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HKJC Race Analysis

Market · Form · Pace · Draw · Combos

← Sha Tin Meeting - 2026-10-19

Monday, 19 October 2026 · Sha Tin · Good

R9 LEK YUEN HANDICAP

16:40 · 1200m · Class 3 · Turf · Course C+3

Combo predictions

Tabs: General (Hybrid V2 top 6), full Hybrid V2 detail, and Hybrid V1 (previous) for A/B comparison.

Top 6 overview

Compact ranking from Hybrid V2 (live primary) — horse, draw, win %, odds.

  • 18

    GLORYSPEED

    Draw 4 · 3.4

    11.8%
  • 21

    MR INCREDIBLE

    Draw 11 · 3.0

    11.2%
  • 310

    HAPPY SHOOTER

    Draw 1 · 5.3

    11.1%
  • 42

    SMART GOLF

    Draw 3 · 7.9

    9.2%
  • 56

    GRAND EAGLE

    Draw 2 · 9.3

    9.0%
  • 611

    THOUSAND SPIRIT

    Draw 9 · 16.0

    8.8%

Full field analysis

Runner cards ranked by Hybrid V2 (live primary).

8

GLORYSPEED

Rank #1

Draw 4 · 122lb · Z Purton · A S Cruz · R67 · 3.4

11.8%

Win

34.2%

Place

Recent: 4 · 4/14(10 8 4) · 18d since last · Gear TT

Running: 10 8 4 · Odds move: 3.4→3.4

Form79
Pace84
Draw89
J/T91
Weight68
Odds67
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (Z Purton / A S Cruz)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
1

MR INCREDIBLE

Rank #2

Draw 11 · 135lb · K Teetan · B Crawford · R80 · 3.0

11.2%

Win

32.9%

Place

Recent: 1-1-6-1 · 1/14(4 3 1) · 1/14(4 2 1) · 6/14(7 6 6) · 1/14(8 6 1) · 114d since last

Running: 4 3 1 · Odds move: 3.0→3.0

Form93
Pace75
Draw51
J/T82
Weight0
Odds72
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Solid connections (K Teetan / B Crawford)
  • +Market respects this runner
  • +Comes off a win

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
10

HAPPY SHOOTER

Rank #3

Draw 1 · 120lb · L Hewitson · C S Shum · R65 · 5.3

11.1%

Win

32.5%

Place

Recent: 1-3-6-2-8-2 · 1/14(5 5 1) · 3/14(6 5 3) · 6/14(2 2 6) · 2/14(5 5 2) · 8/14(4 5 8) · 2/14(4 4 2) · 36d since last · Gear TT

Running: 5 5 1 · Odds move: 5.3→5.3

Form87
Pace64
Draw100
J/T77
Weight79
Odds51
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong recent form
  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Solid connections (L Hewitson / C S Shum)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Comes off a win
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
2

SMART GOLF

Rank #4

Draw 3 · 131lb · H Bentley · F C Lor · R76 · 7.9

9.2%

Win

27.6%

Place

Recent: 14-4-1-1-3-1 · 14/14(2 3 14) · 4/14(2 2 4) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 1/14(2 2 1) · 3/14(1 1 3) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 141d since last · Gear TT

Running: 2 3 14 · Odds move: 7.9→7.9

Form63
Pace33
Draw95
J/T74
Weight21
Odds41
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Freshness query after a break
6

GRAND EAGLE

Rank #5

Draw 2 · 123lb · C L Chau · J Cummings · R68 · 9.3

9.0%

Win

27.2%

Place

Recent: 8-7-11 · 8/14(7 8 8) · 7/14(6 6 7) · 11/14(10 10 11) · 15d since last · Gear TT

Running: 7 8 8 · Odds move: 9.3→9.3

Form49
Pace49
Draw100
J/T71
Weight63
Odds37
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
11

THOUSAND SPIRIT

Rank #6

Draw 9 · 117lb · H Y Yuen · M Newnham · R62 · 16.0

8.8%

Win

26.7%

Place

Recent: 3-8-8-9-10-2 · 3/14(13 12 3) · 8/14(9 10 8) · 8/14(10 12 8) · 9/14(5 6 9) · 10/14(5 6 10) · 2/14(8 6 2) · 18d since last

Running: 13 12 3 · Odds move: 16.0→16.0

Form62
Pace68
Draw62
J/T67
Weight95
Odds27
Move50

Strengths

  • +Strong finishing pattern (走位)
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –No major red flags on the model
3

MOTOR

Rank #7

Draw 6 · 130lb · K C Leung · W K Mo · R75 · 32.0

8.3%

Win

25.2%

Place

Recent: 8-12-1-3-1-3 · 8/14(11 10 8) · 12/14(4 3 12) · 1/14(8 7 1) · 3/14(10 11 3) · 1/14(4 3 1) · 3/14(4 3 3) · 12d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 11 10 8 · Odds move: 32.0→32.0

Form61
Pace63
Draw78
J/T64
Weight26
Odds18
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Recent closer / late dash
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Top weight or heavy relative impost
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
5

PRECISION TIME

Rank #8

Draw 8 · 125lb · M Chadwick · Y S Tsui · R70 · 37.0

7.9%

Win

24.0%

Place

Recent: — · Gear TT-

Odds move: 37.0→37.0

Form45
Pace50
Draw67
J/T72
Weight53
Odds16
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
12

HONEST WITNESS

Rank #9

Draw 7 · 116lb · P N Wong · D A Hayes · R61 · 44.0

7.8%

Win

23.7%

Place

Recent: 7-11-12-2-12-1 · 7/14(1 1 7) · 11/14(9 9 11) · 12/14(2 2 12) · 2/14(1 1 2) · 12/14(3 5 12) · 1/14(1 1 1) · 12d since last · Gear B/TT

Running: 1 1 7 · Odds move: 44.0→44.0

Form46
Pace21
Draw73
J/T66
Weight100
Odds14
Move50

Strengths

  • +Helpful barrier for this trip
  • +Carries a competitive weight
  • +Racing fit (recently raced)

Risks

  • –Often fades or stuck wide on sectionals
  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
4

MAKE YOU SMILE

Rank #10

Draw 10 · 125lb · L Ferraris · K W Lui · R70 · 70.0

7.7%

Win

23.5%

Place

Recent: 12-4-10-7 · 12/14(7 10 10 12) · 4/14(11 13 11 4) · 10/14(12 12 12 10) · 7/14(9 9 8 7) · 134d since last · Gear B/TT1

Running: 7 10 10 12 · Odds move: 70.0→70.0

Form45
Pace57
Draw56
J/T73
Weight53
Odds11
Move50

Strengths

  • +Competitive on balance of factors

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement
  • –Freshness query after a break
9

LA FORZA

Rank #11

Draw 12 · 122lb · B Avdulla · J Richards · R67 · 119.0

7.3%

Win

22.5%

Place

Recent: 8-12-9-12-3-7 · 8/14(9 5 8) · 12/14(7 8 12) · 9/14(11 10 9) · 12/14(6 6 12) · 3/14(3 3 3) · 7/14(1 1 7) · 36d since last · Gear B-/V1/TT

Running: 9 5 8 · Odds move: 119.0→119.0

Form40
Pace46
Draw45
J/T73
Weight68
Odds8
Move50

Strengths

  • +Recent closer / late dash

Risks

  • –Long odds — needs a clear improvement