Sunday, 11 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R5 MAI PO HANDICAP

14:30 · 1200m · Class 4 · AWT

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	2	MEGA CAPTAIN	4	11.1%	2.4
2	4	CENTRAL BANK	5	8.7%	11.0
3	9	GROUPER	1	8.7%	10.0
4	6	ARMOUR WAR EAGLE	11	8.5%	9.9
5	1	JUICY DRAGON	9	8.2%	11.0
6	12	NOBLE DELUXE	6	8.2%	21.0

12
MEGA CAPTAIN
Draw 4 · 2.4
11.1%
24
CENTRAL BANK
Draw 5 · 11.0
8.7%
39
GROUPER
Draw 1 · 10.0
8.7%
46
ARMOUR WAR EAGLE
Draw 11 · 9.9
8.5%
51
JUICY DRAGON
Draw 9 · 11.0
8.2%
612
NOBLE DELUXE
Draw 6 · 21.0
8.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

MEGA CAPTAIN

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 133lb · Z Purton · C H Yip · R58 · 2.4

11.1%

Win

32.2%

Place

Recent: 1-9-2-11 · 1/14(8 8 1) · 9/14(3 1 9) · 2/14(7 7 2) · 11/14(13 8 11) · 120d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 8 8 1 · Odds move: 2.8→2.4

Form75

Pace66

Draw91

J/T84

Weight8

Odds83

Move58

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / C H Yip)
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

CENTRAL BANK

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 132lb · C L Chau · D Eustace · R57 · 11.0

8.7%

Win

26.1%

Place

Recent: 4-6-7-5-10-11 · 4/14(6 8 4) · 6/14(11 10 6) · 7/14(6 5 7) · 5/14(7 5 5) · 10/14(11 10 10) · 11/14(5 4 11) · 14d since last · Gear P/XB/TT

Running: 6 8 4 · Odds move: 14.0→11.0

Form67

Pace63

Draw86

J/T70

Weight15

Odds33

Move62

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

GROUPER

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 124lb · E C W Wong · C S Shum · R49 · 10.0

8.7%

Win

26.1%

Place

Recent: 6-6-3-2-8-8 · 6/14(4 4 6) · 6/14(1 1 6) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 2/14(6 5 2) · 8/14(9 11 8) · 8/14(4 4 8) · 25d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 4 4 6 · Odds move: 8.1→10.0

Form73

Pace42

Draw100

J/T64

Weight77

Odds35

Move37

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

ARMOUR WAR EAGLE

Rank #4

Draw 11 · 130lb · K C Leung · M Newnham · R55 · 9.9

8.5%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 2-8-4-13-2-9 · 2/14(9 5 2) · 8/14(12 11 8) · 4/14(7 6 4) · 13/14(13 12 13) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 9/14(13 11 9) · 14d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 9 5 2 · Odds move: 10.0→9.9

Form70

Pace76

Draw56

J/T70

Weight31

Odds35

Move51

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

JUICY DRAGON

Rank #5

Draw 9 · 134lb · L Ferraris · K L Man · R59 · 11.0

8.2%

Win

24.8%

Place

Recent: 10-6-4-1-5-2 · 10/14(6 2 10) · 6/14(11 8 6) · 4/14(4 3 4) · 1/14(4 4 1) · 5/14(9 9 5) · 2/14(4 2 2) · 25d since last · Gear V

Running: 6 2 10 · Odds move: 14.0→11.0

Form63

Pace58

Draw66

J/T67

Weight0

Odds33

Move62

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

NOBLE DELUXE

Rank #6

Draw 6 · 121lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R46 · 21.0

8.2%

Win

24.7%

Place

Recent: 12-1-10-10-1-3 · 12/14(8 12 12) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 10/14(3 3 10) · 10/14(8 9 10) · 1/14(6 4 1) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 14d since last · Gear H/P/TT

Running: 8 12 12 · Odds move: 25.0→21.0

Form52

Pace38

Draw81

J/T81

Weight100

Odds23

Move59

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

KING'S ARROW

Rank #7

Draw 8 · 121lb · L Hewitson · B Crawford · R46 · 12.0

8.1%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 9-11-8 · 9/14(8 8 9) · 11/14(5 6 11) · 8/14(9 12 8) · 91d since last

Running: 8 8 9 · Odds move: 15.0→12.0

Form39

Pace42

Draw71

J/T76

Weight100

Odds32

Move61

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Hewitson / B Crawford)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

SOMELOVEFROMABOVE

Rank #8

Draw 3 · 133lb · J Orman · C Fownes · R58 · 14.0

8.0%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 11-5-9-3-1-1 · 11/14(7 8 11) · 5/14(3 3 2 5) · 9/14(11 11 9) · 3/14(6 5 3) · 1/14(3 5 1) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 25d since last · Gear PC2

Running: 7 8 11 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form56

Pace48

Draw96

J/T69

Weight8

Odds29

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

GOOD CHAP

Rank #9

Draw 12 · 130lb · P N Wong · D J Hall · R55 · 12.0

7.9%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: 7-3-7-1-1-10 · 7/14(7 8 7) · 3/14(6 6 3) · 7/14(5 8 7) · 1/14(5 6 1) · 1/14(6 6 1) · 10/14(11 9 9 10) · 99d since last · Gear B

Running: 7 8 7 · Odds move: 9.2→12.0

Form75

Pace64

Draw51

J/T59

Weight31

Odds32

Move33

Strengths

+Strong recent form

Risks

–Drifting in the market
–Freshness query after a break

GIANT LEAP

Rank #10

Draw 10 · 127lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R52 · 14.0

7.9%

Win

23.9%

Place

Recent: 4-9-2-12-4-12 · 4/14(2 2 4) · 9/14(5 7 9) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 12/14(7 8 12) · 4/14(5 5 4) · 12/14(2 2 12) · 25d since last · Gear V

Running: 2 2 4 · Odds move: 12.0→14.0

Form65

Pace43

Draw61

J/T69

Weight54

Odds29

Move41

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

TACTICAL ACE

Rank #11

Draw 2 · 131lb · M Chadwick · W Y So · R56 · 18.0

7.6%

Win

23.1%

Place

Recent: 9-8-12-12-7-11 · 9/14(8 3 9) · 8/14(5 6 8) · 12/14(12 12 12) · 12/14(11 12 12) · 7/14(8 9 7) · 11/14(10 11 11) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 3 9 · Odds move: 17.0→18.0

Form39

Pace47

Draw100

J/T74

Weight23

Odds25

Move47

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

GIANT SPIRIT

Rank #12

Draw 7 · 121lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R46 · 22.0

6.9%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 9-10-9-11-11-7 · 9/14(2 3 9) · 10/14(6 5 10) · 9/14(3 3 9) · 11/14(4 6 11) · 11/14(1 2 11) · 7/14(1 1 7) · 14d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 2 3 9 · Odds move: 14.0→22.0

Form38

Pace15

Draw76

J/T68

Weight100

Odds22

Move19

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Drifting in the market