds43
Move69

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
1

STORM RIDER

Rank #6

Draw 6 · 134lb · H Y Yuen · D A Hayes · R95 · 9.2

8.4%

Win

25.1%

Place

Recent: 5-6-7-10-7-13 · 5/14(6 6 5) · 6/14(3 4 4 6) · 7/14(6 5 7) · 10/14(11 10 10) · 7/14(4 4 4 7) · 13/14(3 2 3 13) · 14d since last · Gear B

Running: 6 6 5 · Odds move: 17.0→9.2

Form61
Pace50
Draw81
J/T71
Weight0
Odds37
Move75

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
4

YOUNG CHAMPION

Rank #7

Draw 8 · 128lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R89 · 14.0

8.2%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 8-5-3-6-12-3 · 8/14(11 10 8) · 5/14(8 8 5) · 3/14(6 5 3) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 12/14(6 4 12) · 3/14(9 7 3) · 14d since last · Gear B

Running: 11 10 8 · Odds move: 15.0→14.0

Form64
Pace68
Draw71
J/T81
Weight43
Odds29
Move54

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

SON PAK FU

Rank #8

Draw 12 · 124lb · P N Wong · A S Cruz · R85 · 16.0

8.1%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 8-1-2-9-5-6 · 8/14(11 11 8) · 1/14(10 9 1) · 2/14(7 8 2) · 9/14(6 10 9) · 5/14(8 6 5) · 6/14(10 10 9 6) · 88d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 11 11 8 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form74
Pace75
Draw51
J/T67
Weight71
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
10

BRAVE STAR

Rank #9

Draw 7 · 122lb · H Bentley · K W Lui · R83 · 37.0

7.4%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 9-11-8-2-3-3 · 9/14(10 10 9) · 11/14(11 11 11) · 8/14(8 7 8) · 2/14(6 5 2) · 3/14(5 6 3) · 3/14(8 8 3) · 88d since last · Gear XB

Running: 10 10 9 · Odds move: 34.0→37.0

Form51
Pace59
Draw76
J/T75
Weight86
Odds16
Move45

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
12

PAKISTAN LEGACY

Rank #10

Draw 9 · 120lb · M Chadwick · W Y So · R81 · 29.0

7.3%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 12-2-11-11-2-1 · 12/14(7 9 12) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 11/14(4 6 11) · 11/14(4 8 11) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 14d since last · Gear V/TT

Running: 7 9 12 · Odds move: 28.0→29.0

Form50
Pace34
Draw66
J/T74
Weight100
Odds19
Move48

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
7

JOHANNES BRAHMS

Rank #11

Draw 11 · 124lb · C Y Ho · P C Ng · R85 · 25.0

7.2%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 6-10-11-11-12-8 · 6/14(5 3 6) · 10/14(6 5 6 10) · 11/14(12 10 11 11) · 11/14(5 8 9 8 11) · 12/14(5 4 5 12) · 8/14(7 6 7 8) · 10d since last · Gear TT

Running: 5 3 6 · Odds move: 26.0→25.0

Form42
Pace41
Draw56
J/T85
Weight71
Odds20
Move52

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / P C Ng)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
5

SELF IMPROVEMENT

Rank #12

Draw 2 · 126lb · H T Mo · K L Man · R87 · 33.0

6.6%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 14-12-11-8-9-1 · 14/14 · 12/14(6 9 12) · 11/14 · 8/14(4 2 8) · 9/14(5 6 9) · 1/14 · 35d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 6 9 12 · Odds move: 26.0→33.0

Form23
Pace29
Draw100
J/T67
Weight57
Odds17
Move35

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement