HK

HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Happy Valley Meeting - 2026-10-14

Wednesday, 14 October 2026 · Happy Valley · Good

R5 FINANCE HANDICAP

20:35 · 1200m · Class 4 · Turf · Course A

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 13

    GOLDEN BRILLIANT

    Draw 1 · 11.0

    10.0%
  • 21

    BROWNNEEDSFURTHER

    Draw 5 · 6.3

    9.8%
  • 36

    DAN ATTACK

    Draw 7 · 5.8

    9.7%
  • 47

    VICTOR THE RAPID

    Draw 6 · 6.9

    8.5%
  • 510

    EVERSTAR

    Draw 3 · 20.0

    8.3%
  • 62

    FRIENDS OF SHAJING

    Draw 11 · 5.3

    8.2%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

3

GOLDEN BRILLIANT

Rank #1

Draw 1 · 131lb · A Badel · C Fownes · R56 · 11.0

10.0%

Win

29.5%

Place

Recent: 1-1-4-4-10-8 · 1/14(7 7 5 1) · 1/14(9 8 5 1) · 4/14(6 5 3 4) · 4/14(9 8 4) · 10/14(11 11 10) · 8/14(9 9 8) · 189d since last · Gear B

Running: 7 7 5 1 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form89
Pace84
Draw100
J/T85
Weight22
Odds33
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Solid connections (A Badel / C Fownes)
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Distance change from last start
  • –Freshness query after a break
1

BROWNNEEDSFURTHER

Rank #2

Draw 5 · 135lb · B Avdulla · D J Hall · R60 · 6.3

9.8%

Win

28.8%

Place

Recent: 1-1-2-5-2-11 · 1/14(6 6 1) · 1/14(3 3 1) · 2/14(10 11 2) · 5/14(7 7 5) · 2/14(3 3 2) · 11/14(13 13 13 11) · 21d since last · Gear V/TT

Running: 6 6 1 · Odds move: 6.2→6.3

Form96
Pace78
Draw73
J/T71
Weight0
Odds46
Move49

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
6

DAN ATTACK

Rank #3

Draw 7 · 125lb · H Bentley · D J Whyte · R50 · 5.8

9.7%

Win

28.7%

Place

Recent: 2-2-4-5-2-3 · 2/14(8 7 2) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 4/14(4 3 4) · 5/14(7 5 5) · 2/14(10 10 2) · 3/14(4 5 3) · 28d since last · Gear XB

Running: 8 7 2 · Odds move: 5.9→5.8

Form91
Pace70
Draw59
J/T75
Weight56
Odds49
Move51

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (H Bentley / D J Whyte)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
7

VICTOR THE RAPID

Rank #4

Draw 6 · 125lb · C Y Ho · P C Ng · R50 · 6.9

8.5%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 6-9-8-10-10-6 · 6/14(10 9 6) · 9/14(10 12 9) · 8/14(3 4 3 8) · 10/14(7 8 10) · 10/14(5 5 5 10) · 6/14(8 7 6) · 28d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 10 9 6 · Odds move: 7.0→6.9

Form50
Pace50
Draw66
J/T85
Weight56
Odds44
Move51

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (C Y Ho / P C Ng)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
10

EVERSTAR

Rank #5

Draw 3 · 120lb · K Teetan · Y S Tsui · R45 · 20.0

8.3%

Win

25.0%

Place

Recent: 9-10-9-7-10-13 · 9/14(12 12 9) · 10/14(10 9 10) · 9/14(9 10 9) · 7/14(10 10 7) · 10/14(11 12 10) · 13/14(9 9 13) · 28d since last · Gear CP

Running: 12 12 9 · Odds move: 21.0→20.0

Form42
Pace61
Draw86
J/T79
Weight83
Odds23
Move53

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / Y S Tsui)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

FRIENDS OF SHAJING

Rank #6

Draw 11 · 133lb · C L Chau · W K Mo · R58 · 5.3

8.2%

Win

24.8%

Place

Recent: 3-10-5-4-7-4 · 3/14(5 7 3) · 10/14(8 7 10) · 5/14(5 5 5) · 4/14(6 6 4) · 7/14(3 3 7) · 4/14(3 3 4) · 21d since last · Gear CP2/TT

Running: 5 7 3 · Odds move: 5.3→5.3

Form69
Pace54
Draw32
J/T66
Weight11
Odds51
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
12

FREE PONY

Rank #7

Draw 9 · 117lb · M L Yeung · C W Chang · R42 · 7.9

8.1%

Win

24.5%

Place

Recent: 6-10-8-9-8-3 · 6/14(10 10 6) · 10/14(12 11 10) · 8/14(10 11 8) · 9/14(5 4 9) · 8/14(7 7 8) · 3/14(4 4 3) · 21d since last

Running: 10 10 6 · Odds move: 7.9→7.9

Form50
Pace62
Draw45
J/T62
Weight100
Odds41
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
4

RUN RUN SUNRISE

Rank #8

Draw 2 · 128lb · K C Leung · F C Lor · R53 · 17.0

7.7%

Win

23.4%

Place

Recent: 12-7-11-9-10-3 · 12/14(3 2 12) · 7/14(7 7 7) · 11/14(5 6 11) · 9/14(8 6 9) · 10/14(9 11 10) · 3/14(7 6 3) · 17d since last · Gear CP-/E/TT

Running: 3 2 12 · Odds move: 17.0→17.0

Form36
Pace28
Draw93
J/T71
Weight39
Odds26
Move50

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
5

CHARMING BABE

Rank #9

Draw 10 · 127lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R52 · 9.9

7.7%

Win

23.3%

Place

Recent: 8-4-12-6-7-10 · 8/14(9 13 8) · 4/14(3 5 4) · 12/14(9 9 12) · 6/14(2 3 3 6) · 7/14(10 10 7) · 10/14(10 11 10) · 13d since last

Running: 9 13 8 · Odds move: 10.0→9.9

Form54
Pace47
Draw39
J/T69
Weight44
Odds35
Move51

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

LUCKY TWENTY

Rank #10

Draw 4 · 120lb · M F Poon · K H Ting · R45 · 19.0

7.4%

Win

22.6%

Place

Recent: 11-12-6-11-14-6 · 11/14(8 12 11) · 12/14(9 10 12) · 6/14(8 6 6) · 11/14(1 1 11) · 14/14(5 6 14) · 6/14(2 2 6) · 35d since last

Running: 8 12 11 · Odds move: 18.0→19.0

Form32
Pace36
Draw80
J/T57
Weight83
Odds24
Move47

Strengths

  • +Favourable inside draw at Happy Valley
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
9

MEGA AWESOME

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 121lb · A Atzeni · D A Hayes · R46 · 29.0

7.3%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 7-9-7 · 7/14(8 8 7) · 9/14(5 5 9) · 7/14(9 9 7) · 126d since last · Gear CP/TT1

Running: 8 8 7 · Odds move: 29.0→29.0

Form52
Pace51
Draw25
J/T77
Weight78
Odds19
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / D A Hayes)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Wide draw — tough at Happy Valley
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
8

CORNERSTONE

Rank #12

Draw 8 · 122lb · R Kingscote · C H Yip · R47 · 21.0

7.1%

Win

21.7%

Place

Recent: 14-10-7-10-12-9 · 14/14(6 6 8 14) · 10/14(11 10 10 10) · 7/14(10 9 7) · 10/14(11 12 10) · 12/14(12 12 12) · 9/14(10 9 9) · 102d since last · Gear CP-/B1/TT

Running: 6 6 8 14 · Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form30
Pace44
Draw52
J/T68
Weight72
Odds23
Move50

Strengths

  • +Carries a competitive weight

Risks

  • –Inconsistent or modest recent form
  • –Freshness query after a break