Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R4 SUN CHUI HANDICAP

14:00 · 1400m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	4	CALIFORNIA WAVES	5	8.7%	3.0
2	7	NOT USUAL DOUBLE	10	8.5%	4.7
3	12	JUST FOLLOW ME	3	8.2%	6.0
4	14	STAR SATYR	6	7.8%	9.3
5	13	LAKESHORE HERO	14	7.7%	12.0
6	10	DRAGON GENERATION	1	7.3%	51.0

14
CALIFORNIA WAVES
Draw 5 · 3.0
8.7%
27
NOT USUAL DOUBLE
Draw 10 · 4.7
8.5%
312
JUST FOLLOW ME
Draw 3 · 6.0
8.2%
414
STAR SATYR
Draw 6 · 9.3
7.8%
513
LAKESHORE HERO
Draw 14 · 12.0
7.7%
610
DRAGON GENERATION
Draw 1 · 51.0
7.3%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

CALIFORNIA WAVES

Rank #1

Draw 5 · 131lb · B Avdulla · W K Mo · R53 · 3.0

8.7%

Win

25.8%

Place

Recent: 4-5-8-5-5-7 · 4/14(8 10 10 4) · 5/14(6 8 10 5) · 8/14(6 6 7 8) · 5/14(9 10 10 5) · 5/14(5 6 6 5) · 7/14(11 9 8 7) · 15d since last · Gear V/XB/TT

Running: 8 10 10 4 · Odds move: 3.0→3.0

Form70

Pace63

Draw84

J/T69

Weight24

Odds72

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

NOT USUAL DOUBLE

Rank #2

Draw 10 · 130lb · Z Purton · J Richards · R52 · 4.7

8.5%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 4 · 4/14(8 5 4) · 22d since last

Running: 8 5 4 · Odds move: 4.7→4.7

Form79

Pace74

Draw68

J/T85

Weight29

Odds55

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (Z Purton / J Richards)
+Market respects this runner
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

JUST FOLLOW ME

Rank #3

Draw 3 · 120lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R42 · 6.0

8.2%

Win

24.3%

Place

Recent: 5-10-7-2-2-4 · 5/14(7 6 5) · 10/14(4 6 6 10) · 7/14(3 4 3 7) · 2/14(7 8 7 2) · 2/14(8 7 5 2) · 4/14(4 2 2 4) · 22d since last · Gear CP-/XB/V1/TT

Running: 7 6 5 · Odds move: 6.0→6.0

Form65

Pace50

Draw90

J/T82

Weight88

Odds48

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

STAR SATYR

Rank #4

Draw 6 · 118lb · Y L Chung · A S Cruz · R40 · 9.3

7.8%

Win

23.2%

Place

Recent: 4-7-6-10-13-4 · 4/14(14 13 12 4) · 7/14(14 12 12 7) · 6/14(9 10 6) · 10/14(6 8 10 10) · 13/14(10 13 14 13) · 4/14(3 5 4 4) · 18d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 14 13 12 4 · Odds move: 9.3→9.3

Form60

Pace78

Draw81

J/T71

Weight100

Odds37

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

LAKESHORE HERO

Rank #5

Draw 14 · 118lb · A Atzeni · D J Hall · R40 · 12.0

7.7%

Win

22.9%

Place

Recent: 8-2-2-7-10-3 · 8/14(14 14 8) · 2/14(7 4 2) · 2/14(11 12 2) · 7/14(12 11 7) · 10/14(3 2 2 10) · 3/14(8 6 3) · 18d since last

Running: 14 14 8 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form73

Pace81

Draw56

J/T70

Weight100

Odds32

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

DRAGON GENERATION

Rank #6

Draw 1 · 126lb · L Hewitson · K W Lui · R48 · 51.0

7.3%

Win

22.0%

Place

Recent: 5-5 · 5/14(10 8 5) · 5/14(5 6 5) · 107d since last · Gear TT

Running: 10 8 5 · Odds move: 51.0→51.0

Form71

Pace70

Draw96

J/T79

Weight53

Odds13

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (L Hewitson / K W Lui)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

HOT AIR BALLON

Rank #7

Draw 11 · 126lb · J Orman · D J Whyte · R48 · 19.0

7.1%

Win

21.4%

Place

Recent: 5-4-10-5-4 · 5/14(8 8 8 5) · 4/14(9 11 11 4) · 10/14(12 12 10) · 5/14(11 12 5) · 4/14(4 6 4) · 22d since last · Gear XB

Running: 8 8 8 5 · Odds move: 19.0→19.0

Form67

Pace72

Draw65

J/T65

Weight53

Odds24

Move50

Strengths

+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

CHIU CHOW GOLF

Rank #8

Draw 13 · 132lb · H Bentley · F C Lor · R54 · 15.0

7.0%

Win

21.0%

Place

Recent: 1-11-12 · 1/14(9 9 10 1) · 11/14(6 6 6 11) · 12/14(8 5 12) · 22d since last · Gear TT

Running: 9 9 10 1 · Odds move: 15.0→15.0

Form63

Pace65

Draw59

J/T74

Weight18

Odds28

Move50

Strengths

+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

MR INVINCIBLE

Rank #9

Draw 7 · 130lb · C L Chau · P F Yiu · R52 · 12.0

6.8%

Win

20.6%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT1

Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw78

J/T75

Weight29

Odds32

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost

LESLIE

Rank #10

Draw 2 · 127lb · R Kingscote · C W Chang · R49 · 60.0

6.4%

Win

19.3%

Place

Recent: 14-8-11-1-11-7 · 14/14(14 14 14 14) · 8/14(14 13 12 8) · 11/14(13 14 13 11) · 1/14(12 12 13 1) · 11/14(8 9 7 11) · 7/14(14 14 12 7) · 15d since last · Gear B

Running: 14 14 14 14 · Odds move: 60.0→60.0

Form37

Pace68

Draw93

J/T63

Weight47

Odds12

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

COMIC

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 130lb · M F Poon · D A Hayes · R52 · 48.0

6.2%

Win

18.9%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 48.0→48.0

Form45

Pace50

Draw62

J/T72

Weight29

Odds14

Move50

Strengths

+Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

COOGEE BAY

Rank #12

Draw 9 · 126lb · E C W Wong · P C Ng · R48 · 119.0

6.1%

Win

18.7%

Place

Recent: 8-11 · 8/14(7 7 8) · 11/14(8 9 11) · 107d since last

Running: 7 7 8 · Odds move: 119.0→119.0

Form43

Pace46

Draw71

J/T70

Weight53

Odds8

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

EXCELLENCE VALUE

Rank #13

Draw 4 · 135lb · H T Mo · W Y So · R57 · 85.0

6.1%

Win

18.5%

Place

Recent: 8-9-12-13-9-11 · 8/14(11 11 11 8) · 9/14(8 9 11 9) · 12/14(9 10 10 10 12) · 13/14(13 13 13 13 13) · 9/14(7 7 8 8 9) · 11/14(6 8 7 8 11) · 18d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 11 11 11 8 · Odds move: 85.0→85.0

Form37

Pace53

Draw87

J/T70

Weight0

Odds10

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

WATCH LEGEND

Rank #14

Draw 8 · 134lb · M Chadwick · Y S Tsui · R56 · 23.0

6.0%

Win

18.2%

Place

Recent: 8-12-14-14 · 8/14(5 4 8) · 12/14(8 8 12) · 14/14(6 4 14) · 14/14(1 2 14) · 22d since last · Gear H

Running: 5 4 8 · Odds move: 23.0→23.0

Form29

Pace28

Draw74

J/T72

Weight6

Odds21

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

–Inconsistent or modest recent form
–Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
–Top weight or heavy relative impost