Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R4 LAU FAU SHAN HANDICAP

14:00 · 1200m · Class 3 · AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	2	BUSTLING CITY	2	13.7%	1.4
2	3	MIGHTY COMMANDER	0	10.6%	—
3	5	MUST GO	6	10.5%	—
4	8	KEMPES	8	10.2%	12.0
5	1	LUCY IN THE SKY	5	9.9%	9.4
6	7	TOGETHER WE VALUE	1	9.9%	14.0

12
BUSTLING CITY
Draw 2 · 1.4
13.7%
23
MIGHTY COMMANDER
Draw 0
10.6%
35
MUST GO
Draw 6
10.5%
48
KEMPES
Draw 8 · 12.0
10.2%
51
LUCY IN THE SKY
Draw 5 · 9.4
9.9%
67
TOGETHER WE VALUE
Draw 1 · 14.0
9.9%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

BUSTLING CITY

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 131lb · B Avdulla · D A Hayes · R74 · 1.4

13.7%

Win

39.3%

Place

Recent: 1-1-2-2-3-10 · 1/14(1 1 1) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 2/14(3 1 2) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 10/14(3 5 10) · 14d since last

Running: 1 1 1 · Odds move: 1.3→1.4

Form99

Pace53

Draw100

J/T79

Weight22

Odds100

Move46

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (B Avdulla / D A Hayes)
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

MIGHTY COMMANDER

Rank #2

Draw 0 · 129lb · C Y Ho · C Fownes · R72

10.6%

Win

31.6%

Place

Recent: 7-6-7-6-1-8 · 7/14(10 7 7) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 7/14(7 7 6 7) · 6/14(12 11 6) · 1/14(10 9 8 1) · 8/14(9 11 8) · 14d since last · Gear PC1/TT

Running: 10 7 7

Form63

Pace73

Draw100

J/T86

Weight33

Odds50

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (C Y Ho / C Fownes)
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

MUST GO

Rank #3

Draw 6 · 126lb · K Teetan · J Size · R69

10.5%

Win

31.4%

Place

Recent: 10-3-6-1-10-13 · 10/14(13 13 12 10) · 3/14(9 7 3) · 6/14(9 8 6) · 1/14(7 5 1) · 10/14(10 10 10) · 13/14(9 8 13) · 106d since last · Gear E/PC/TT

Running: 13 13 12 10

Form65

Pace77

Draw75

J/T90

Weight50

Odds50

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / J Size)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Distance change from last start
–Freshness query after a break

KEMPES

Rank #4

Draw 8 · 121lb · A Atzeni · D J Hall · R64 · 12.0

10.2%

Win

30.5%

Place

Recent: 1-7-9-4-8-10 · 1/14(4 3 1) · 7/14(12 10 12 7) · 9/14(12 8 7 9) · 4/14(14 13 10 4) · 8/14(8 8 10 8) · 10/14(12 13 9 10) · 28d since last

Running: 4 3 1 · Odds move: 24.0→12.0

Form71

Pace77

Draw63

J/T70

Weight78

Odds32

Move78

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
+Comes off a win

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

LUCY IN THE SKY

Rank #5

Draw 5 · 135lb · P N Wong · Y S Tsui · R78 · 9.4

9.9%

Win

29.8%

Place

Recent: 3-1-4-8-7-9 · 3/14(1 1 3) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 8/14(2 4 6 8) · 7/14(3 3 7) · 9/14(5 5 9) · 7d since last · Gear TT

Running: 1 1 3 · Odds move: 15.0→9.4

Form83

Pace40

Draw81

J/T59

Weight0

Odds36

Move71

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Shortening in the market (走勢盤)
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Led / pressed and may not finish off

TOGETHER WE VALUE

Rank #6

Draw 1 · 122lb · H Bentley · C H Yip · R65 · 14.0

9.9%

Win

29.7%

Place

Recent: 8-6-4-5-4-7 · 8/14(4 6 8) · 6/14(5 6 6) · 4/14(12 12 4) · 5/14(9 9 5) · 4/14(10 9 4) · 7/14(8 7 7) · 102d since last · Gear B

Running: 4 6 8 · Odds move: 19.0→14.0

Form64

Pace57

Draw100

J/T70

Weight72

Odds29

Move64

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

ZHUANG YUAN GLORY

Rank #7

Draw 4 · 121lb · H Y Yuen · J Cummings · R64 · 6.7

9.6%

Win

29.0%

Place

Recent: — · Gear B-/XB/TT1

Odds move: 8.2→6.7

Form45

Pace50

Draw87

J/T65

Weight78

Odds45

Move60

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

DRAGON JOY

Rank #8

Draw 3 · 117lb · M Chadwick · P F Yiu · R60 · 31.0

9.1%

Win

27.6%

Place

Recent: 13-6-4-4-13-7 · 13/14(11 11 10 13) · 6/14(5 8 7 6) · 4/14(5 4 4 4) · 4/14(3 4 3 4) · 13/14(3 5 8 13) · 7/14(4 5 5 7) · 14d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 11 10 13 · Odds move: 42.0→31.0

Form49

Pace46

Draw94

J/T78

Weight100

Odds18

Move64

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (M Chadwick / P F Yiu)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

SKY CAP

Rank #9

Draw 7 · 127lb · K C Leung · C Fownes · R70 · 19.0

8.6%

Win

26.5%

Place

Recent: 10-1-10-5-3-1 · 10/14(2 1 10) · 1/14(4 3 1) · 10/14(2 1 10) · 5/14(1 1 5) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 1 10 · Odds move: 20.0→19.0

Form61

Pace26

Draw69

J/T76

Weight44

Odds24

Move53

Strengths

+Solid connections (K C Leung / C Fownes)

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals

CALA DEI MORI

Rank #10

Draw 9 · 122lb · E C W Wong · C S Shum · R65 · 26.0

8.0%

Win

24.7%

Place

Recent: 11-11-13 · 11/14(7 7 11) · 11/14(13 13 11) · 13/14(4 4 13) · 35d since last · Gear B1/TT

Running: 7 7 11 · Odds move: 48.0→26.0

Form26

Pace40

Draw57

J/T64

Weight72

Odds20

Move75

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight
+Shortening in the market (走勢盤)

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement