HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-11

Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R9 SAN TIN HANDICAP

16:35 · 1200m · Class 3 · Turf · Course C

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 110

    EMBRACE ABERDEEN

    Draw 6 · 4.6

    9.7%
  • 23

    HAPPY INDEX

    Draw 2 · 4.0

    9.5%
  • 31

    SWIFT ASCEND

    Draw 8 · 9.6

    8.8%
  • 46

    ELITE GOLF

    Draw 12 · 13.0

    8.7%
  • 58

    MEGASTAR HEART

    Draw 3 · 7.4

    8.7%
  • 64

    COOL BOY

    Draw 5 · 7.9

    8.6%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

10

EMBRACE ABERDEEN

Rank #1

Draw 6 · 119lb · A Atzeni · F C Lor · R63 · 4.6

9.7%

Win

28.6%

Place

Recent: 2-9-6-8-1-5 · 2/14(5 4 2) · 9/14(1 2 9) · 6/14(4 6 6) · 8/14(3 3 8) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 5/14(5 5 4 5) · 106d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 5 4 2 · Odds move: 5.3→4.6

Form71
Pace40
Draw81
J/T75
Weight84
Odds56
Move57

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
3

HAPPY INDEX

Rank #2

Draw 2 · 131lb · C Y Ho · K L Man · R75 · 4.0

9.5%

Win

28.0%

Place

Recent: 6-9-9-3-2-1 · 6/14(8 9 6) · 9/14(11 11 9) · 9/14(1 2 9) · 3/14(2 2 3) · 2/14(2 2 2) · 1/14(3 3 1) · 106d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 9 6 · Odds move: 4.1→4.0

Form60
Pace48
Draw100
J/T74
Weight21
Odds61
Move51

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
1

SWIFT ASCEND

Rank #3

Draw 8 · 135lb · Z Purton · D Eustace · R79 · 9.6

8.8%

Win

26.1%

Place

Recent: 9-4-5-2-3-5 · 9/14(12 11 9) · 4/14(9 9 4) · 5/14(10 10 5) · 2/14(7 5 2) · 3/14(8 11 3) · 5/14(14 13 5) · 217d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 12 11 9 · Odds move: 10.0→9.6

Form69
Pace77
Draw71
J/T84
Weight0
Odds36
Move52

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / D Eustace)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
6

ELITE GOLF

Rank #4

Draw 12 · 123lb · H Bentley · W Y So · R67 · 13.0

8.7%

Win

26.0%

Place

Recent: 8-1-2-1-5 · 8/14(4 6 8) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 5/14(4 5 5) · 140d since last · Gear H

Running: 4 6 8 · Odds move: 18.0→13.0

Form81
Pace48
Draw51
J/T71
Weight63
Odds30
Move65

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
8

MEGASTAR HEART

Rank #5

Draw 3 · 123lb · L Ferraris · C Fownes · R67 · 7.4

8.7%

Win

25.9%

Place

Recent: 5-10-8 · 5/14(5 7 7 5) · 10/14(1 1 1 10) · 8/14(2 2 8) · 106d since last

Running: 5 7 7 5 · Odds move: 7.4→7.4

Form56
Pace29
Draw96
J/T78
Weight63
Odds42
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Ferraris / C Fownes)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Freshness query after a break
4

COOL BOY

Rank #6

Draw 5 · 128lb · A Badel · J Richards · R72 · 7.9

8.6%

Win

25.8%

Place

Recent: 6-5-4-4-1-1 · 6/14(6 6 10 6) · 5/14(14 14 5) · 4/14(2 2 4) · 4/14(8 8 4) · 1/14(7 6 1) · 1/14(5 4 1) · 112d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 6 6 10 6 · Odds move: 5.1→7.9

Form73
Pace69
Draw86
J/T76
Weight37
Odds41
Move20

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
  • –Freshness query after a break
2

GALACTIC VOYAGE

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 134lb · C L Chau · K W Lui · R78 · 10.0

8.3%

Win

24.9%

Place

Recent: 12-3-4-10-4-5 · 12/14(9 9 11 12) · 3/14(13 11 7 3) · 4/14(7 8 7 4) · 10/14(12 11 10) · 4/14(8 11 4) · 5/14(9 7 5) · 91d since last · Gear XB

Running: 9 9 11 12 · Odds move: 12.0→10.0

Form57
Pace66
Draw66
J/T75
Weight5
Odds35
Move59

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break
12

ENDURANCE EXPRESS

Rank #8

Draw 4 · 116lb · M Chadwick · P F Yiu · R60 · 22.0

8.0%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 5-12-8-4 · 5/14(2 2 5) · 12/14(8 7 12) · 8/14(2 2 8) · 4/14(2 1 4) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 2 5 · Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form53
Pace32
Draw91
J/T78
Weight100
Odds22
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (M Chadwick / P F Yiu)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
9

SILK MASTER

Rank #9

Draw 10 · 121lb · K Teetan · J Size · R65 · 18.0

7.7%

Win

23.3%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 16.0→18.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw61
J/T90
Weight74
Odds25
Move43

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / J Size)
  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

EVER LUCK

Rank #10

Draw 1 · 123lb · L Hewitson · M Newnham · R67 · 30.0

7.5%

Win

22.8%

Place

Recent: 13-9-10-1-7-3 · 13/14(5 8 13) · 9/14(11 10 9) · 10/14(7 7 10) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 7/14(3 3 7) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 28d since last · Gear B

Running: 5 8 13 · Odds move: 27.0→30.0

Form40
Pace38
Draw100
J/T77
Weight63
Odds18
Move44

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / M Newnham)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
11

SHANGHAI WARRIOR

Rank #11

Draw 11 · 118lb · M F Poon · C S Shum · R62 · 24.0

7.4%

Win

22.4%

Place

Recent: 6-10 · 6/14(2 2 6) · 10/14(4 5 10) · 7d since last

Running: 2 2 6 · Odds move: 22.0→24.0

Form55
Pace22
Draw56
J/T68
Weight89
Odds21
Move45

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
5

ON THE WAY

Rank #12

Draw 7 · 126lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R70 · 29.0

7.2%

Win

21.9%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT

Odds move: 23.0→29.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw76
J/T68
Weight47
Odds19
Move36

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement