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HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-19

Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R5 LUNG HANG HANDICAP

14:30 · 1200m · Class 4 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 112

    CIRRUS SPEED

    Draw 1 · 2.2

    11.1%
  • 22

    WOLF COMING

    Draw 2 · 4.9

    9.8%
  • 310

    NAVAS G

    Draw 3 · 11.0

    8.9%
  • 48

    GUTSY BRAVO

    Draw 11 · 5.2

    8.9%
  • 59

    NEVER SETTLE

    Draw 4 · 10.0

    8.5%
  • 67

    VOYAGE CAPTAIN

    Draw 7 · 14.0

    8.4%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

12

CIRRUS SPEED

Rank #1

Draw 1 · 116lb · M F Poon · D J Hall · R40 · 2.2

11.1%

Win

32.1%

Place

Recent: 1-7-12-6-8-5 · 1/14(1 1 1) · 7/14(10 7 7) · 12/14(5 6 12) · 6/14(3 3 6) · 8/14(10 10 8) · 5/14(10 9 5) · 18d since last

Running: 1 1 1 · Odds move: 2.2→2.2

Form65
Pace50
Draw100
J/T64
Weight100
Odds87
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

WOLF COMING

Rank #2

Draw 2 · 132lb · L Hewitson · C S Shum · R56 · 4.9

9.8%

Win

29.0%

Place

Recent: 2-6-9-3-11-7 · 2/14(8 9 2) · 6/14(4 5 6) · 9/14(9 8 9) · 3/14(8 7 3) · 11/14(2 1 1 11) · 7/14(11 11 7) · 15d since last · Gear XB/TT

Running: 8 9 2 · Odds move: 4.9→4.9

Form73
Pace65
Draw100
J/T77
Weight16
Odds54
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / C S Shum)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
10

NAVAS G

Rank #3

Draw 3 · 123lb · L Ferraris · D J Whyte · R47 · 11.0

8.9%

Win

26.7%

Place

Recent: 3-8-7-6-3 · 3/14(2 2 3) · 8/14(7 7 8) · 7/14(3 2 7) · 6/14(12 12 6) · 3/14(3 4 3) · 22d since last · Gear XB

Running: 2 2 3 · Odds move: 11.0→11.0

Form70
Pace49
Draw96
J/T74
Weight63
Odds33
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
8

GUTSY BRAVO

Rank #4

Draw 11 · 126lb · J Orman · W Y So · R50 · 5.2

8.9%

Win

26.6%

Place

Recent: 3-13-6 · 3/14(14 13 3) · 13/14(9 13 14 13) · 6/14(13 14 6) · 120d since last · Gear H/P

Running: 14 13 3 · Odds move: 5.2→5.2

Form61
Pace76
Draw56
J/T60
Weight47
Odds52
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
9

NEVER SETTLE

Rank #5

Draw 4 · 126lb · M L Yeung · K W Lui · R50 · 10.0

8.5%

Win

25.6%

Place

Recent: 11-8-3-3 · 11/14(11 12 11) · 8/14(8 9 8) · 3/14(5 5 3) · 3/14(7 8 3) · 242d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 11 12 11 · Odds move: 10.0→10.0

Form54
Pace58
Draw91
J/T72
Weight47
Odds35
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
7

VOYAGE CAPTAIN

Rank #6

Draw 7 · 127lb · H Y Yuen · P F Yiu · R51 · 14.0

8.4%

Win

25.3%

Place

Recent: 7 · 7/14(14 14 7) · 242d since last · Gear TT

Running: 14 14 7 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form57
Pace89
Draw76
J/T69
Weight42
Odds29
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Freshness query after a break
11

THUNDER PRINCE

Rank #7

Draw 5 · 122lb · B Avdulla · J Richards · R46 · 32.0

8.2%

Win

24.8%

Place

Recent: 7-3-9-5-6-11 · 7/14(4 4 7) · 3/14(8 8 3) · 9/14(6 5 9) · 5/14(3 3 5) · 6/14(8 6 6) · 11/14(4 4 11) · 22d since last · Gear B

Running: 4 4 7 · Odds move: 32.0→32.0

Form66
Pace54
Draw86
J/T73
Weight68
Odds18
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
4

HAPPY SPECIAL

Rank #8

Draw 10 · 127lb · A Atzeni · P C Ng · R51 · 34.0

7.7%

Win

23.2%

Place

Recent: 4-11 · 4/14(1 1 4) · 11/14(6 6 11) · 15d since last · Gear CP

Running: 1 1 4 · Odds move: 34.0→34.0

Form62
Pace36
Draw61
J/T79
Weight42
Odds17
Move50

Strengths

  • +Solid connections (A Atzeni / P C Ng)

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
6

SMILING SKY

Rank #9

Draw 6 · 127lb · C L Chau · K H Ting · R51 · 39.0

7.6%

Win

23.0%

Place

Recent: 5-11 · 5/14(3 2 5) · 11/14(9 10 11) · 15d since last

Running: 3 2 5 · Odds move: 39.0→39.0

Form57
Pace44
Draw81
J/T61
Weight42
Odds16
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
5

SHARP PLANET

Rank #10

Draw 8 · 127lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R51 · 91.0

7.3%

Win

22.2%

Place

Recent: 6-14-2 · 6/14(6 5 6) · 14/14(9 8 14) · 2/14(3 1 2) · 128d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 6 5 6 · Odds move: 91.0→91.0

Form51
Pace47
Draw71
J/T71
Weight42
Odds9
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
3

COSMO DRAGON

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 128lb · H T Mo · Y S Tsui · R52 · 111.0

6.9%

Win

21.2%

Place

Recent: —

Odds move: 111.0→111.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw51
J/T68
Weight37
Odds8
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
1

REAL GENTLEMAN

Rank #12

Draw 9 · 135lb · K C Leung · K L Man · R59 · 68.0

6.6%

Win

20.3%

Place

Recent: 12-12-1-13-13-14 · 12/14(2 3 12) · 12/14(5 9 12) · 1/14(3 3 1) · 13/14(9 10 13) · 13/14(7 7 13) · 14/14(4 3 6 14) · 96d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 2 3 12 · Odds move: 68.0→68.0

Form36
Pace24
Draw66
J/T65
Weight0
Odds11
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break