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HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-11

Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R10 SHUI PIN WAI HANDICAP

17:10 · 1400m · Class 3 · Turf · Course C

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 12

    TITAN PEGASUS

    Draw 4 · 3.5

    8.7%
  • 23

    FIT FOR BEAUTY

    Draw 5 · 8.1

    8.0%
  • 310

    DO YOUR PART

    Draw 7 · 7.4

    7.9%
  • 47

    CHIU CHOW SPIRIT

    Draw 9 · 7.4

    7.6%
  • 514

    TANG HEART

    Draw 11 · 16.0

    7.5%
  • 69

    CELESTIAL HERO

    Draw 6 · 8.0

    7.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

2

TITAN PEGASUS

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 131lb · C L Chau · D Eustace · R73 · 3.5

8.7%

Win

25.7%

Place

Recent: 3-7-13 · 3/14(13 13 13 3) · 7/14(6 8 7) · 13/14(6 7 13) · 91d since last

Running: 13 13 13 3 · Odds move: 4.5→3.5

Form67
Pace70
Draw87
J/T70
Weight0
Odds66
Move62

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
3

FIT FOR BEAUTY

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 129lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R71 · 8.1

8.0%

Win

23.8%

Place

Recent: 4-7-7-3-3-2 · 4/14(4 4 4) · 7/14(8 12 10 7) · 7/14(8 5 6 7) · 3/14(7 8 8 3) · 3/14(6 7 9 3) · 2/14(7 6 2 2) · 28d since last · Gear H

Running: 4 4 4 · Odds move: 10.0→8.1

Form71
Pace62
Draw84
J/T81
Weight18
Odds40
Move60

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

DO YOUR PART

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 125lb · P N Wong · K W Lui · R67 · 7.4

7.9%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 6-4-3-2-2-3 · 6/14(1 1 1 6) · 4/14(4 3 3 4) · 3/14(1 1 1 3) · 2/14(3 3 3 2) · 2/14(3 3 3 2) · 3/14(2 3 2 3) · 32d since last · Gear XB/TT

Running: 1 1 1 6 · Odds move: 7.5→7.4

Form80
Pace38
Draw78
J/T65
Weight55
Odds42
Move51

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

CHIU CHOW SPIRIT

Rank #4

Draw 9 · 127lb · A Badel · K L Man · R69 · 7.4

7.6%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 3-8-6-12-14-12 · 3/14(14 14 12 3) · 8/14(11 13 13 8) · 6/14(14 14 12 6) · 12/14(14 14 14 12) · 14/14(9 9 6 14) · 12/14(9 8 9 12) · 28d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 14 14 12 3 · Odds move: 6.4→7.4

Form60
Pace81
Draw71
J/T73
Weight36
Odds42
Move41

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
14

TANG HEART

Rank #5

Draw 11 · 120lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R62 · 16.0

7.5%

Win

22.3%

Place

Recent: 7-3-6-3 · 7/14(7 7 7) · 3/14(3 6 3 3) · 6/14(9 6 6) · 3/14(10 8 3) · 32d since last · Gear TT

Running: 7 7 7 · Odds move: 13.0→16.0

Form72
Pace61
Draw65
J/T86
Weight100
Odds27
Move37

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

CELESTIAL HERO

Rank #6

Draw 6 · 125lb · Z Purton · D J Whyte · R67 · 8.0

7.3%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: 8-10-12-3-6-8 · 8/14(14 14 8) · 10/14(8 8 10) · 12/14(7 8 12) · 3/14(5 5 3) · 6/14(7 7 6) · 8/14(12 10 8) · 7d since last · Gear B

Running: 14 14 8 · Odds move: 6.5→8.0

Form47
Pace57
Draw81
J/T89
Weight55
Odds40
Move37

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / D J Whyte)
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Distance change from last start
12

GULU GOGO

Rank #7

Draw 2 · 120lb · K Teetan · W K Mo · R62 · 23.0

7.3%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 9-6 · 9/14(6 5 9) · 6/14(10 9 6) · 28d since last · Gear CP1

Running: 6 5 9 · Odds move: 29.0→23.0

Form50
Pace51
Draw93
J/T76
Weight100
Odds21
Move61

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / W K Mo)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

BEAUTY CRESCENT

Rank #8

Draw 1 · 131lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R73 · 9.3

7.0%

Win

21.2%

Place

Recent: 6-3-14-14-14-14 · 6/14(9 10 7 6) · 3/14(3 2 2 3) · 14/14(13 12 14 14) · 14/14(12 11 14 14) · 14/14(7 9 12 14) · 14/14(8 9 8 14) · 14d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 9 10 7 6 · Odds move: 8.2→9.3

Form49
Pace54
Draw96
J/T71
Weight0
Odds37
Move43

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
13

SUPER UNICORN

Rank #9

Draw 10 · 120lb · M Chadwick · M Newnham · R62 · 38.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 10-3-9-2-6-9 · 10/14(8 8 11 10) · 3/14(10 10 10 3) · 9/14(6 6 6 6 9) · 2/14(6 5 5 5 2) · 6/14(9 9 9 6) · 9/14(8 9 8 9) · 25d since last · Gear CP

Running: 8 8 11 10 · Odds move: 28.0→38.0

Form62
Pace60
Draw68
J/T76
Weight100
Odds16
Move30

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (M Chadwick / M Newnham)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market
6

SO NAIVE

Rank #10

Draw 8 · 128lb · L Hewitson · B Crawford · R70 · 29.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 7 · 7/14(5 7 7) · 99d since last

Running: 5 7 7 · Odds move: 30.0→29.0

Form57
Pace44
Draw74
J/T76
Weight27
Odds19
Move52

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / B Crawford)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
5

FORTUNE LINK

Rank #11

Draw 3 · 128lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R70 · 15.0

6.4%

Win

19.5%

Place

Recent: 11-12-10-1 · 11/14(4 1 2 11) · 12/14(7 9 12 12) · 10/14(11 12 11 10) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 91d since last · Gear V

Running: 4 1 2 11 · Odds move: 14.0→15.0

Form35
Pace34
Draw90
J/T69
Weight27
Odds28
Move46

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
4

EVERYONE'S STAR

Rank #12

Draw 14 · 128lb · B Avdulla · F C Lor · R70 · 29.0

6.4%

Win

19.5%

Place

Recent: 13-8-2-7-5-5 · 13/14(4 3 4 13) · 8/14(8 6 6 8) · 2/14(6 6 5 2) · 7/14(6 7 4 7) · 5/14(9 11 12 5) · 5/14(7 8 8 5) · 112d since last

Running: 4 3 4 13 · Odds move: 30.0→29.0

Form50
Pace45
Draw56
J/T76
Weight27
Odds19
Move52

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / F C Lor)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
11

ANOTHER ZONDA

Rank #13

Draw 12 · 124lb · E C W Wong · Y S Tsui · R66 · 45.0

6.4%

Win

19.4%

Place

Recent: 11-1-4-8-1-11 · 11/14(3 3 6 11) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 4/14(4 4 4 4) · 8/14(5 1 1 8) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 11/14(1 1 1 11) · 32d since last · Gear B

Running: 3 3 6 11 · Odds move: 39.0→45.0

Form65
Pace31
Draw62
J/T61
Weight64
Odds14
Move42

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
8

STAY COSMIC

Rank #14

Draw 13 · 126lb · M F Poon · D A Hayes · R68 · 42.0

5.9%

Win

18.0%

Place

Recent: 12-12-7 · 12/14(11 12 12) · 12/14(7 8 10 12) · 7/14(10 9 7) · 28d since last

Running: 11 12 12 · Odds move: 40.0→42.0

Form27
Pace46
Draw59
J/T72
Weight45
Odds15
Move47

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement