HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-11

Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R8 PING SHAN HANDICAP

16:05 · 1600m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 111

    GORGEOUS VICTORY

    Draw 3 · 2.5

    10.0%
  • 21

    JOLLY BRILLIANT

    Draw 2 · 6.7

    8.6%
  • 313

    SMART FAT CAT

    Draw 14 · 10.0

    7.9%
  • 47

    FLYING BOOM

    Draw 12 · 9.6

    7.5%
  • 59

    BLING BLING GENIUS

    Draw 11 · 24.0

    7.4%
  • 68

    BEST WORLD

    Draw 4 · 20.0

    7.4%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

11

GORGEOUS VICTORY

Rank #1

Draw 3 · 121lb · Z Purton · C S Shum · R45 · 2.5

10.0%

Win

29.1%

Place

Recent: 4-8-2-3-5-5 · 4/14(11 11 11 4) · 8/14(1 1 2 8) · 2/14(7 7 7 2) · 3/14(8 7 7 3) · 5/14(6 10 10 5) · 5/14(13 13 5) · 28d since last · Gear CP1/TT

Running: 11 11 11 4 · Odds move: 3.7→2.5

Form76
Pace64
Draw90
J/T86
Weight78
Odds81
Move68

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / C S Shum)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

JOLLY BRILLIANT

Rank #2

Draw 2 · 135lb · A Atzeni · P F Yiu · R59 · 6.7

8.6%

Win

25.3%

Place

Recent: 1-4-2-3-6-5 · 1/14(10 8 7 1) · 4/14(11 11 11 4) · 2/14(10 11 8 2) · 3/14(9 9 7 3) · 6/14(9 10 10 6) · 5/14(14 14 14 5) · 102d since last · Gear B

Running: 10 8 7 1 · Odds move: 6.8→6.7

Form91
Pace94
Draw93
J/T76
Weight0
Odds45
Move51

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / P F Yiu)
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
13

SMART FAT CAT

Rank #3

Draw 14 · 118lb · K Teetan · P C Ng · R42 · 10.0

7.9%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 4-4-2-2-5-9 · 4/14(11 10 9 4) · 4/14(6 2 2 2 4) · 2/14(6 6 7 7 2) · 2/14(6 5 3 2) · 5/14(10 9 8 5) · 9/14(4 6 5 9) · 91d since last · Gear H-/TT

Running: 11 10 9 4 · Odds move: 7.7→10.0

Form85
Pace79
Draw56
J/T88
Weight94
Odds35
Move34

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / P C Ng)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
  • –Freshness query after a break
7

FLYING BOOM

Rank #4

Draw 12 · 126lb · M F Poon · C W Chang · R50 · 9.6

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 3-4-5-11-10-3 · 3/14(9 8 8 3) · 4/14(13 11 9 4) · 5/14(9 7 6 5) · 11/14(4 8 9 7 11) · 10/14(9 11 11 10) · 3/14(6 7 6 3) · 28d since last · Gear XB

Running: 9 8 8 3 · Odds move: 11.0→9.6

Form72
Pace78
Draw62
J/T61
Weight50
Odds36
Move57

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
9

BLING BLING GENIUS

Rank #5

Draw 11 · 125lb · L Hewitson · D J Whyte · R49 · 24.0

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 6-1-1-2-4-12 · 6/14(1 1 1 6) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 1/14(6 6 2 1) · 2/14(11 10 9 2) · 4/14(6 4 4 4) · 12/14(4 4 5 12) · 126d since last

Running: 1 1 1 6 · Odds move: 26.0→24.0

Form87
Pace55
Draw65
J/T80
Weight56
Odds21
Move54

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / D J Whyte)

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
8

BEST WORLD

Rank #6

Draw 4 · 125lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R49 · 20.0

7.4%

Win

22.1%

Place

Recent: 5-7-5 · 5/14(12 12 12 5) · 7/14(10 10 8 7) · 5/14(12 11 9 5) · 102d since last · Gear CP

Running: 12 12 12 5 · Odds move: 19.0→20.0

Form67
Pace82
Draw87
J/T79
Weight56
Odds23
Move47

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
12

FAMILY FORTUNE

Rank #7

Draw 10 · 119lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R43 · 33.0

7.2%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 5-8-1-4-3-1 · 5/14(11 11 11 11 5) · 8/14(9 9 11 8) · 1/14(7 7 6 1) · 4/14(12 14 13 9 4) · 3/14(12 11 12 12 3) · 1/14(12 12 10 1) · 25d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 11 11 11 5 · Odds move: 28.0→33.0

Form74
Pace80
Draw68
J/T86
Weight89
Odds17
Move40

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
10

AUTOMATED

Rank #8

Draw 8 · 122lb · R Kingscote · W Y So · R46 · 25.0

6.8%

Win

20.5%

Place

Recent: 10-2-5-8-10-9 · 10/14(8 5 7 10) · 2/14(7 7 6 2) · 5/14(2 2 2 2 5) · 8/14(6 6 7 8) · 10/14(12 12 12 10) · 9/14(12 12 9) · 28d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 5 7 10 · Odds move: 23.0→25.0

Form62
Pace56
Draw74
J/T69
Weight72
Odds20
Move45

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
2

ACE

Rank #9

Draw 9 · 130lb · C L Chau · M Newnham · R54 · 19.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 6-10-1-7-4-1 · 6/14(4 4 4 6) · 10/14(8 10 10 10) · 1/14(5 4 3 1) · 7/14(7 8 9 7) · 4/14(6 6 6 4) · 1/14(8 9 7 1) · 28d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 4 4 4 6 · Odds move: 16.0→19.0

Form64
Pace54
Draw71
J/T72
Weight28
Odds24
Move40

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
3

MASTER TRILLION

Rank #10

Draw 1 · 130lb · K C Leung · F C Lor · R54 · 9.9

6.4%

Win

19.3%

Place

Recent: 11-14-12-12-2-4 · 11/14(10 11 11 11) · 14/14(12 12 14 14) · 12/14(13 14 14 12) · 12/14(8 9 12 12) · 2/14(4 4 3 1) · 4/14(5 5 4 4) · 112d since last

Running: 10 11 11 11 · Odds move: 7.7→9.9

Form25
Pace50
Draw96
J/T71
Weight28
Odds35
Move34

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Drifting in the market
  • –Freshness query after a break
5

BEAUTY VIVA

Rank #11

Draw 6 · 126lb · M Chadwick · A S Cruz · R50 · 20.0

6.3%

Win

19.2%

Place

Recent: 11-12-7-8-7-7 · 11/14(13 12 10 11) · 12/14(14 14 14 12) · 7/14(12 12 11 7) · 8/14(11 11 11 8) · 7/14(6 7 7 7) · 7/14(10 10 9 7) · 28d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 13 12 10 11 · Odds move: 14.0→20.0

Form37
Pace66
Draw81
J/T81
Weight50
Odds23
Move26

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (M Chadwick / A S Cruz)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
6

BUCEPHALAS

Rank #12

Draw 7 · 126lb · L Ferraris · W K Mo · R50 · 18.0

6.1%

Win

18.6%

Place

Recent: 6-6-14-14-11-12 · 6/14(13 11 11 6) · 6/14(3 2 2 6) · 14/14(3 5 10 14) · 14/14(14 14 14 14) · 11/14(4 2 2 11) · 12/14(3 3 5 12) · 14d since last · Gear V/TT

Running: 13 11 11 6 · Odds move: 12.0→18.0

Form43
Pace49
Draw78
J/T65
Weight50
Odds25
Move22

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Drifting in the market
14

BRIGHT INHERITANCE

Rank #13

Draw 5 · 117lb · Y L Chung · C H Yip · R41 · 36.0

5.9%

Win

18.0%

Place

Recent: 12-10-12-8-11-6 · 12/14(12 12 12 12) · 10/14(14 14 14 14 10) · 12/14(13 13 13 13 12) · 8/14(14 14 14 14 8) · 11/14(12 12 12 11) · 6/14(12 12 11 6) · 18d since last · Gear B/SR

Running: 12 12 12 12 · Odds move: 22.0→36.0

Form30
Pace64
Draw84
J/T63
Weight100
Odds16
Move15

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market
4

MEGA MASTERMIND

Rank #14

Draw 13 · 127lb · A Badel · J Richards · R51 · 40.0

5.8%

Win

17.8%

Place

Recent: 8-8-9-8-9-2 · 8/14(2 2 2 8) · 8/14(2 3 2 8) · 9/14(1 1 1 9) · 8/14(6 6 5 8) · 9/14(1 1 1 9) · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 18d since last · Gear V-/TT-

Running: 2 2 2 8 · Odds move: 31.0→40.0

Form48
Pace13
Draw59
J/T76
Weight44
Odds15
Move34

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Drifting in the market