Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R2 SUN CHUI HANDICAP

13:00 · 1400m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	8	GHORGAN	4	9.6%	2.3
2	10	INVICTUS	3	9.1%	4.4
3	11	SHOTGUN	1	8.6%	3.7
4	12	TRENDY RUSH	11	7.5%	22.0
5	9	JOKER ORBIT	2	7.0%	45.0
6	6	PEGASUS ELITE	6	6.9%	16.0

18
GHORGAN
Draw 4 · 2.3
9.6%
210
INVICTUS
Draw 3 · 4.4
9.1%
311
SHOTGUN
Draw 1 · 3.7
8.6%
412
TRENDY RUSH
Draw 11 · 22.0
7.5%
59
JOKER ORBIT
Draw 2 · 45.0
7.0%
66
PEGASUS ELITE
Draw 6 · 16.0
6.9%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

GHORGAN

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 129lb · A Atzeni · J Cummings · R50 · 2.3

9.6%

Win

28.0%

Place

Recent: 3-9-8-5-6-12 · 3/14(7 5 3 3) · 9/14(9 10 9) · 8/14(8 8 8) · 5/14(4 4 4 5) · 6/14(6 6 6 6) · 12/14(13 11 8 12) · 22d since last · Gear XB/TT

Running: 7 5 3 3 · Odds move: 2.3→2.3

Form66

Pace62

Draw87

J/T72

Weight38

Odds85

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

INVICTUS

Rank #2

Draw 3 · 128lb · Z Purton · D J Whyte · R49 · 4.4

9.1%

Win

26.6%

Place

Recent: 4-4-4-3-7 · 4/14(2 2 4) · 4/14(2 2 4) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 3/14(2 2 2 3) · 7/14(11 13 7) · 26d since last · Gear P-/H/XB

Running: 2 2 4 · Odds move: 4.4→4.4

Form79

Pace44

Draw90

J/T89

Weight44

Odds58

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / D J Whyte)
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

SHOTGUN

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 128lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R49 · 3.7

8.6%

Win

25.3%

Place

Recent: 3-7-13-3-4-1 · 3/14(2 2 1 3) · 7/14(2 1 7) · 13/14(2 2 9 13) · 3/14(1 1 1 3) · 4/14(2 2 2 4) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 15d since last · Gear B/XB

Running: 2 2 1 3 · Odds move: 3.7→3.7

Form66

Pace29

Draw96

J/T64

Weight44

Odds64

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Led / pressed and may not finish off

TRENDY RUSH

Rank #4

Draw 11 · 127lb · B Avdulla · J Richards · R48 · 22.0

7.5%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 6-2-8-7-10-8 · 6/14(12 11 6) · 2/14(10 9 8 2) · 8/14(12 12 8) · 7/14(10 9 7) · 10/14(10 11 10) · 8/14(12 12 8) · 15d since last · Gear CP/XB

Running: 12 11 6 · Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form68

Pace82

Draw65

J/T73

Weight50

Odds22

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

JOKER ORBIT

Rank #5

Draw 2 · 129lb · E C W Wong · C S Shum · R50 · 45.0

7.0%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 6-5-11-4-7-11 · 6/14(4 5 6) · 5/14(3 5 5) · 11/14(12 12 11) · 4/14(4 5 4) · 7/14(2 2 7) · 11/14(9 9 11) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 4 5 6 · Odds move: 45.0→45.0

Form60

Pace45

Draw93

J/T64

Weight38

Odds14

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

PEGASUS ELITE

Rank #6

Draw 6 · 131lb · L Ferraris · M Newnham · R52 · 16.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 10 · 10/14(12 13 13 10) · 15d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 12 13 13 10 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form36

Pace64

Draw81

J/T71

Weight25

Odds27

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

CHILL PARTNERS

Rank #7

Draw 5 · 134lb · K C Leung · K W Lui · R55 · 16.0

6.8%

Win

20.4%

Place

Recent: 3-13-12-12-14-1 · 3/14(2 2 2 3) · 13/14(4 5 4 13) · 12/14(13 12 11 12) · 12/14(7 5 7 12) · 14/14(6 7 9 14) · 1/14(3 3 3 1) · 18d since last · Gear V

Running: 2 2 2 3 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form42

Pace35

Draw84

J/T72

Weight6

Odds27

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Led / pressed and may not finish off

ILLUMINOUS

Rank #8

Draw 10 · 121lb · M Chadwick · F C Lor · R42 · 79.0

6.7%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 12-3-10-14-12-14 · 12/14(13 13 13 12) · 3/14(11 10 6 3) · 10/14(12 12 10) · 14/14(12 11 12 14 14) · 12/14(11 11 11 12 12) · 14/14(13 14 14 14) · 163d since last · Gear V

Running: 13 13 13 12 · Odds move: 79.0→79.0

Form41

Pace68

Draw68

J/T77

Weight88

Odds10

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (M Chadwick / F C Lor)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

POSITIVE SMILE

Rank #9

Draw 14 · 132lb · M L Yeung · D A Hayes · R53 · 33.0

6.6%

Win

20.0%

Place

Recent: 9-9-7-11-3-7 · 9/14(11 11 12 9) · 9/14(6 2 2 9) · 7/14(11 9 7) · 11/14(14 13 13 11) · 3/14(8 8 3) · 7/14(13 12 10 7) · 15d since last · Gear TT

Running: 11 11 12 9 · Odds move: 33.0→33.0

Form47

Pace62

Draw56

J/T74

Weight19

Odds17

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

SHANNON GLOW

Rank #10

Draw 12 · 131lb · C L Chau · D Eustace · R52 · 34.0

6.5%

Win

19.7%

Place

Recent: — · Gear CP1

Odds move: 34.0→34.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw62

J/T70

Weight25

Odds17

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

LEAN GENERAL

Rank #11

Draw 8 · 131lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R52 · 71.0

6.5%

Win

19.7%

Place

Recent: — · Gear CP1/TT1

Odds move: 71.0→71.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw74

J/T73

Weight25

Odds11

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

ISLAND HIGHFLYER

Rank #12

Draw 13 · 131lb · C Y Ho · P C Ng · R52 · 89.0

6.4%

Win

19.5%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 89.0→89.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw59

J/T85

Weight25

Odds9

Move50

Strengths

+Solid connections (C Y Ho / P C Ng)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

HEALTHY PONY

Rank #13

Draw 9 · 119lb · Y L Chung · C W Chang · R40 · 193.0

6.3%

Win

19.0%

Place

Recent: 9-11-13-6-11-14 · 9/14(7 6 6 9) · 11/14(8 9 11 11) · 13/14(13 14 13 13) · 6/14(11 10 7 6) · 11/14(13 13 11) · 14/14(14 14 14) · 26d since last · Gear H/P

Running: 7 6 6 9 · Odds move: 193.0→193.0

Form35

Pace48

Draw71

J/T58

Weight100

Odds6

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

TRUE BROTHERS

Rank #14

Draw 7 · 135lb · P N Wong · Y S Tsui · R56 · 123.0

5.6%

Win

17.1%

Place

Recent: 13-12-11-8-14 · 13/14(1 1 1 13) · 12/14(5 6 12) · 11/14(2 2 3 11) · 8/14(1 2 2 8) · 14/14(5 7 11 14) · 18d since last · Gear B-/V1

Running: 1 1 1 13 · Odds move: 123.0→123.0

Form23

Pace6

Draw78

J/T59

Weight0

Odds8

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement