Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Happy Valley · Good

R4 FINANCE HANDICAP

20:05 · 1200m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	2	FORERUNNER	2	10.5%	5.0
2	7	THE PERFECT MATCH	5	9.6%	6.8
3	12	SAME TO YOU	1	9.3%	9.4
4	10	COUNTRY PRIDE	9	9.3%	4.7
5	5	LEADING DRAGON	8	8.8%	6.3
6	3	FIND MY LOVE	6	8.5%	10.0

12
FORERUNNER
Draw 2 · 5.0
10.5%
27
THE PERFECT MATCH
Draw 5 · 6.8
9.6%
312
SAME TO YOU
Draw 1 · 9.4
9.3%
410
COUNTRY PRIDE
Draw 9 · 4.7
9.3%
55
LEADING DRAGON
Draw 8 · 6.3
8.8%
63
FIND MY LOVE
Draw 6 · 10.0
8.5%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

FORERUNNER

Rank #1

Draw 2 · 135lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R59 · 5.0

10.5%

Win

30.8%

Place

Recent: 2-2-4-1-2-4 · 2/14(10 9 2) · 2/14(6 6 2) · 4/14(12 12 4) · 1/14(8 7 1) · 2/14(5 5 2) · 4/14(2 2 4) · 35d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 10 9 2 · Odds move: 5.0→5.0

Form95

Pace92

Draw93

J/T64

Weight0

Odds53

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

THE PERFECT MATCH

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 130lb · C L Chau · C S Shum · R54 · 6.8

9.6%

Win

28.5%

Place

Recent: 5-1-4-5-3-9 · 5/14(11 11 5) · 1/14(5 5 1) · 4/14(10 9 4) · 5/14(11 10 5) · 3/14(8 9 3) · 9/14(4 4 9) · 35d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 11 5 · Odds move: 6.7→6.8

Form82

Pace84

Draw73

J/T73

Weight28

Odds44

Move49

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

SAME TO YOU

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 117lb · A Badel · M Newnham · R41 · 9.4

9.3%

Win

27.6%

Place

Recent: 9-3-14-2-3-11 · 9/14(5 6 9) · 3/14(6 6 3) · 14/14(2 2 14) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 3/14(6 5 3) · 11/14(12 13 11) · 10d since last · Gear H/P/TT

Running: 5 6 9 · Odds move: 9.0→9.4

Form59

Pace44

Draw100

J/T78

Weight100

Odds36

Move48

Strengths

+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Solid connections (A Badel / M Newnham)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

COUNTRY PRIDE

Rank #4

Draw 9 · 127lb · Z Purton · J Size · R51 · 4.7

9.3%

Win

27.6%

Place

Recent: 3-12-3 · 3/14(9 7 3) · 12/14(6 4 12) · 3/14(8 7 3) · 21d since last

Running: 9 7 3 · Odds move: 4.5→4.7

Form68

Pace68

Draw45

J/T94

Weight44

Odds55

Move48

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (Z Purton / J Size)
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

LEADING DRAGON

Rank #5

Draw 8 · 131lb · H Y Yuen · P C Ng · R55 · 6.3

8.8%

Win

26.2%

Place

Recent: 4-4-1-11-3-2 · 4/14(1 1 4) · 4/14(1 1 4) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 11/14(3 3 11) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 35d since last · Gear V1/TT-

Running: 1 1 4 · Odds move: 6.7→6.3

Form77

Pace36

Draw52

J/T73

Weight22

Odds46

Move53

Strengths

+Strong recent form

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

FIND MY LOVE

Rank #6

Draw 6 · 134lb · M L Yeung · D J Whyte · R58 · 10.0

8.5%

Win

25.5%

Place

Recent: 7-8-9-1-6-8 · 7/14(12 12 7) · 8/14(10 10 8) · 9/14(12 12 9) · 1/14(7 5 1) · 6/14(6 7 6) · 8/14(7 10 8) · 21d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 12 12 7 · Odds move: 11.0→10.0

Form59

Pace73

Draw66

J/T73

Weight6

Odds35

Move55

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

DRAGON FOUR SEAS

Rank #7

Draw 3 · 135lb · L Ferraris · J Richards · R59 · 10.0

8.3%

Win

24.9%

Place

Recent: 12-6-5-12-11-12 · 12/14(12 12 12) · 6/14(8 7 6) · 5/14(7 8 5) · 12/14(13 14 12) · 11/14(7 9 11) · 12/14(6 7 12) · 28d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 12 12 12 · Odds move: 11.0→10.0

Form43

Pace57

Draw86

J/T70

Weight0

Odds35

Move55

Strengths

+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

ELEGANT LIFE

Rank #8

Draw 7 · 132lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R56 · 14.0

8.2%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 7-10-3-1-7-3 · 7/14(11 12 7) · 10/14(4 3 10) · 3/14(3 3 3) · 1/14(5 4 1) · 7/14(12 11 7) · 3/14(5 2 3) · 28d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 11 12 7 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form64

Pace58

Draw59

J/T71

Weight17

Odds29

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

LOOKING BRIGHT

Rank #9

Draw 10 · 130lb · K Teetan · F C Lor · R54 · 20.0

7.4%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 8-10-2-5-11-8 · 8/14(1 1 8) · 10/14(1 2 10) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 5/14(2 4 5) · 11/14(5 8 11) · 8/14(1 2 8) · 21d since last · Gear H-/TT

Running: 1 1 8 · Odds move: 20.0→20.0

Form57

Pace19

Draw39

J/T84

Weight28

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (K Teetan / F C Lor)

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost

CASA BUDDY

Rank #10

Draw 4 · 120lb · H T Mo · C W Chang · R44 · 41.0

7.1%

Win

21.8%

Place

Recent: 11-12-13-13 · 11/14(8 12 11) · 12/14(6 10 12) · 13/14(5 7 13) · 13/14(14 14 13) · 21d since last · Gear TT

Running: 8 12 11 · Odds move: 40.0→41.0

Form22

Pace30

Draw80

J/T64

Weight83

Odds15

Move49

Strengths

+Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

WINNING COMBO

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 128lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R52 · 24.0

7.0%

Win

21.5%

Place

Recent: — · Gear B1/TT1

Odds move: 24.0→24.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw25

J/T71

Weight39

Odds21

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley

CHAMP'S DOMAIN

Rank #12

Draw 11 · 128lb · J Orman · W Y So · R52 · 43.0

6.0%

Win

18.5%

Place

Recent: 13 · 13/14(4 7 13) · 13d since last

Running: 4 7 13 · Odds move: 42.0→43.0

Form14

Pace7

Draw32

J/T60

Weight39

Odds15

Move49

Strengths

+Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement