Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R3 CHUN SHEK HANDICAP

13:30 · 1800m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	9	LUCKY YEAR	4	9.1%	3.3
2	2	VICTOR SUPREME	7	8.8%	3.8
3	5	AMAZING GAZE	5	8.5%	4.3
4	6	LUCKY BALERION	6	7.7%	9.0
5	3	DOUBLE WIN	1	7.4%	22.0
6	11	SUPREME MASTERMIND	12	7.3%	16.0

19
LUCKY YEAR
Draw 4 · 3.3
9.1%
22
VICTOR SUPREME
Draw 7 · 3.8
8.8%
35
AMAZING GAZE
Draw 5 · 4.3
8.5%
46
LUCKY BALERION
Draw 6 · 9.0
7.7%
53
DOUBLE WIN
Draw 1 · 22.0
7.4%
611
SUPREME MASTERMIND
Draw 12 · 16.0
7.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

LUCKY YEAR

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 124lb · H Bentley · C H Yip · R48 · 3.3

9.1%

Win

26.7%

Place

Recent: 6-2-4-3-3-2 · 6/14(8 9 12 12 6) · 2/14(5 6 6 2) · 4/14(2 2 3 4) · 3/14(5 5 7 3) · 3/14(8 9 8 3) · 2/14(7 8 7 2) · 18d since last · Gear B

Running: 8 9 12 12 6 · Odds move: 3.3→3.3

Form82

Pace65

Draw80

J/T70

Weight61

Odds68

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

VICTOR SUPREME

Rank #2

Draw 7 · 135lb · C Y Ho · P F Yiu · R59 · 3.8

8.8%

Win

26.0%

Place

Recent: 2-9-1-2-5-4 · 2/14(5 6 5 6 2) · 9/14(10 9 9 9) · 1/14(7 8 9 6 1) · 2/14(12 13 13 2) · 5/14(12 12 12 5) · 4/14(9 8 7 4) · 18d since last · Gear V

Running: 5 6 5 6 2 · Odds move: 3.8→3.8

Form82

Pace79

Draw75

J/T81

Weight0

Odds63

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (C Y Ho / P F Yiu)
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

AMAZING GAZE

Rank #3

Draw 5 · 128lb · Z Purton · D A Hayes · R52 · 4.3

8.5%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 6-1-6-6-6-8 · 6/14(4 5 5 6) · 1/14(4 4 4 1) · 6/14(1 1 1 1 6) · 6/14(9 7 8 6 6) · 6/14(12 13 12 6) · 8/14(10 10 12 12 8) · 26d since last · Gear V

Running: 4 5 5 6 · Odds move: 4.3→4.3

Form74

Pace52

Draw79

J/T90

Weight39

Odds58

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / D A Hayes)
+Market respects this runner

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

LUCKY BALERION

Rank #4

Draw 6 · 127lb · M F Poon · F C Lor · R51 · 9.0

7.7%

Win

23.1%

Place

Recent: 7-2-2-6-9-6 · 7/14(4 2 2 7) · 2/14(6 2 3 2) · 2/14(4 4 4 2) · 6/14(7 7 8 6) · 9/14(6 5 7 9) · 6/14(8 9 7 6) · 36d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 4 2 2 7 · Odds move: 9.0→9.0

Form77

Pace58

Draw77

J/T69

Weight44

Odds37

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

DOUBLE WIN

Rank #5

Draw 1 · 134lb · M Chadwick · K L Man · R58 · 22.0

7.4%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 8-1-2-5-3-10 · 8/14(10 11 9 12 8) · 1/14(6 5 5 4 1) · 2/14(9 9 10 11 8 2) · 5/14(9 10 10 10 5) · 3/14(4 3 3 3 2 3) · 10/14(12 13 13 12 10) · 114d since last · Gear V/XB/TT

Running: 10 11 9 12 8 · Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form79

Pace77

Draw86

J/T71

Weight6

Odds22

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

SUPREME MASTERMIND

Rank #6

Draw 12 · 123lb · L Ferraris · M Newnham · R47 · 16.0

7.3%

Win

22.0%

Place

Recent: 3-5-9-8-9-9 · 3/14(10 10 10 8 3) · 5/14(13 12 13 9 5) · 9/14(8 7 4 9) · 8/14(7 7 7 8) · 9/14(4 5 5 6 9) · 9/14(12 12 12 12 9) · 18d since last · Gear XB

Running: 10 10 10 8 3 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form68

Pace75

Draw65

J/T71

Weight67

Odds27

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

KING OF SELECTION

Rank #7

Draw 11 · 120lb · A Atzeni · D J Hall · R44 · 19.0

7.0%

Win

20.9%

Place

Recent: 4-4-12-12-12-11 · 4/14(12 12 12 4) · 4/14(8 7 6 4) · 12/14(5 3 4 4 12 12) · 12/14(5 5 7 12) · 12/14(11 12 11 12) · 11/14(12 12 12 11) · 26d since last

Running: 12 12 12 4 · Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form56

Pace59

Draw67

J/T70

Weight83

Odds24

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

VOLCANIC SPARK

Rank #8

Draw 3 · 127lb · R Kingscote · P F Yiu · R51 · 31.0

6.9%

Win

20.7%

Place

Recent: 10-11-5-1-2-8 · 10/14(11 9 9 9 10) · 11/14(13 12 13 13 11) · 5/14(10 8 7 7 5) · 1/14(12 9 7 5 1) · 2/14(6 7 7 7 2) · 8/14(7 7 8 9 8) · 96d since last · Gear B

Running: 11 9 9 9 10 · Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form54

Pace71

Draw82

J/T73

Weight44

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

ROMANTIC FANTASY

Rank #9

Draw 14 · 125lb · A Badel · J Richards · R49 · 48.0

6.8%

Win

20.6%

Place

Recent: 9-1-5-8-14-1 · 9/14(11 11 9 7 9) · 1/14(7 7 7 8 1) · 5/14(12 13 12 11 5) · 8/14(12 12 12 12 8) · 14/14(9 9 11 14 14) · 1/14(7 11 11 7 1) · 18d since last

Running: 11 11 9 7 9 · Odds move: 48.0→48.0

Form62

Pace75

Draw61

J/T76

Weight56

Odds14

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (A Badel / J Richards)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

ON THE LASH

Rank #10

Draw 2 · 117lb · P N Wong · P C Ng · R41 · 22.0

6.7%

Win

20.2%

Place

Recent: 8-12-9-1-13-5 · 8/14(7 2 2 2 8) · 12/14(1 1 1 2 12) · 9/14(3 3 4 4 9) · 1/14(3 1 1 1 1) · 13/14(13 11 14 13) · 5/14(2 2 2 2 5) · 18d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 7 2 2 2 8 · Odds move: 22.0→22.0

Form45

Pace31

Draw84

J/T68

Weight100

Odds22

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals

DREAMING TOGETHER

Rank #11

Draw 9 · 135lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R59 · 31.0

6.7%

Win

20.1%

Place

Recent: 3-10-11-6-7-13 · 3/14(3 3 4 3 3) · 10/14(8 9 11 10) · 11/14(11 11 11 11) · 6/14(12 14 13 6) · 7/14(8 9 10 7) · 13/14(5 5 5 8 13) · 15d since last · Gear CP

Running: 3 3 4 3 3 · Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form58

Pace55

Draw71

J/T82

Weight0

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

BIG BIG WORLD

Rank #12

Draw 10 · 123lb · M L Yeung · K H Ting · R47 · 94.0

5.9%

Win

17.9%

Place

Recent: 9-13-11 · 9/14(8 7 7 9) · 13/14(10 9 9 13) · 11/14(10 11 11) · 36d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 8 7 7 9 · Odds move: 94.0→94.0

Form31

Pace44

Draw69

J/T58

Weight67

Odds9

Move50

Strengths

+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Distance change from last start

GOOD GOOD

Rank #13

Draw 8 · 118lb · Y L Chung · J Size · R42 · 102.0

5.7%

Win

17.4%

Place

Recent: 14-14-12-7-9-2 · 14/14(1 3 3 5 14) · 14/14(2 3 5 14) · 12/14(7 7 9 12) · 7/14(6 5 5 6 7) · 9/14(1 2 1 2 9) · 2/14(2 2 2 1 2) · 18d since last · Gear B

Running: 1 3 3 5 14 · Odds move: 102.0→102.0

Form19

Pace12

Draw73

J/T73

Weight94

Odds9

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

SUGAR GOODSON

Rank #14

Draw 13 · 134lb · K C Leung · C S Shum · R58 · 129.0

5.5%

Win

17.0%

Place

Recent: 13-13-10-8 · 13/14(7 7 7 13) · 13/14(12 13 13) · 10/14(13 14 13 10) · 8/14(12 12 8) · 15d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 7 7 7 13 · Odds move: 129.0→129.0

Form22

Pace43

Draw63

J/T70

Weight6

Odds8

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Distance change from last start