Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R8 THE SHA TIN TROPHY (HANDICAP)

16:05 · 1600m · Group Two · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

Rk	#	Horse	Draw	Win	Odds
1	10	SKY JEWELLERY	4	12.2%	2.5
2	2	MY WISH	3	11.3%	2.8
3	7	LIGHT YEARS CHARM	2	9.6%	8.8
4	8	STORMY GROVE	8	9.1%	12.0
5	5	BEAUTY JOY	10	9.0%	21.0
6	3	HELIOS EXPRESS	7	8.6%	14.0

110
SKY JEWELLERY
Draw 4 · 2.5
12.2%
22
MY WISH
Draw 3 · 2.8
11.3%
37
LIGHT YEARS CHARM
Draw 2 · 8.8
9.6%
48
STORMY GROVE
Draw 8 · 12.0
9.1%
55
BEAUTY JOY
Draw 10 · 21.0
9.0%
63
HELIOS EXPRESS
Draw 7 · 14.0
8.6%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

SKY JEWELLERY

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 115lb · A Badel · J Size · R101 · 2.5

12.2%

Win

35.1%

Place

Recent: 1-4-1-1-1-2 · 1/14(12 10 9 1) · 4/14(7 7 8 4) · 1/14(6 6 5 1) · 1/14(10 10 9 1) · 1/14(10 11 11 1) · 2/14(8 8 8 2) · 18d since last

Running: 12 10 9 1 · Odds move: 2.5→2.5

Form94

Pace89

Draw84

J/T85

Weight100

Odds81

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Badel / J Size)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

MY WISH

Rank #2

Draw 3 · 131lb · Z Purton · M Newnham · R124 · 2.8

11.3%

Win

32.9%

Place

Recent: 1-2-4-4-6-4 · 1/14(12 12 9 1) · 2/14(10 10 7 2) · 4/14(6 6 6 6 4) · 4/14(2 4 5 4) · 6/14(6 9 7 6) · 4/14(4 4 3 4) · 176d since last · Gear XB

Running: 12 12 9 1 · Odds move: 2.8→2.8

Form90

Pace82

Draw88

J/T86

Weight20

Odds75

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (Z Purton / M Newnham)
+Market respects this runner
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Freshness query after a break

LIGHT YEARS CHARM

Rank #3

Draw 2 · 115lb · K Teetan · D Eustace · R106 · 8.8

9.6%

Win

28.6%

Place

Recent: 2-1-12-4-9-3 · 2/14(4 5 7 7 2) · 1/14(3 4 3 1) · 12/14(14 14 13 12) · 4/14(12 13 12 4) · 9/14(12 12 9) · 3/14(6 6 4 3) · 120d since last · Gear CP/TT

Running: 4 5 7 7 2 · Odds move: 8.8→8.8

Form77

Pace68

Draw92

J/T80

Weight100

Odds38

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (K Teetan / D Eustace)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

STORMY GROVE

Rank #4

Draw 8 · 115lb · K C Leung · F C Lor · R106 · 12.0

9.1%

Win

27.4%

Place

Recent: 3-8-3-1-1-4 · 3/14(5 6 6 3) · 8/14(8 8 7 8) · 3/14(13 13 13 10 3) · 1/14(10 12 12 11 1) · 1/14(14 14 14 1) · 4/14(6 6 5 4) · 22d since last · Gear H/TT

Running: 5 6 6 3 · Odds move: 12.0→12.0

Form82

Pace76

Draw68

J/T71

Weight100

Odds32

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

BEAUTY JOY

Rank #5

Draw 10 · 121lb · B Avdulla · A S Cruz · R114 · 21.0

9.0%

Win

27.0%

Place

Recent: 1-1-2-5-11-6 · 1/14(7 7 7 1) · 1/14(5 6 6 6 1) · 2/14(9 9 7 2) · 5/14(10 10 9 5) · 11/14(7 5 6 11) · 6/14(1 1 1 1 6) · 99d since last · Gear TT

Running: 7 7 7 1 · Odds move: 21.0→21.0

Form91

Pace85

Draw60

J/T79

Weight70

Odds23

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Solid connections (B Avdulla / A S Cruz)
+Carries a competitive weight
+Comes off a win
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Freshness query after a break

HELIOS EXPRESS

Rank #6

Draw 7 · 125lb · A Atzeni · J Size · R118 · 14.0

8.6%

Win

26.0%

Place

Recent: 8-6-2-2-2-5 · 8/14(8 7 7 8) · 6/14(7 8 6) · 2/14(7 6 2) · 2/14(4 5 5 2) · 2/14(5 4 2) · 5/14(9 8 5) · 22d since last

Running: 8 7 7 8 · Odds move: 14.0→14.0

Form73

Pace64

Draw72

J/T81

Weight50

Odds29

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (A Atzeni / J Size)
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–No major red flags on the model

WINNING WING

Rank #7

Draw 6 · 115lb · M L Yeung · K W Lui · R96 · 31.0

8.6%

Win

26.0%

Place

Recent: 5-3-8-3-1-5 · 5/14(9 8 7 7 6 5) · 3/14(6 6 6 7 6 3) · 8/14(14 14 14 14 8) · 3/14(5 5 5 5 3) · 1/14(5 5 4 2 1) · 5/14(12 11 3 3 5) · 148d since last

Running: 9 8 7 7 6 5 · Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form77

Pace74

Draw76

J/T72

Weight100

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Strong finishing pattern (走位)
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight
+Recent closer / late dash

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Distance change from last start
–Freshness query after a break

SOLEIL FIGHTER

Rank #8

Draw 5 · 115lb · H Bentley · D A Hayes · R102 · 57.0

8.1%

Win

24.6%

Place

Recent: 5-7-4-1-7-2 · 5/14(2 2 2 5) · 7/14(4 2 2 7) · 4/14(1 1 1 4) · 1/14(1 1 1 1) · 7/14(2 3 3 3 7) · 2/14(1 1 1 2) · 22d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 2 2 5 · Odds move: 57.0→57.0

Form72

Pace39

Draw80

J/T76

Weight100

Odds12

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form
+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Solid connections (H Bentley / D A Hayes)
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

VOYAGE BUBBLE

Rank #9

Draw 11 · 135lb · C L Chau · P F Yiu · R128 · 33.0

7.9%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 5-3-5-3-1-2 · 5/14(5 5 4 5) · 3/14(6 7 4 3) · 5/14(4 4 4 4 5) · 3/14(6 5 3 3) · 1/14(3 2 2 1) · 2/14(1 1 1 1 2) · 176d since last · Gear B

Running: 5 5 4 5 · Odds move: 33.0→33.0

Form81

Pace62

Draw56

J/T75

Weight0

Odds17

Move50

Strengths

+Strong recent form

Risks

–Top weight or heavy relative impost
–Long odds — needs a clear improvement
–Freshness query after a break

SAGACIOUS LIFE

Rank #10

Draw 9 · 115lb · E C W Wong · C Fownes · R98 · 31.0

7.9%

Win

24.2%

Place

Recent: 2-7-3-12-14-4 · 2/14(3 4 3 2) · 7/14(3 3 4 7) · 3/14(3 3 3 3) · 12/14(3 3 3 4 12) · 14/14(5 6 6 7 14) · 4/14(6 7 6 4) · 33d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 3 4 3 2 · Odds move: 31.0→31.0

Form70

Pace36

Draw64

J/T71

Weight100

Odds18

Move50

Strengths

+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement

PATCH OF THETA

Rank #11

Draw 1 · 116lb · M F Poon · K W Lui · R109 · 29.0

7.8%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: 7-10-10-5-8-1 · 7/14(7 8 8 7) · 10/14(5 5 4 10) · 10/14(5 6 8 10) · 5/14(11 9 5) · 8/14(6 4 4 8) · 1/14(4 4 3 1) · 22d since last · Gear XB

Running: 7 8 8 7 · Odds move: 29.0→29.0

Form49

Pace45

Draw96

J/T70

Weight95

Odds19

Move50

Strengths

+Helpful barrier for this trip
+Carries a competitive weight

Risks

–Long odds — needs a clear improvement